NCAA System Plays 2026 Week5

Aunty808 · 10-02-26, 08:13 PM

I forgot to mention in the previous post, the group that didn't qualify as a System Play but met the 6th criteria, went OVER the total 8-1 in Week 4.
I'm watching the Pitt/VTech game and the score at halftime is Pitt 21-24. Don't want to jinx the play, but it looks like the OVER trend continues.

Here's the group of games. I've added the Total line from the covers contest.

Pitt+3 at Virg Tech (55')
Auburn+7' at Tenn (53')
Cinny+7' at Arizona (55')
WVirg+3 at Iowa St (53)
Baylor+3' at Ariz St (49)
UCF+11' at Houston (50')
@Mass-6' vs E Mich (49)
Virg-2' at Fla St (51')

good luck 2 all!

Aunty808 · 2026-10-05T03:42:23+00:00

Recap

To make things easier for me to recap, I've grouped the plays by 5*, the Upset Alert plays and the group that qualified in the Tweaked version. I am using the covers contest lines when I entered the plays or if no line was listed I used the opening line at BMR/odds.

5* Plays
Results S/U 11-0 ATS 8-2-1
North Dakota St-19', Indiana-24', New Mexico-21', James Madison-17', Wake Forest-12', Liberty-7', Texas Tech-14 and Wisconsin-10' all won S/U and ATS.
Toledo-19' and UTSA-11' won S/U but did not cover.
BYU-7 won S/U but pushed on the spread.

4* and 3*
Results S/U 2-1 ATS 0-3
Notre Dame-20' and SMU-20' won S/U but did not cover the spread. Louisville lost S/U and ATS.

5* Upset Alert games
Results S/U 3-2 ATS 2-3
Taking the Dogs in these games
Results S/U 2-3 ATS 3-2 ML 2-3
Alabama-5' and Miami Florida-17' won S/U and ATS. Georgia-25' won S/U but didn't cover the spread. Michigan-5' and Penn St-2' lost S/U and ATS.

Dogs
Minnesota+5' and Northwestern+2' were the two Moneyline winners. Vandy+25' lost S/U but won ATS. Miss State+5' and Clemson+17' lost S/U and ATS.

4* Upset Alert games
Results S/U 1-1 ATS 1-1 ML 1-1
Taking the Dogs
Results S/U 1-1 ATS 1-1 ML 1-1
Ohio St-14' won S/U and ATS. Florida-5' lost S/U and ATS.
Missouri+5' won Moneyline and Iowa+14' lost S/U and ATS.

Tweaked Plays
Results
5* S/U 2-0 ATS 2-0
4* S/U 3-0 ATS 2-1
Two 5* were Memphis-20' and Fresno+1'. Both won S/U and ATS.
Three 4* were Nebraska-14', Boise St-18' and USC-9. Nebraska and Boise both won S/U and ATS, USC won S/U but lost ATS.

*Note: Boise State and USC was not listed in the original post. I missed them and added them here.

I think I will list the games that didn't qualify as a System Play but met the 6th Criteria as LEANS. The O/U plays will be listed as LEANS only. I am still looking for a more reliable betting edge but not quite there yet.

Week 5
Results S/U 2-6 ATS 3-4-1 O/U 4-4
Pittsburgh+3 won S/U and the game went OVER.
Baylor+3' won S/U and the game went OVER.
West Virginia+3 lost S/U and PUSHED ATS and the game went OVER.
Umass-6' lost S/U and ATS and the game went OVER.
UCF+11' lost S/U but won ATS and the game stayed UNDER.
Auburn+7' lost S/U and ATS and the game stayed UNDER.
Cinny+7' lost S/U and ATS and the game stayed UNDER.
Virginia-2' lost S/U and ATS and the game stayed UNDER.

Done......on to Week 6