Week 1 Plays

**pags11** · 08-28-07, 01:20 PM

BOL this week sirwinzalot...

**Skankdog** · 08-28-07, 01:25 PM

here is a funny one, most people think that since appalachian state has a great team in Division II that they have a chance to cover -26 against Michigan at Michigan.

Let me put it another way for all to think about:

What is the margin of victory you would think, if the top 5 Div.II teams played at the home teams of the top 5 in Div.I, Now that should scare some guys off Appalachian.LOL

**pags11** · 08-28-07, 01:27 PM

skank,

I believe that they are I-AA and I actually think they have a legit shot in covering in this one (especially with Lloyd Carr's conservative ways)...won't be betting it, but these guys are pretty damn impressive...

**rjt721** · 08-28-07, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by pags11

skank,

I believe that they are I-AA and I actually think they have a legit shot in covering in this one (especially with Lloyd Carr's conservative ways)...won't be betting it, but these guys are pretty damn impressive...

Exactly. I'm a big UM fan, but pags is right - Lloyd's not going to put the ball in the air when they're up by two scores. He'll be perfectly content to hand the ball to Hart and Minor 40+ times and secure a 31-10 type win. I'd stay away from this one.

Solid card sirwinz. Good luck.

**Skankdog** · 08-28-07, 02:33 PM

I just hope Hart can keep that little engine running.LOL He might be my only hope! A loss here might force me to keep out of Le Palace here in Panama for an entire week! Now, that make me Nervous!!!!!LOL

**tullamore** · 08-28-07, 03:09 PM

Michigan always scares me when laying big #'s because of their offensive style. They never just air the ball out, which I think they could do with Henne.

**austintx05** · 08-28-07, 03:43 PM

they could but Carr is an idiot

**pags11** · 08-28-07, 05:21 PM

exactly...

**onlooker** · 08-28-07, 09:58 PM

Originally posted by austintx05

they could but Carr is an idiot

You hit the nail on the head.

**sirwinzalot** · 08-29-07, 06:08 PM

Just hedged my Notre Dame -2.5 bet, and rebought it at -2. I see this game being close so I will get the best line on Notre Dame in this game that I can.

**pags11** · 08-29-07, 06:09 PM

I see you working sir...

**sirwinzalot** · 08-30-07, 04:09 PM

Hegded the Miss St. +18.5 play. Now have it at +19. Go Bulldogs.

**pokernut9999** · 08-30-07, 04:14 PM

how is that a hedge ?

**sirwinzalot** · 08-30-07, 04:24 PM

Well maybe I am using incorrect terminology, but I bought LSU -18.5 to in essence cancel out of my first bet. Then I took Miss St. +19.

**pokernut9999** · 08-30-07, 04:49 PM

Your picks on this thread you started says Miss. St +18.5

Now you say this, interesting ???

**BrianLaverty** · 08-30-07, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Your picks on this thread you started says Miss. St +18.5

Now you say this, interesting ???

umm... are you misunderstanding what he's saying?

He's still has MSU as a pick... but instead he just cancelled out the +18.5 and got +19 instead.

Not a big deal... he just doesnt wanna lose on the hook.

**pokernut9999** · 08-30-07, 05:14 PM

I see that now after rereading. Sorry

**White_Tiger** · 08-30-07, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by sirwinzalot

Well maybe I am using incorrect terminology, but I bought LSU -18.5 to in essence cancel out of my first bet. Then I took Miss St. +19.

I think you lost 10% juice on this 1/2 point is -EV. How often you see the game land on 19??? very sure more than 1 in 10 shots right?

**austintx05** · 08-30-07, 10:26 PM

just accept it...WE ARE ****ING IDIOTS FOR BETTING ON THESE THUGS