Bet The House's Plays 11/24

xxProviderxx · 11-21-07, 11:32 AM

Ucon vs. WV

Ucon's vs. their last 3 opps has scored 72 and given up 53, 2 home games and one road game that was a thrashing at Cinn.

WV against Ucons last 3 opp scored 114 and gave up 40 and played all 3 games on the ROAD.

Both played Louisville at home in which Ucon gave up less but scored less. In this game stat wise I give Uconn the edge.

I watched the Ucon Sy game last weekend just for this game this week, I liked Ucon last week to cover but I did not pull the trigger on them. I thought they played a solid game but there O was only producing by big plays, mainly blown coverages in the secondary when SY attempted to play cover 2 man.

This is a tough line, any way you slice it. Im torn on this game I would not bet either at 17, and quite frankly I dont like it either way at 16 either. If the line could move up to 19 I like Ucon for a good sized play, but I wouldent count on that. I probably will not play this game unless the line moves up 2 or down 3.

BigBollocks · 11-21-07, 11:37 AM

You've got two things going for you BTH. You seem to be a solid capper, and you've got the worst capper on the boards against your plays. That's the best of both worlds last I checked...

As for your card, I lean towards Boise myself. I don't think they'll be treating this trip as a vacation to say the least, and should be able to accumulate some solid rushing yards. I obviously love Kentucky.

I don't like UCONN to be honest with you. I think the books are begging for UCONN money, and Rodriguez has a propensity to run up the score if given the opportunity. I think this is a very bad matchup and WVU cuts them up on the ground. I don't have action on it as of now, so will root for you and hope my instincts are wrong. I don't have an opinion on UGA-GT whatsoever. I know both teams well, and have played this one out in my head several times to no avail.

GL BTH, I think/hope you have a good chance at a solid weekend. Cheers...

xxProviderxx · 11-21-07, 11:54 AM

Mizz vs. KU I love Mizz in this game, and there getting points, that was a shocker to me. I think Mizz in a sneeky way chose not to use their Tight Ends vs. Kstate some what think ahead to this game. Look for Mizz's TE's to run wild over the middle vs. KU. Mizz has to many play makers on O for an un tested KU defense. The best team KU has played is probably Tx a&m and they did not look impressive, in fact they almost messed around and lost that game agains a very average Tx a&m defense.

GO vs. GT

You almost have to throw the stats out on this game IMO. GO is playing a different brand of ball as of late, and GT has not impressed me as of late. I like the Dawgs with the low line in Atlanta.

Ky vs. Tenn

Another well matched SEC game. KY has slipped in the last 4 weeks going 1-3, which includes a loss by UF and a thumping by an improved Miss st. team. Then falling in Athens against a now solid GO team. KY's confidence has to be on the weak side. Tenn while not overly impressive has rolled off 4 straite, but they were all home games. I have to give the edge to the home team in this one since Tenn has proved nothing on the road except a winn at Alb, WOW lol. Tenn would have lost to SC and Vandy if the games were away. Tenn will be traveling over the holidays and could come out flat. I like Kentucky in a hard fought game by 5-6 points.

Ball st. and Bost. I have not seen either of them play this year. So im out on both of these games.

Cougar Bait · 11-21-07, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by BigBollocks

You've got two things going for you BTH. You seem to be a solid capper, and you've got the worst capper on the boards against your plays. That's the best of both worlds last I checked...

As for your card, I lean towards Boise myself. I don't think they'll be treating this trip as a vacation to say the least, and should be able to accumulate some solid rushing yards. I obviously love Kentucky.

I don't like UCONN to be honest with you. I think the books are begging for UCONN money, and Rodriguez has a propensity to run up the score if given the opportunity. I think this is a very bad matchup and WVU cuts them up on the ground. I don't have action on it as of now, so will root for you and hope my instincts are wrong. I don't have an opinion on UGA-GT whatsoever. I know both teams well, and have played this one out in my head several times to no avail.

GL BTH, I think/hope you have a good chance at a solid weekend. Cheers...

Thanks for the backup. Any insight or constructive criticism is always welcome. I agree, that UConn pick was a hard one to pull the trigger on. I just believe they have been solid all year, and won't let themselves get blown out. I know WV is great at home and has one of the best ground games in the nation but the times I have wathed UConn this year they have really impressed me. GL to you guys and let's have a great weekend!

The Seer · 11-21-07, 02:46 PM

I wouldn't take Georgia, that game hinges to much on what happens in Kentucky-TN. If Kentucky is winning big, look for Georgia to come out like gang busters because they'll think they're gonna win the east. If TN is winning big (which I don't think will happen) Georgia might come out flat thinking they won't go to the SEC championship the next week. I'd wait and see what is happening before I bet it. There is a 2 hour difference in the games start times.

beaneaters · 11-21-07, 02:57 PM

You hit on four of the games I was leaning on myself. Liking Boise, Georgia and Kentucky, and will probably take Missouri as well. Don't trust UConn and don't know enough about Ball State.
GL, Bean

Cougar Bait · 11-21-07, 03:57 PM

Seer,

You make a good point here. Thanks for the advice. GL this week.

Bean,

Glad to see we are on some games together. Ball State probably has the best quarterback in the MAC. If you haven't seen him play, this would be a great week to watch him torch a pitiful Northern Illinois squad. Ball St. is avg. 280 yds/game in the air and Northern Illinois is giving up over 31 pts. a game. Also, take into account that NIU is 2-9 overall with nothing to play for and Ball St. is 7-3 ATS and you've got to give the 8.5.

Thanks for the input guys. I'll see everyone next Tuesday as I will be on an extended break. GL to all and let's make some dough!

Crutch · 11-23-07, 04:24 PM

its pretty damn hard to hit 5 games