***the profits nfl & ncaaf season thread***

[Shortstop]

Nice start, buddy! Best of Luck moving forward!

[THE PROFIT]

Thanks everyone for the kind words on our 1st winner. Lets get 'em Saturday!

[crazymonkey]

good night last night profit!! keep it up! question for you...you mentioned the sagarins power rankings earlier on in the forum... do you know the website for that? I believe that's a real useful tool.

[shaggy3000]

1st play of the season, here it is!" Minny Golden Gophers Minnesota-1 -110 (1x unit) 1.1 to win 1

profit! if youre going to make it this easy im going to have to up my units heavy!

[blackbeSSt]

grats profit

[Gio21]

No play on toledo tonight fellas?

[THE PROFIT]

Toledo is a heavy lean for me, may just make it a points play for some free SBR cash or a Tommy Bahama shirt

But I do like them getting 16.5

[THE PROFIT]

good night last night profit!! keep it up! question for you...you mentioned the sagarins power rankings earlier on in the forum... do you know the website for that? I believe that's a real useful tool.

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt10.htm

[THE PROFIT]

profit! if youre going to make it this easy im going to have to up my units heavy!

Thanks for the props, but remember, this was the first play of a VERY LONG season. And this one gave me heartburn for a while

[Gio21]

i dont think arz should be 16.5 favs on the road

[THE PROFIT]

ARIZONA at TOLEDO...Arizona HC Mike Stoops is only 7-12 vs. line as visitor and 2-5 as visiting chalk since ‘07. Stoops also 0-4 vs. line as non-conference visitor since ‘06, and the Cats are just 1-6 against points in that role since ‘02. Arizona also hasn’t covered laying 7 or more on road since a 1998 game at San Diego State.! Meanwhile, Toledo is only 9-16 as dog since ‘07, although not-so- bad 5-4 in that role at the Glass Bowl the past three years. But the Rockets are 7-1 vs. the line at the Glass Bowl vs. non-conference opposition since ‘01 (note that the Ohio State loss was played at Cleveland LY).

Zona 0-6 ATS L6 road favs of 4 or more points
6-16 ATS in road openers including 1-8 ATS as favs
They opened against a MAC team LY, C.Mich & won 19-6 but no cover as a 15 point fav
Toledo 14-4 SU in L18 home openers including 6-2 ATS

I wanna make Toledo an official play, but am waiting

heres what I wrote yesterday about this game, Im not making it a play, will probably regret it

[str8sNUTZ]

FYI, weather report for Toledo game: http://www.wunderground.com/sports/C...?st=1283544000

Winds blowing 15-17mph across (side line to side line) the field.

[THE PROFIT]

I just got outta the shower & gonna study on this game a little more. I always think better with a clean nutsack

[THE PROFIT]

guys, the more I look at this the more I lean Toledo & over 58.5. I think Toledo TT over 21 is a good play

[THE PROFIT]

PLAY #2 Friday 9/3
TOLEDO Team Total over 21 -1.32 @DSI
1.32 to win 1

[Gio21]

guys, the more I look at this the more I lean Toledo & over 58.5. I think Toledo TT over 21 is a good play

Ive been looking at this game the last hour and im loving the ovrr and toledo as well. The only think that worries me about the over is the wind situation

[THE PROFIT]

I dont release many TT plays or half plays, but I just like this.

[THE PROFIT]

Im just playing 1 unit on Toledo TT & some points on Toledo+16.5. Will be capping tomorrows games while this is on. Just root for Toledo to score everytime they have the fukin ball.

[aeshred]

That team total looks like an excellent play, im gonna make a small play though bc of the weather, good insight!

[vyomguy]

It will be raining tonight with strong winds. Not a good night to take the overs IMO.

[THE PROFIT]

Thats why I didnt take the over 58, vyomguy. I just dont see how Toledo doesnt get 3TD's though. This is still a potent offense, a VERY suspect Zona defense, and a tough road environment for Zona where Toledo has really laid the points on BCS contenders in the past. Primetime exposure for a non-BCS school @ home is always a major motivator

[aeshred]

Damn i didnt know it was gonna rain, nevermind, too risky now, plenty of games for Saturday...

[THE PROFIT]

good stop by Toledo, they have to get some offense this series

[hugh4310]

Their QB sucks!

[THE PROFIT]

yes he does!!!

[ahhlenn]

PLAY #2 Friday 9/3
TOLEDO Team Total over 21 -1.32 @DSI
1.32 to win 1

wow, toledo offense is horrible. i am quite scared for the TT over. it seems we can only score with our defense...

c'mon TOLEDO!!!

[RASHANANT]

I had to take the under 58 in the toledo game , i just could not see them scoring that much with a new qb, I think for them playing keep away is their best chance to stay close and try to win,

[THE PROFIT]

this was a horrible fukin game. When Toledo couldnt get in from inside the 5 any momentum or chance was gone. Big day tomorrow, no worries

[windwind]

where did they find that qb? he cant even make a pass when runner is wide open. they would had 2 tds

[crhodes0815]

I am a newbie here, but interested in following along for a while - what time do you usually post on Saturday? Sorry if I am being a pain in the azz

[THE PROFIT]

I should have all games up by 11:00-11:30pm ET that start at 12. Will not be playing many games, kinda pulled the trigger on this one prematurely & it cost me. Live & Learn I guess. This fukin Toledo offense is horrible

[THE PROFIT]

I will be throwing up some thoughts later tonight

[ronjon619]

you are dodging bullets. Toledo would have been a terrible choice. Walking on water so far.

[crhodes0815]

thanks man - slow and steady wins the race, right? I appreciate the insight...I have always fell into a trap of pulling the trigger too quick and playing too many games, trying to study more this year and pick the ones that make sense!

[SHADYLANKY]

No early games then Profit? BOL Saturday.