Pags' Plays 11/17

**Wassymac** · 11-11-07, 07:12 PM

looks good Pags. Thanks and good luck

**imgv94** · 11-11-07, 07:14 PM

I'm on

Kansas St +8
Cinci +7
Maryland +8
Nc State +7
Northwestern +14

You and I have five same plays. Let's do this!!!

**pags11** · 11-11-07, 07:43 PM

imgv,

I just love these two pics bro...

**taurus** · 11-11-07, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by pags11

imgv,

I just love these two pics bro...

me, too.

pags- this is the first time I've checked in on a Sunday night.
Curious about one thing. I remember your posting that you look for dogs that you think can win. I'm the first to say that precious few results surprise me in CFB, but you single out Northwestern -onthe road - and Minnesota !! as plays this week. That surprises me.
GL, and it's always a must for me to read your thread.

**jackpot269** · 11-11-07, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by pags11

imgv,

I just love these two pics bro...

forget football whats the odds on the "babby doll" SHE'S AWSOME

**pavyracer** · 11-11-07, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by pags11

Sat. plays all for 1.5 units...

Kentucky +8
Kansas St. +8
Cincinnati +7
Minnesota +13.5
Maryland +8
N.C. State +7
Northwestern +14

I like Kentucky, Cincinnati, Maryland, NC State, Northwestern. The other two I will pass but good luck if you decide to play them. I may play the over though in Kansas St and Minnesota.

**Reverse** · 11-11-07, 08:59 PM

All dogs BOL to you this week pags

**icemantbi** · 11-12-07, 12:19 AM

Hey Pags, whats your opinion on Kansas/Iowa State? The line is currently -26 for Kansas. I think that's too many points to give to an improved Iowa State team who have won 2 games in a row and kept Mizzou and OU within 14 points. I'm really liking Iowa +26 right now.

**Peyton2MarvinN06** · 11-12-07, 12:29 AM

Pags,

Is this WVU/Cincy line off in your opinion? I know the Mountaineers are # 5 or #6 depending on which poll you look at, but the Bearcats are tough as nails @ home! I think this line looks too good to be true... I'm still gonna play it though! I like most of your other plays as well!

Good Luck

**pags11** · 11-12-07, 03:49 AM

taurus,

I'll get more into my analysis later this week my friend...thanks for stopping in...

pavyracer,

thanks for your thoughts...GL to you this week...

reverse,

thanks very much...BOL to you as well...

iceman,

I do like the way ISU has been playing and that is a ton of points...however, I got my first taste all year of being stung by Kansas and at least for this week I don't care to go against them again...GL to you...

peyton,

I had the line between 4.5 and 6, so I felt 7 was a fair number to grab...I am really, really impressed with Cincinnati's speed on defense (as well as pretty much everything else they do)...GL bro...

**Cougar Bait** · 11-12-07, 06:40 AM

Pags, I like the dogs you are playing this week. Especially Maryland and Cincinnati. As for Minnesota and Northwestern, I will wait for your write-ups. NC State also looks like a solid play. What if any are your leans on these plays? Buffalo +1.5, Mississippi St. +10, and Ball St. -5.5 (Tues. night). Thanks and keep it up!

**Cardfan** · 11-12-07, 12:26 PM

don't like the Ky +8 play.
Ky did beat Vandy last week after an off week to heal and prepare. Ky probably had more fans there than Vandy. You would have thought it was a home game listening to the crowd noise on the radio. It just was not a true road game. When you look at the stats you would think Vandy should have won by a couple of TDs. A couple of missed FGs, missed extra point, and Vandy had the ball near the goal line at the end and didn't score. Ky's back Little got banged up again as well. IMO this was a deceiving win and deceiving score for this game. Vandy dominated the game in every aspect except the final score. Ky is digressing.

Georgia looked solid to me. I don't think +8's enough.

**Louisvillekid1** · 11-12-07, 12:43 PM

what's up pags, im with you on most of your picks except minnesota and kansas st, missouri offense is just to scary, especially after a tough game against A&M. . . any thoughts on indiana + 2.5, Mich st + 3, Miss st + 10.5, Washington + 7? . . . i also had a lean on one favorite this week , OK st. - 15. . . Thanks and GL

**cashflow50** · 11-12-07, 02:54 PM

this is the best looking card this season by the imortal one. i agree with all. lets cash this bro.

**pavyracer** · 11-12-07, 04:04 PM

Pags,

I wanted to know what you think of North Carolina +10 and Mississipi St +10 this week. I was surprised that neither made your list.

**pags11** · 11-12-07, 05:05 PM

bet the house,

thanks bud...I don't follow the MAC or Sun Belt very closely, so I don't have an opinion at all on Buffalo or Ball St...I think MSU is in for a bit of a let down after last week's win...that being said, I'd have a tough time laying double digits with a Houston Nutt coached squad, so no play and no opinion for me in that one...

cardfan,

appreciate your thoughts...yeah, I thought the spot set up perfectly for Vandy last week (although I couldn't back them) and I was impressed to see Kentucky escape with a win...I have read reports on Little (although he's just questionable at this point), but Locke is back fully healthy, as is Keenan Burton and Dicky Lyons...I will get more into it in my write-up this week, but I just think this sets up nicely for Kentucky + more than a TD...GL to you this week...

kid,

slightest of leans to both Indiana and MSU...read above my thoughts on MSU...I can't back OSU again this week after a horrible push and a tough loss the past two weeks, but I do believe Baylor has mailed it in...I have to respect how hard Washington plays each week, so I can't go against them, but I can't say I'd take the points vs. a talented Cal team (especially with Locker probably out for this game)...GL this week...

cashflow,

thank you very much...the last two cards have been very difficult in my opinion...this time of year I usually only play 5 games, but this week I'm on 7 (after having played only 5 games each of the past two weeks)...this will be my last big card of the year as I usually tread lightly in weeks 13 and 14 and also in bowl season...BOL to you...

pavy,

read above my thoughts on MSU...I've made some money with UNC this year and like how hard they play, although I just think they are finding ways not to cover games now (where earlier in the season it was the opposite)...that being said, I can't lay 10 with Chan Gailey at the helm and very average QB play...a no play for me...

**Teasem** · 11-12-07, 06:05 PM

I like the card this week Coach

Not sure what's going on with K-State........except for that I almost always lose when I bet on them, so I might stay away for your sake

Good Luck!

**taurus** · 11-12-07, 06:26 PM

I'm really liking Iowa +26 right now.

Go for it, buddy.
I'm not pags, but this is a real look ahead for KU, and ISU is one of the feel good stories of the second half season

**imgv94** · 11-12-07, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by Cardfan

don't like the Ky +8 play.
Ky did beat Vandy last week after an off week to heal and prepare. Ky probably had more fans there than Vandy. You would have thought it was a home game listening to the crowd noise on the radio. It just was not a true road game. When you look at the stats you would think Vandy should have won by a couple of TDs. A couple of missed FGs, missed extra point, and Vandy had the ball near the goal line at the end and didn't score. Ky's back Little got banged up again as well. IMO this was a deceiving win and deceiving score for this game. Vandy dominated the game in every aspect except the final score. Ky is digressing.

Georgia looked solid to me. I don't think +8's enough.

I don't like Kentucky either..

**pags11** · 11-12-07, 11:01 PM

teasem,

they seem to be really struggling on the road right now...fortunately, this game is at home...

taurus,

always appreciate your input...

imgv,

last time you went against me in a teaser vs. Kentucky I remember it didn't work out too well...at any rate, let's hope it can fall somewhere in between...

**tblues2005** · 11-13-07, 12:47 AM

pags I don't like Kansas State since they got clobbered last week vs. a terrible Nebraska team, I see they do have revenge on Missouri from last years 20 point pounding but I think Missouri remembers when they racked up the points a few years ago against them and I don't think Missouri is going to forget that either. I think Missouri wins this by 14 or more actually. I might be wrong because they could get caught looking ahead but I do think Missouri is much better than Kansas State is currently and Kansas State got beat so badly by Nebraska.

**GatorFan** · 11-13-07, 12:52 AM

Originally posted by pags11

Sat. plays all for 1.5 units...

Kentucky +8
Kansas St. +8
Cincinnati +7
Minnesota +13.5
Maryland +8
N.C. State +7
Northwestern +14

Pags,

I am with you on Cinci +7 and go against you on Kasan St. +8. No play on the others. GL to you bro.

**imgv94** · 11-13-07, 04:13 AM

You are the man with Kentucky, I'm not going to dispute that.

Just think it's a bad situation for them.. Georgia is doing very good things on both sides of the ball.

**cwsulzba** · 11-13-07, 04:26 AM

Georgia is firing on al cylinders right now, and at home....I definetely would NOT take Kentucky. UGA all the way. BLOWOUT CITY.

**The Seer** · 11-13-07, 11:11 AM

Pags, I can't go with you on Kentucky either. I think everyone will be on Georgia this week and they will be overvalued if it was a normal situation. However, Kentucky has Tennessee at home next week. The TN game is a huge game for Kentucky. As a matter of fact, it will make or break their season in their minds. It is their most hated rival to them including Louisville. I cannot back Kentucky knowing this. I think they go on the road and lose to Georgia by 10 or so. That being said, I look for Kentucky to beat TN straight up next week because they now have the talent to do it.

**Louisvillekid1** · 11-13-07, 02:30 PM

what's up pags, been following you for a while now, and i was wondering if i could steal a few minutes time and ask you, what is your process in handicapping games, from the time the lines come out till you fill your official card. . . any helpful websites you use or certain trends you like to follow etc. . .???? and if any of you other cappers out their want to talk about their process i think it would be benefical to all of us here, if we can steal a lil bit from everyone and combine that with each of our own styles, we could improve our winning ways. . . thank you and gl too all the cappers out there . . .

**Furt** · 11-13-07, 03:30 PM

I like your picks. The Maryland pick seems to be almost unanimous... at least on this site. I like that pick as well.

The one I don't like is Kansas St +7. I don't know if I'll play Missouri because 7 points is a lot to give up on the road but I really like them to cover. Missouri has played very solid on the road with their only loss vs OU, a game they should have won. If the Missouri D can shut down Nelson I think they will cover because there is no doubt in my mind they can put up points on a very pedestrian K St defense

**pags11** · 11-13-07, 04:48 PM

tblues,

you may be right, but the difference between KSU on the road and at home is night and day...I'll get more into in my write-up this week...GL to you...

gatorfan,

thanks for stopping by...good to hear we are on Cincy together...

imgv,

Kentucky this year in football = USC last year in basketball...

cws and seer,

I've also followed this UGA very closely and one has to wonder how much they have left in the tank after big wins vs. Florida and Auburn...also, if you watched last week's game Brandon Cox's decision making cost Auburn the game...I don't see Andre Woodson doing that this week and the TD + helping of points will keep the backdoor open all day long...more to come in my write-up...GL to you guys...

kid,

I know there's a thread archived here where I explain all of that...possibly imgv can dig it up for us?...these are my busiest two weeks of the year trying to cap the last two weeks of college football and getting my feet wet with college basketball...otherwise, we can discuss it more in the offseason ('cause when I have more time I'd be happy to discuss it with you)...GL bud...

furt,

see my above comments on KSU...GL to you this week...

**Louisvillekid1** · 11-13-07, 09:45 PM

thanks pags' i looked for the thread but got tired off looking through so many. . . ill get back to you in the offseason, thanks. . .

**imgv94** · 11-13-07, 09:49 PM

pags you know your boy has this...

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-handicapping/16094-keys-really-succeeding-capping-college-football.html?highlight=handicapping

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

Take care louisvillekid.

**masr** · 11-13-07, 10:05 PM

I like your Kentucky pick I think Georgia been playing to good, due for slight let down,score will be close...UK will cover
Both teams can be passed against ,i think Kentucky has better QB.
Also like Maryland & Cinn....GL this week

**stump** · 11-13-07, 11:53 PM

i like the kentucky and northwestern selections, good luck

**alexda[]** · 11-14-07, 03:15 AM

tailing ur maryland and cinci plays. gl this week pags! hope u finish strong!

**onlooker** · 11-14-07, 04:18 AM

Uh oh.

I am against you on 3 plays Pags.

I am on Florida State -7.5, Wake Forest -6 and Illinois -13. The lines aren't in stone, because I will try to get better. I just hope it don't bite me in the ass.

Good luck pags.