2 TOTALS off by a LOT??

**iwantcougars** · 07-19-23, 09:31 PM

florida has a new qb, perhaps the books expect a one side game

wisky new coach likes to run up the score (and expected to have more passing offense than traditional wisky)

**veriableodds** · 07-22-23, 08:09 AM

Originally posted by iwantcougars

florida has a new qb, perhaps the books expect a one side game

wisky new coach likes to run up the score (and expected to have more passing offense than traditional wisky)

I see your point, it's just the 1rst game 1rst week.

**veriableodds** · 07-22-23, 08:12 AM

Here a few sides i like

8.31
Minnesota/-6.5
9.2
fresno state/+6
akron/+11

**iwantcougars** · 07-25-23, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by veriableodds

Here a few sides i like

Minnesota/-6.5

i like the points with nebraska, minny is starting a qb and lost their best offensive player rb.

nebraska shits the bed always but 7 is a lot for fresh minny team

**veriableodds** · 07-25-23, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by iwantcougars

i like the points with nebraska, minny is starting a qb and lost their best offensive player rb.

nebraska shits the bed always but 7 is a lot for fresh minny team

I have always believed one guy down , another same talent fills in. Good points you have thought

**iwantcougars** · 07-25-23, 09:46 PM

both teams are equal, to me the line should be minny 2.5, but dont trust me, if your numbers tells you minny covers the 6.5 easy then go for it

**veriableodds** · 07-26-23, 10:24 AM

Yeah normally just wager based off the model% till I have grinded a few weeks. So I believe akron has a 40.6% wager then is 0.40u. Same for the rest till the real#'s come in

**veriableodds** · 08-04-23, 03:55 PM

Ok C do you post plays, I think you might if I can remember correctly? Any If you do post'em please send me a link current and/or previous season.

**RM Logic** · 08-04-23, 05:41 PM

Its really hard to bet college football the first few weeks with new QBs starting, new coaches taking over, teams with alot of transfer players.

One play I do like is Toledo +11 (it has since moved down to +10) vs. Illinois. They are the MAC favorite and Illinois will have a new QB and RB starting. I think the Rockets can keep it close.

**veriableodds** · 08-04-23, 10:19 PM

Originally posted by RM Logic

Its really hard to bet college football the first few weeks with new QBs starting, new coaches taking over, teams with alot of transfer players.

One play I do like is Toledo +11 (it has since moved down to +10) vs. Illinois. They are the MAC favorite and Illinois will have a new QB and RB starting. I think the Rockets can keep it close.

Exactly I just roll with the %model as base action wagers for a while only putting up 2.11u-combined- on those 5. You mentioned toledo I have them with a 14.7% chance @+10, akron is a tickle under a 20%, the worst % of all my picks