hogs chalk?

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  • manny24
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-22-07
    • 20046

    #1
    hogs chalk?
    last week i got tricked into thinking maryland had value at home against clemson . this week another game has jumped off the board to slap me across the face like, "hey dummy, why wouldn't you take the head ballcoach and the points at arkansas?"
    yeah, arkansas has done pretty well...against j.v. squads! s.c. has been to georgia, lsu and lost last week barely at tennessee (one of the biggest home crowds in the country), not to mention chapel hill! (hee hee)
    gamecocks have been competetive against all and folded to none. am i supposed to be impressed because arkansas beat chattanooga by 19 pts?
    well if this was last week i would have said dial me up a double dip of blake smelly or whatever but mama taught me to learn from my mystakes so make mine a razorback at -4.5, i guess. I'm sorry but houston nutt might be the worst coach ever. small play .
  • SECfan23
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-26-07
    • 157

    #2
    I like the gamecocks on the money line. The razorbacks beat USC last year in a tight game where the hogs had a lot to play for. They were playing towards and sec championship and a bcs bowl game. This year, the hogs dont have much to play for and have not played up to the level they are capable of. They rushed for around 250 yards last year and the gamecocks only lost by 6 (after blake mitchell threw an interception late in the 4th). To me, that says the gamecocks still have a good shot at winning, even if arkansas can run the ball all over the field.

    That being said, Blake stepped up last week in Tennessee and put usc in the position to win in knoxville (after being down 21-0). USC's defense has had the "bend but dont break mentality" and has been great on third down this year. It seems they only give up points when the offense puts them in bad field position. USC still has a shot to win the sec east (with a little help) and has more to play for.

    I know its not concrete analysis, but the buzz around the gamecock country is that we have a good chance to win this game and i know a few hog fans are biting their nails. The few i have heard from are not sure about their defense stopping a blake mitchell come back.

    Ive got a parlay with va tech and usc on the moneyline. So far so good.
    Comment
    • odusmykal
      SBR MVP
      • 08-30-07
      • 3426

      #3
      I got to agree with you, SECfan.. I look to see a big win by Carolina this week.. Also, I love the picture of The Nature Boy!! WHOOOO!!
      Comment
      • manny24
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-22-07
        • 20046

        #4
        thanks for the feedback sec fan. i actually went to school with rick flair's son (plymouth state) many years ago and i didn't recognize the nature boy the last time you posted. great picture. this just seemed like the line was off. i didn't so much feel that usc was awesome but that when i've seen arkansas play they have been pretty unimpressive (but then again auburn will make most teams look bad)!
        you were not able to back me down last week so i think tomorrow i'm going to pass on this one and hope you hit your parlay. maybe you could tell me because i don't know, but what is the payout for a 2 team ml parlay? maybe i will try rutgers and ok. state. best of luck to you boss!
        Comment
        • Dirty D
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-26-06
          • 796

          #5
          Manny, PASS on this one. I am a die hard hog fan. My two favorite bets on the board this week are ones that I cannot bet. I love the SC Moneyline and the Pats but I would be selli9ng my soul if I bet against their opponents.

          The Ole Ball Coach will not lose 3 in a row. He stops the bleeding this week and signs Houston Nutt's Pink Slip.

          Dirty D
          Comment
          • SECfan23
            SBR High Roller
            • 07-26-07
            • 157

            #6
            manny, i think my parlay pays 6 to 1. Of course those numbers change depending on the size of the dogs your betting.

            I also like the honesty of the hog fans. But dont think of it as selling your soul, just making money. If you bet on the cocks ml, you have a good chance of making some money. Then you spend that money to drink away your hog loss. If the hogs win, youre happy but just a little lighter on the bankroll. I dont want to call it a win win situation, but if you think your team is going to lose, you might as well make a little money.

            Take it from me, i pull for the gamecocks and whoever plays clemson. I hate clemson with a passion. But if I can make money on them, I will. If clemson loses, i dont mind losing a few bucks.

            All in all, i think it will be a good game tonight. Im wondering if the nature boy will show up. He was in chapel hill.
            Comment
            • SexyMit
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-12-06
              • 6139

              #7
              Originally posted by SECfan23
              manny, i think my parlay pays 6 to 1. Of course those numbers change depending on the size of the dogs your betting.

              I also like the honesty of the hog fans. But dont think of it as selling your soul, just making money. If you bet on the cocks ml, you have a good chance of making some money. Then you spend that money to drink away your hog loss. If the hogs win, youre happy but just a little lighter on the bankroll. I dont want to call it a win win situation, but if you think your team is going to lose, you might as well make a little money.

              Take it from me, i pull for the gamecocks and whoever plays clemson. I hate clemson with a passion. But if I can make money on them, I will. If clemson loses, i dont mind losing a few bucks.

              All in all, i think it will be a good game tonight. Im wondering if the nature boy will show up. He was in chapel hill.
              Secfan then I take it you will be betting clemson today so you can make some money off of the destroying Duke. And I also think that the Gamecocks are the play today also!!!
              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
              Comment
              • SECfan23
                SBR High Roller
                • 07-26-07
                • 157

                #8
                very small play on the tiggers. i also teased them with the wake/uva over.
                Comment
                • SECfan23
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-26-07
                  • 157

                  #9
                  Well, I wasnt completely wrong. Blake kept us in the game. And I knew they would be able to run the ball. But 500+ rushing yards??!!.....I thought our defense was better than that. F'in terrible. I believe I saw Mcfadden run by my house last night.

                  congrats to those on the hogs. Fun and tough game to watch for me.
                  Comment
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