Another week where TCU is still being considered a favorite in a game I believe the opposition should/could outright win the game.
NM & TCU have nearly identical stats on offense, but the edge should go to the Lobos with QB Donovan Porterie quietly becoming a solid MWC guy whereas redshirt frish Andy Dalton for TCU is still prone to making big mistakes. Lobos have already scored road wins vs. Arizona and Wyoming and TCU just is not the same team that people associate them being from previous seasons. NM's defense has also stepped up its turnover rate recently which should help vs. the young QB.
TCU does get a boost on D with the probable return of DE Tommy Blake, but he will likely play sparingly. They could be hurt on offense with RB Aaron Brown questionable to play.
I like NM +3.5 and NM ML in this one as fading TCU has been a fairly good profit this season with them being 2-5-1 ATS.
NM & TCU have nearly identical stats on offense, but the edge should go to the Lobos with QB Donovan Porterie quietly becoming a solid MWC guy whereas redshirt frish Andy Dalton for TCU is still prone to making big mistakes. Lobos have already scored road wins vs. Arizona and Wyoming and TCU just is not the same team that people associate them being from previous seasons. NM's defense has also stepped up its turnover rate recently which should help vs. the young QB.
TCU does get a boost on D with the probable return of DE Tommy Blake, but he will likely play sparingly. They could be hurt on offense with RB Aaron Brown questionable to play.
I like NM +3.5 and NM ML in this one as fading TCU has been a fairly good profit this season with them being 2-5-1 ATS.
