Louisville & Kentucky over 77

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  • pokernut9999
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-25-07
    • 12757

    #1
    Louisville & Kentucky over 77
    That is a lot of points but in my opinion is the best bet on the board in college football this week. They combined for 87 points last year.

    Louisville in 2 games has 73, 58
    Kentucky in 2 games has 50, 56

    This game should be over by 3rd quarter.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    I'll be taking my chances with the under in this game actually.
    Comment
    • Illusion
      Restricted User
      • 08-09-05
      • 25166

      #3
      Originally posted by bigboydan
      I'll be taking my chances with the under in this game actually.
      Everytime I see totals this high it's always 7-3 after the first quarter. 11 td's as a total is a bit much so I also like the under.
      Comment
      • pokernut9999
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-25-07
        • 12757

        #4
        Originally posted by Illusion
        Everytime I see totals this high it's always 7-3 after the first quarter. 11 td's as a total is a bit much so I also like the under.
        Guess you missed the Hawaii game last week. Total 77,final score 45-44.
        Comment
        • louisvillekid
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-14-07
          • 9262

          #5
          i'm a UofL fan, and after that fiasco last week against Mid Tenn St. i'm curious wether they will get they're defense fixed or not. UofK can put up points, and have a pathetic secondary , history shows, both these teams score on each other alot. i'm not playing it, but i would lean with the over.
          Comment
          • nevadaside
            SBR MVP
            • 10-20-06
            • 1263

            #6
            then before your eyes the Defenses have the games of their lives....too much of an "IF" they run down the field on each other....IMO. The UL D didn't show up last game, so they may have a serious attitude adjustment this week. Just thinking outloud since this one is "tempting".

            GL on this one guys.
            Comment
            • ntgarrett
              SBR Hustler
              • 09-03-06
              • 52

              #7
              I like pokernuts read on this game...really like the over and think it will be a shootout. 77 points is a little scary so I will make a small play on the over. Lets make some money on this pokernut
              Comment
              • pokernut9999
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-25-07
                • 12757

                #8
                I did a quick check on totals. Games with totals over 57 so far 24 games. 16-8 toward the over. Louisville year in year out highest scoring team last 5 years. Kentucky with Rison on fire and neither team has any defense. It will be my biggest play this year.
                Comment
                • Cardfan
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 10-29-06
                  • 95

                  #9
                  This game has a lot riding on it. UK's bowl chances, and UL's at large BCS bowl chances. UL's last game saw a huge swing in the 2nd half, from wide open passing game to a ball control rushing game, with their leading rusher getting 275 yds. There were 73 pts scored 1st half, and 27 scored the 2nd half.

                  I have a hunch if UL can get a 2 score lead, and possession, they will move more toward ball control, running time off the clock. I think they can be sucessful at it. Coach K is already feeling extreme heat, over our defensive performance last week, and a ball control startegy may be in order.

                  But what do I know, I thought last week UL was the bet of the century.
                  Comment
                  • pags11
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-18-05
                    • 12264

                    #10
                    I could see it going that way as well card fan...this is a game that everyone's calling for Louisville and the over, and I wouldn't be surprised to see it got the complete opposite way...
                    Comment
                    • EJandV
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-03-07
                      • 1491

                      #11
                      Poker , I would not think you would say such things since I was getting the impression ncaaf was one of your specialties. To me doing an over 77 is like taking a team - 47 like usc in week 1 . I actually played that mess , turned out to be one of the 6 or 7 favs on the whole board to be a lemon . Over 77 ? Isint that also like taking the over for the nba all star game ? Over 77 ? Isint that a little like taking the colts -19.5 ? Come on dog !!!!!!! Feel me . lol really though , over 77 pts ? Are kurt warner and tory + bruce from 2000 playing in this one ?
                      Comment
                      • pokernut9999
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-25-07
                        • 12757

                        #12
                        You have the highest scoring team past 4 years Louisville along with a potent Ky team that can put points on the board. Ky defense gave up over 28pts.a game last year. This will be a shoot out. And if history is a indicator, when everyone doubts me it is money in the bank.
                        Comment
                        • BuddyBear
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 7233

                          #13
                          I'd lean under if anything.....all it takes is 6 or 7 minute stretch with no scoring to screw this total up. If you have a total this high pretty much everything has to go right. Moreover, I believe the UL coaching staff is well aware of thier defense's problems and therefore I expect them to run the ball a bit more as a way to keep their defense off the field and considering the success Kent St had running against UK we may see a lot of running from UL and that means tick tick tick on the clock....
                          Comment
                          • milwaukee mike
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-22-07
                            • 26914

                            #14
                            totals over 77 are a lot different than totals over 57 imho.
                            i agree all it takes is one or two turnovers in the red zone for the under.
                            or a big lead and some running (ok louisville usually runs up the score anyway...)

                            a bit too high imho to have to sweat out.
                            Comment
                            • EJandV
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-03-07
                              • 1491

                              #15
                              Fact :The over would be fabulous if it goes into overtime . Fact : 41 - 34 final score is a shootout , it still would go under. Exercise : write every probable and realistic score down and give yourself an over 77 .
                              Comment
                              • hova24e
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-08-06
                                • 300

                                #16
                                You know it looks like a given (that they will go over), but I'm thinking it's going to be 30 something louisville, twenty something UK - either way it will stay under....very entertaining game none-the-less
                                Comment
                                • EJandV
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-03-07
                                  • 1491

                                  #17
                                  Like in nba suns at wiz o/u 229 . You know there is no defense and that the team will put the ball up quickly into the shot clock because of their styles , butttt like this game you dont know the coaches gameplan , how the coach may change gears (make adjustments) like you guys have been saying . The tds vs field goal conversion is like the 3pt % in the nba and the free throw attempts/made .
                                  I love taking the over in all sports , it just seems when the totals are on the ez to fix side that I miss them alot . I am sitting there say whattttttttttttttttt, is a fix !!!!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • bmac
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-11-06
                                    • 513

                                    #18
                                    Under if I was going to play it. 77 is a lot even for these two teams... should be interesting. GL
                                    Comment
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