My week 1 leans....

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  • HoldEmHook!!
    SBR MVP
    • 10-08-09
    • 2962

    #1
    My week 1 leans....
    Northwestern -3
    Auburn -30
    SMU +13
    Pitt +3
    Ari. -14.5
    Wisc -19
    WKU +35.5

    I have my reasons for each one and will discuss if wanted. Best Of Luck to everyone this season
  • Sean81
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-31-09
    • 281

    #2
    I like most of the plays especially Pitt. I mentioned in a post below that Auburn plays Miss St. the following Thursday night and in this case Auburn has to travel which will cut into even more of their preparation time. I might be making too big of a deal of this, but I think having an intra division conference game on a short week will hurt these teams cover their inflated point spreads. Arkansas State is a fundamentally solid team with a good running game and Auburn is breaking in a new qb. I am pretty high on Auburn in general and think they will finish 2nd in the SEC west, but I'm curious to know why you like them in this game.
    Comment
    • HoldEmHook!!
      SBR MVP
      • 10-08-09
      • 2962

      #3
      Originally posted by Sean81
      I like most of the plays especially Pitt. I mentioned in a post below that Auburn plays Miss St. the following Thursday night and in this case Auburn has to travel which will cut into even more of their preparation time. I might be making too big of a deal of this, but I think having an intra division conference game on a short week will hurt these teams cover their inflated point spreads. Arkansas State is a fundamentally solid team with a good running game and Auburn is breaking in a new qb. I am pretty high on Auburn in general and think they will finish 2nd in the SEC west, but I'm curious to know why you like them in this game.
      Being from Alabama and listening to local media and Aub. staff interviews I really believe that Chesik and Malzon have a chip on there shoulder and will keep thier foot on the accelerator and crush a weak team. You make a very valid point (miss st. on a short week) that will factor in my play selection. I should have looked at that but didnt, thanks.
      Comment
      • reverend
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-01-09
        • 880

        #4
        looks solid initially...
        Comment
        • BigdaddyQH
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-13-09
          • 19530

          #5
          Bet Phoenix has Northwestern at -2.5. I would wait and see if other books go down. Stay away from SMU. As a matter of fact, they now become a good fade because they lost both of their starting CB's and are very thin in the defensive secondary. It is going to be bombs away for Texas Tech's air game. Wisky looks like a good play, if they decide to play all 4 quarters.
          Comment
          • iwantcougars
            SBR MVP
            • 09-29-09
            • 2156

            #6
            Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
            if they decide to play all 4 quarters.
            this, some of the 1st games are like preseason around the 4th quarter they'll slow down, and put some players of the 2nd team to gain experience and evaluate especially with meaningful foes, and when the team have huge advantages (21+)

            nice leans, i hope northwestern line stays in 2.5 range

            bol, i was also leaning SMU, since TTU is going to run a bit more this year. I'm tempted by Arizona since they have so much to prove and have te offensive potential to blow toledo. WKU is very interesting, if the lines goes a little higher i might go for them, otherwise, i'll stay away
            Comment
            • HoldEmHook!!
              SBR MVP
              • 10-08-09
              • 2962

              #7
              Thanks for the in-put
              Comment
              • SoonerBS
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-26-08
                • 518

                #8
                Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                Bet Phoenix has Northwestern at -2.5. I would wait and see if other books go down. Stay away from SMU. As a matter of fact, they now become a good fade because they lost both of their starting CB's and are very thin in the defensive secondary. It is going to be bombs away for Texas Tech's air game. Wisky looks like a good play, if they decide to play all 4 quarters.
                BD, where did you get this info? I've been trying to find reports on this team's fall camp and have found very little.
                Comment
                • CLASSIC ROCK
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-23-09
                  • 574

                  #9
                  heard there is problems at smu with jones and adm.
                  Comment
                  • bamaboy11
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 08-16-10
                    • 5

                    #10
                    Like the WKU pick.
                    Comment
                    • iwantcougars
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-29-09
                      • 2156

                      #11
                      Originally posted by CLASSIC ROCK
                      heard there is problems at smu with jones and adm.
                      source???
                      Comment
                      • adamla
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 08-17-10
                        • 1

                        #12
                        northwestern at -3 is the lock of week 1. northwestern ended last season by beating iowa, illinois and wisconsin, and should have beat auburn who is in the SEC and far superior to vanderbilt. with that being said they got the extra practice time and breaking in a new quarterback is easier when its just a system qb. northwestern hasnt lost a opening week game since 2004, vanderbilts replacing a coach and their best recruit got murdered. while it may be an emotional day in nashville northwestern has to much depth all over the field. new coach for vandy but he doesnt have time to implement a new system.. big play for week 1.
                        Comment
                        • MendozaLine
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-11-10
                          • 4088

                          #13
                          Utah will beat Pitt by 10+ points. I like most of your leans though
                          Comment
                          • Sooner2005
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 07-15-10
                            • 20

                            #14
                            Originally posted by MendozaLine
                            Utah will beat Pitt by 10+ points. I like most of your leans though
                            I don't know how this game will turn out but I don't think the Utah Defense holds Dion Lewis. I believe as Lewis goes the game goes.
                            Comment
                            • BigdaddyQH
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-13-09
                              • 19530

                              #15
                              Originally posted by SoonerBS
                              BD, where did you get this info? I've been trying to find reports on this team's fall camp and have found very little.
                              I check the injury reports and the team home pages. You can get the injury reports at: collegeinjuryreport.com. I use the team pages at CBS and other sources to get team information.
                              Comment
                              • SoonerBS
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-26-08
                                • 518

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                                I check the injury reports and the team home pages. You can get the injury reports at: collegeinjuryreport.com. I use the team pages at CBS and other sources to get team information.
                                OK, thanks . . . .
                                Comment
                                • rwsmith
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 04-13-10
                                  • 286

                                  #17
                                  nice point with auburn...will try to beat the breaks off everyone early to keep the interest high just like 5-0 in 2009
                                  Comment
                                  • redrum
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-13-08
                                    • 1903

                                    #18
                                    i like pitt also
                                    Comment
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