Best Bets: 2007/08 Bowl Season

[Illusion]

Share your best bets for the entire 2007/08 Bowl Season.

Good luck everybody!

[Illusion]

Final Week 14 Results:

Big Flo: 6-2 +3.80
BigOrangeTitans: 4-1-1 +2.90
franckmtl: 2-0 +2.00
azgrande18: 3-1 +1.90
louisvillekid: 4-2-1 +1.80
perhapsnot: 1-0 +1.00
euginho: 1-0 +1.00
Louisvillekid1: 1-0 +1.00
Benny A: 3-2 +0.80
gummo: 0-0-1 +0.00
Capwizards: 1-1 -0.10
luciano: 2-4-1 -0.15
Bet The House: 2-2 -0.20
hanco21: 2-2 -0.20
GatorFan: 1-1 -0.90
onlòóker: 0-1 -1.10
tryintogetpaid: 0-1 -1.10
bigdog3580: 0-1 -1.10
icemantbi: 1-2 -1.20
masr: 2-3 -1.30
Illusion: 1-2 -2.50
Always_Over: 1-4-1 -3.40
BuddyBear: 2-5 -3.50
SportsGambler: 0-1 -11.00

*Parlays and teasers not reflected in grading*
*10 unit max per play when grading*

If you spot an error please send me a private message.

[Louisvillekid1]

3 units Cincy -11
2 units Kentucky -1
2 units South Florida -6.5
1 units FLA ATL -1.5
1 units Texas -1.5
1 units Boise St. -10.5
.5units Maryland +4
.5units Texas Tech -5.5

[Illusion]

This thread got lost in the mix, so I am bumping for those looking to post their plays.

[mandy]

i like wisconsin

[Illusion]

New Orleans Bowl:

Memphis +3.5 (3 units)

[The Seer]

Memphis +3.5 1 unit
Mem/FA ov 66.5 2 units

[The Seer]

Memphis +3.5 1 unit
Mem/FA ov 66.5 2 units

Gonna add for Sat

S.Miss +11.......2 units
Nev +2.........1 unit
BYU -6..........2 units

[greek]

yes seery !!!!!!!!!!!

gl

Gonna add for Sat

S.Miss +11.......2 units
Nev +2.........1 unit
BYU -6..........2 units

[tab]

Cinci -11.5

Share your best bets for the entire 2007/08 Bowl Season.

Good luck everybody!

Cincinatti has a knack for beating up teams that like to run the football like Southern Miss. Southern Miss did not good against a lot of teams this year. Cincinatti defeated a similar team in San Diego State Universit earlier this (52-23). Souterhn Miss does not match up well with Cinci and I do not see why they are playing in this bowl game against cinci. Its great for us to bet on game that is going to be a blowout.

[4FUN.AND$$]

Southern Miss Defense is giving Cincy fits so far. Southern Miss moving the ball on the ground and through the air. May not be a blowout.

[astro61200]

From my forum

Are you kidding me?

Boise State -10.5 may be the easiest game all season... the Broncos are easily the better team, as their record indicates, they play in the tougher conference and they have played much better than the Pirates of ECU... the "experts" want to make it sound like this is Johnson vs Johnson, RB vs RB... that is not the case... this is Bronco's QB Tharp against a very, very, very suspect secondary (#22 pass offense vs #115 (out of 119 teams) pass defense)

This is solid rush offense against not so solid rush defense (#29 vs #53)

Also less than stellar pass O against pretty good pass D (#75 vs #37)

Or maybe ECU's key to keeping it within 11 is the rush offense, that has to be it... thats waht I hear from the "experts" that ECU's RB is very good... too bad this guy is overrated... sure he ran for 1200 yards in 12 games, averaging 100 yards a game... but if you take out the Memphis game, which he ran for over 1/4 of those yards in (301) then you are left with pretty good running back, but not someone who can carry a team... especially since his OOC yard total was a grand total of 186, good for only 46.5 yards per game... but even if he was great, the Bronco's still have the 26th best rush defense in the country

Boise State also has the 10th best offense, yards per game wise, in the nation... along with the 5th best scoring O in it, and post a margin of +22.8... ECU? They're 72nd in yards per game, 47th in scoring and post a margin of +0.4

Really the only thing the Pirates have working in their favor is the turnover margin (+1.33), tho Boise still has a decent mark at +0.33

Even if the Broncos turn it over one more time than the Pirates, ECU isnt going to be able to move the ball much, maybe score 17 points if that, while they wont be able to stop Tharp and the high powered Boise State offense...

Plus add in the factor that Boise State has been here before, ECU hasnt been in bowl games consistently, and when they did they constantly lost them

You can also use common opponents as a key, Boise State and ECU have one common opponent... Southern Miss, both played the Golden Eagles at home... Boise State won their game against them by 22... dominating them from start to finish, racking up 506 yards of offense, to Southern Miss' 318, and posting 38 points on the outmanned Golden Eagle squad

ECU? They lost their game against USM by 7, they were outgained by 83 yards (383 to 300) and held to just 97 yards on the ground... the Pirates only managed to put up 21 on the Eagles, while giving up 28... all of this while posting a +2 turnover margin (3 USM turnovers to 1 for ECU)

All of the stats point to a Boise State blow out, but for some reason some people like ECU in this... maybe it's because the "experts" are predicting a decently close game... well I am sorry, Boise State even has the home field advantage in that they play in Hawaii every other year or so, and they are sort of close to the island... ECU is on the complete wrong end of the country, never plays in Hawaii and rarely plays in bowl games... there is a very big difference between WAC and C-USA competition, and the only hope for ECU to even stay in this game is to force atleast 4 turnovers... which isnt gonna happen

If this were a regular season game the spread would be around -21 or -24 for Boise State, but since these are two bowl teams, they automatically set the line close and people buy into the whole hype of the bowl atmosphere and that non-sense

The truth of that matter is Boise State is going to move the ball at will against the poor ECU defense, and ECU is going to have problems moving it against an underrated Boise State D... Boise State rolls in this one

Final Score:
Boise State 52, East Carolina 17

[The Seer]

add
east car +11......1 unit

[icemantbi]

East Carolina +11 (1 unit)

[jtnguyen79]

Boise St -11
10 units

[The Seer]

Adding Central Michigan +7 1/2......2 units

[louisvillekid]

Purdue -7.5
1 unit

[Illusion]

Central Michigan +7.5 (4 units)

[jtnguyen79]

been getting smoked lately so this is it

PUrdue first half -6.....5 units
purdue whole game -8....10 units

good luck going to be a boring game...not even going to watch it

[icemantbi]

Purdue -7

[louisvillekid]

Ari. St. +2.5
1 unit

[The Seer]

Ariz St +3 -120.....1 unit
over 62..................2 units

[mofome]

asu +115

[bengals888]

play on texas -2.5...

[area51steve]

Posted my pick in the holiday bowl thread yesterday but here it is again..

Arizona State +2.5 (10 units)

[jtnguyen79]

arizona state 2.5
10 units

Under 62
5 units

[ChuteBoxe]

Arizona State ML +110 for 2 Units.

[Mrtk31]

Fresno St., TCU, & Ky/FSU > are my best pre 1/1/8 picks

[SBR Lou]

ASU ML +110 (1 unit)

[mandy]

michigan state, houston, maryland, and tcu under

[The Seer]

add:

Mich St. +5 ..................1 unit
Mich St./BC over 56.5..... 1 unit

Tcu -6 1/2.....................3 units
TCU/Hou over 57............1 unit

Oreg St. -5....................1 unit
OrSt/md under 47...........1 unit

[The Seer]

for Sat:

U Conn +3 .................1 unit
Miss St +3 -120 .........3 units
MSt/Ucf under 55 1/2....1 unit
Penn St -5..................1 unit

[Illusion]

Mississippi State +3 (3 units)

[nevadaside]

1*ucf/msu+3

[BigOrangeTitans]

I'm hopping on with the Under is the T AM/psu matchup. Other 2 bowls were under and i dont see those 2 offenses doing much.

AM +6.5
Under 52.5