System Plays Week 13 Tues-Fri Games

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  • Aunty808
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-18-22
    • 422

    #1
    System Plays Week 13 Tues-Fri Games
    Getting ready for Playoff and Bowl Games
    Trying something different this week, no O/U or Point Differentials
    Last Week Picks Results
    S/U 33-6 (84.6%)
    ATS 25-14 (64.1%)

    Week 13
    **(Pick % in contest)
    Akron at BGreen-3.........(56%)
    Mass at Ohio-33..............(60%)
    WMich-6' at No Ill...........(78%)
    MiaOhio-1' at Buff...........(56%)
    LaLaff at Ark St-2'............(71%)

    **I use the pick percentages as a guide as to how Joe P is betting.
    50%-69%...................Safe bet
    70%-79%....................Use caution
    80%-89%....................RED FLAG
    90%-100%..................AUTO FADE

    Last Week RED FLAG/AUTO FADE GAMES
    USC-6' .............(81%) vs Iowa.....WL
    So Miss-4'.......(80%) vs Tex St......LL
    UNLV-6.............(86%) vs Utah St ....WL
    Miss-11'.............(80%) vs Fla...............WL
    SDST-3..............(81%) vs Boise St......WW


    When percentages are picking the DOG
    51%-57%........................Safe Bet
    58%-59%.......................Use Caution/RED FLAG
    60% or higher........................AUTO FADE

    As I mentioned before, Joe P in the contest cannot pick DOGS. They almost always lose.
    I think last week, only DOG to win ATS was So Car (65%)vs TAM.

    Losers
    Pitt+11'.....................(68%) vs ND
    AF+7........................(69%) at Cinn
    Mich St+7.............(60%) vs Penn St
    App St+21.............(69%) at JMadison

    First week doing this method......Follow or Fade

    GL2A



  • Bluewater
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-29-12
    • 469

    #2
    Mahalo
    Comment
    • Bluewater
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-29-12
      • 469

      #3
      Aunty just checked my messages sorry. Please check yours sent a message thanks
      Comment
      • Aunty808
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-18-22
        • 422

        #4
        just sent a PM
        Comment
        • Aunty808
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-18-22
          • 422

          #5
          braddah,
          Looked over my notes and saw that Kent St had a 64%......and your Cmichigan play would've been the way to go. Like I mention before, when they pick Dogs, it usually loses.
          Comment
          • Bluewater
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-29-12
            • 469

            #6
            Thanks played CM Look like L but they got their act together together in the 4th
            Comment
            • Bluewater
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-29-12
              • 469

              #7
              Tried to create an account at covers but they won’t recognize my email ​​​​​ so will need to check with you on games. Do you have any numbers for tomorrow’s games MAHALO as all ways
              Comment
              • Aunty808
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-18-22
                • 422

                #8
                Fla St-6'..........(67%)
                NC St 59'.........(75%) OVER

                Haw 64..........(55%) OVER
                UNLV-3..........(65%)

                Try creating an account with yahoo for the site to use in the contests. You shouldn't have any problems with a yahoo account.
                I'll get the rest of the plays up later today. Let me know what games you are interested in and I'll list those for you.
                laters......
                Comment
                • Bluewater
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-29-12
                  • 469

                  #9
                  K will try and Mahalo
                  Comment
                  • Aunty808
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-18-22
                    • 422

                    #10
                    Fla St-6'..........(67%)
                    NC St 59'.........(75%) OVER

                    Haw 64..........(55%) OVER
                    UNLV-3..........(65%)
                    ======================

                    Update at 12pm HST

                    Fla St-59'..........(71%) OVER
                    NC St +6'.........(70%)
                    Majority now on DOG

                    Haw 64..........(53%) OVER
                    UNLV-3..........(71%)​
                    Comment
                    • Bluewater
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-29-12
                      • 469

                      #11
                      Mahalo for the update
                      Comment
                      • Bluewater
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-29-12
                        • 469

                        #12
                        The under looks like the best bet FSU/NCST game
                        Comment
                        • Aunty808
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-18-22
                          • 422

                          #13
                          Negative Scoring Point (NSP)/Defense
                          Plays
                          Last Week Results..... S/U 10-2 - ATS 9-3
                          Big200 Last Week Results (All Games) S/U 77% - ATS 56%

                          Plays
                          MiaFla-18 @ VTech.....................Virg Tech+18.....(58%)..........MiaFla 4-0
                          Delaware @ WForest-17' ..........WForest-17'........(50%).........WForest 4-0
                          Wash St at JMadison-14..........JMadison-14.....(67%)
                          Mich St at Iowa-17........................Mich St+17.........(55%)
                          Arkansas at Texas-8'..................Arkansas+8'.....(64% )
                          USC at Oregon-10.........................Oregon-10 ........(59%)
                          Kan St at Utah-17...........................Utah-17..............(53%).........Utah 4-0
                          Michigan-14 at Maryland..........Maryland+14....(71%).. ........Illinois 4-0
                          Illinois-8' at Wisc...........................Illinois-8'............(53%).........LSU 4-0
                          WKentucky at LSU-22.................WKentucky+22..(64%)
                          BYU-2' at Cinn................................BYU-2'...................(57%)
                          =============

                          Last Week Results
                          S/U 33-6 (84.6%) - ATS 25-14 (64.1%)

                          Tulsa at Army-10.................Tulsa+10 (55%) ..............Army 4-0
                          Louis+4 at SMU............. .......SMU=4 (67%)
                          Minn at Northwstrn-4........Nrthwstrn-4 (87%)
                          Old Dom-10' at Geo So......Old Dom-10' (59%)........Old Dom 4-0
                          Baylor at Arizona-6'...........Arizona-6' (71%).............Arizona 4-0
                          Nevada at Wyoming-6'...Wyoming-6' (65%)
                          UConn at Fla Atl+6'.............Fla Atl-6' (69%)
                          Liberty at La Tech-1............Liberty +1 (53%)
                          So Florida-21' at UAB.........So Florida-21' (77%)......So Florida 4-0
                          So Miss-1 at So Ala............So Miss-1 (57%)...............So Miss 4-0
                          Jax St at FIU-1.......................FIU-1 (57%)
                          Tulane-9' at Temple.........Temple+9' (73%(
                          Okl St at UCF-13'.................UCF-13' (62%)
                          Geo St at Troy-10...............Troy (61%)..........................Troy 4-0
                          ULMon at Tex St-20...........Texas St-20 (73%)
                          Neb+8 at Penn St...............Nebraska+8' (79%)
                          NMex-3' at AF......................Air Force+3' (80%)
                          Tenn at Fla+4......................Tenn-4 (56%)
                          N Texas-18 at Rice.............N Texas-18 (72%)............N Texas 4-0
                          Ariz St-7' at Colorado..... Ariz St-7' (69%)
                          Utah St at Fresno St-2'....Fresno-2' (73%)

                          GLTA
                          Comment
                          • Bluewater
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-29-12
                            • 469

                            #14
                            I’m Sista sorry but what does the percentage numbers represent TIA
                            Comment
                            • Aunty808
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-18-22
                              • 422

                              #15
                              It's the Team EXperts Percentages picking said teams.
                              Example-
                              Northwestern-4 had 87% of the Team Experts picking them. That would fall into the Red Flag Catagory.
                              I went against them on my parlay sheet and took Minnesota and also faded Air Force who had an 80% and took New Mexico-3.
                              I pushed on Minn+3 on the parlay and won New Mexico-3.

                              I just use the percentages as a guide but still cap with other numbers to find my picks. I really liked Wake Forest and Old Dom but they weren't listed on the sheet.

                              I'm backtesting a method I want to use to do the Bowl Games and it looks promising so far. I'm almost done with last seasons Bowl Games and will try and do 2023-24 on my day off (Wednesday). I should be done with last season later this evening and will post a Bowl Game thread with the results.

                              I can't believe this is the last week of college ball. Bowls are right around the corner.........
                              Comment
                              • Bluewater
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-29-12
                                • 469

                                #16
                                Alrighty mahalo. FYI this is a trend I found a while back you may know it. For bowl games take the dog with the better rushing yards per game

                                Comment
                                • Aunty808
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-18-22
                                  • 422

                                  #17
                                  braddah, a few years ago I did a Bowl game system using the rushing criteria and it was so good, someone stole it and claimed it as hers. I found it while checking my regular forums and was so pissed off that she said it was hers. I had a really good friend at another forum and told him about it. He said I should take it as a compliment because if it was junk she wouldn't have stole it. I never did confront her about it, I just let it go. BTW, the posting dates proved I was the original poster of the System. Her post was after mine.

                                  Anyways, I don't remember much about that system cause it was so long ago. I remember it was something about the rushing yards difference....I dunno.....I forget.

                                  I finished doing last years Bowl Games and will post this weeks picks using that method with last years results.
                                  laters....
                                  Comment
                                  • Bluewater
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-29-12
                                    • 469

                                    #18
                                    How bout today’s games yep I’m a degenerate bettor gotta bet every game ​​​​​ Western Michigan needs to win to keep its MAC championship alive Eastern Michigan needs to win to get in a bowl game. Meanwhile Bowling Green and UMass playing to end season with a win think UMass may what it a little more just to not go 0fer MIA

                                    Comment
                                    • Bluewater
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-29-12
                                      • 469

                                      #19
                                      Neva mind should have checked your bowl numbers
                                      Comment
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