Week 8 plays

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  • BuddyBear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-05
    • 7233

    #1
    Week 8 plays
    Weird week last week. 4 easy winners, 4 easy losers, and one bad beat with Akron up 20-3 in the 4th quarter not only did they blow the cover (-10) but they lost outright 20-24 to lowly Temple. Temple had not won a road game since thier 2003 victory against MTSU. Oh well, let's put it together this week and forget about last week's 3.5-5 effort. I'm actually going out of town and that is why I am taking it kind of easy with the plays this weekend. I really didn't want to get involved too much. I won't be back for a while so I'm going to wish everyone the best of luck now.

    33-28 YTD

    302 Rutgers +3 (1/2 unit)
    302 Rutgers +128 (1/2 unit)
    320 Wisconsin -23.5
    334 Colorado +4.5
    340 Utah State +7
    353 Miami (FL) +6
    386 Pittsburgh +10
    398 Troy -17.5


    *Strongly considering a small play on Conn +140 and even Mich State +17.5 but waiting for better lines as I expect them to move even more than they already have*
  • rjt721
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-06-07
    • 7929

    #2
    Good luck BB. I'm also playing Rutgers on the ML. Also with you on Colorado.

    In regard to the MSU/OSU game, how effective do you see MSU's running game being against the Buckeyes? I'm leaning MSU, but I can't get a good feel for how the running attack will fare against the best defense they've faced. Needless to say, if they can't run they're not covering.
    Comment
    • BuddyBear
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-10-05
      • 7233

      #3
      well the MSU game comes down to both team's strengths. If MSU can establish the run, control the line of scrimmage, keep the play clock going, not the turn the ball over, and put up some points they should easily cover this game...maybe not win outright but a sure cover if they can do those things. So you have to ask yourself if you are going to bet them...can they do that? Generally, teams that win the rushing battle also cover spreads and MSU has a dominant rushing attack so if things hold to form they should cover this game if they can't get thier running game going it will be hard for them in the passing game.

      However, OSU features a very strong rushing defense that should slow down MSU somewhat but how much...im just not sure not abuot that. OSU only allows 68.7 YDS on the ground (#6 in the nation) but anytime you have a small sample size and having played relatively weak competition it can be misleading. MSU has played a much stronger scheudule than OSU (33.7 vs 28.4 schedule strength rating). The one nice thing about this big spread is (1) OSU is not the dominant team offensively so covering big spreads is challenging and (2) big spread always means the backdoor is open for a late garabage TD. Another thing to consider is that these coaching staffs are well acquanted with one another which should seem to imply Tressel would not run up the score (c.f. Mack Brown vs. Gene Chizk) but he does have some pressure perhaps with the BCS standings the way they are but I may be overthinking things there.

      I don't think I could play OSU and MSU is the only side I would consider but I'm going to have sleep on it a bit more. I've bet against MSU 4 times already this year (2-2 YTD) and this would be a spot I would take them...

      GL....
      Comment
      • cashflow50
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-23-07
        • 140

        #4
        302 Rutgers +3 (1/2 unit)
        302 Rutgers +128 (1/2 unit)
        320 Wisconsin -23.5
        334 Colorado +4.5
        340 Utah State +7
        353 Miami (FL) +6
        386 Pittsburgh +10
        398 Troy -17.5

        with ya on a couple

        rutgers
        colorado
        miami fl

        leans on
        utah st
        pitt

        gl BB
        Comment
        • bmac
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-11-06
          • 513

          #5
          Rutgers (ML), Pitt, and CU are the ones I am with you on. BOL double B
          Comment
          • bmac
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-11-06
            • 513

            #6
            I am also on UCONN and MSU....
            Comment
            • bmac
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-11-06
              • 513

              #7
              have a safe trip by the way buddy
              Comment
              • onlooker
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 36572

                #8
                I also like Wisconsin, Colorado and Troy this weekend BuddyBear. I just still have a lean on Florida State though, so I am sorta against you on your Miami pick.

                Good luck.
                Comment
                • pags11
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-18-05
                  • 12264

                  #9
                  card looks good this week...GL to you this week buddybear...
                  Comment
                  • imgv94
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-16-05
                    • 17192

                    #10
                    Take care buddy have a safe trip.. I guess you were talked off Tennessee by someone. Hopefully a good thing cause I really like Bama this week.


                    Always GL.
                    Comment
                    • pags11
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-18-05
                      • 12264

                      #11
                      buddy,

                      congrats on another solid week...keep it up bud...
                      Comment
                      • rjt721
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-06-07
                        • 7929

                        #12
                        1 pt. away from a sweep.

                        Great weekend. Keep it up.
                        Comment
                        • nevadaside
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-20-06
                          • 1263

                          #13
                          EXCELLENCE....once again
                          Comment
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