The Rockets host the Huskies in Wednesday night MACtion at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN2.
SBR's Mike Spector shares his best bets in his Northern Illinois vs Toledo prediction:
Game prediction: Northern Illinois +14 (-108 via DraftKings)
Over/Under pick: Under 41.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
"Toledo was expected to challenge for a MAC title this year, but now needs help to make it to the conference championship game in Detroit in December.
The Rockets disappointingly lost two games as double-digit favorites this season. Since they have lost more games outright as heavy favorites than any other FBS team in head coach Jason Candle’s tenure, the Under is the best play as opposed to laying the two-touchdown spread.
Toledo’s defense is stout
Toledo lost its last game 28-7 to Washington State, but it did limit the Cougars to 321 total yards and 3.7 yards per carry.
While Washington State is one of the lone Pac-12 holdovers, it still has power conference talent, so I prefer to judge Toledo against competition similar to its level. Entering that game against the Cougars, the Rockets had allowed just 2.7 yards per carry, while its secondary that had excellent coverage grades allowed just 140 passing yards per game.
Northern Illinois prefers to play in grind-it-out games while cashing the Under in six of its eight contests. Its best chance of an upset is to keep scoring at a minimum, which it did in last year’s 13-6 defensive struggle."
Best prop bet: Northern Illinois team total Under 13.5 (-106 via FanDuel)
"Northern Illinois’ John Holst’s 602 passing yards are the fewest of any MAC starting quarterback. He faces a Toledo secondary that grades as the best, per PFF. The Rockets also entered their last game ranked 11th in FBS in EPA per Pass allowed and 32nd in Pass Success Rate allowed.
The Huskies are not likely to sustain many long drives, as they rank 123rd in third down percentage, while Toledo allows opponents to convert just 30.6% of their third-down opportunities, ranking top 15 in the country.
There are no player props available as of this writing, but these trends have me backing the Under on Northern Illinois’ team total."
SBR's Mike Spector shares his best bets in his Northern Illinois vs Toledo prediction:
Game prediction: Northern Illinois +14 (-108 via DraftKings)
Over/Under pick: Under 41.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
"Toledo was expected to challenge for a MAC title this year, but now needs help to make it to the conference championship game in Detroit in December.
The Rockets disappointingly lost two games as double-digit favorites this season. Since they have lost more games outright as heavy favorites than any other FBS team in head coach Jason Candle’s tenure, the Under is the best play as opposed to laying the two-touchdown spread.
Toledo’s defense is stout
Toledo lost its last game 28-7 to Washington State, but it did limit the Cougars to 321 total yards and 3.7 yards per carry.
While Washington State is one of the lone Pac-12 holdovers, it still has power conference talent, so I prefer to judge Toledo against competition similar to its level. Entering that game against the Cougars, the Rockets had allowed just 2.7 yards per carry, while its secondary that had excellent coverage grades allowed just 140 passing yards per game.
Northern Illinois prefers to play in grind-it-out games while cashing the Under in six of its eight contests. Its best chance of an upset is to keep scoring at a minimum, which it did in last year’s 13-6 defensive struggle."
Best prop bet: Northern Illinois team total Under 13.5 (-106 via FanDuel)
"Northern Illinois’ John Holst’s 602 passing yards are the fewest of any MAC starting quarterback. He faces a Toledo secondary that grades as the best, per PFF. The Rockets also entered their last game ranked 11th in FBS in EPA per Pass allowed and 32nd in Pass Success Rate allowed.
The Huskies are not likely to sustain many long drives, as they rank 123rd in third down percentage, while Toledo allows opponents to convert just 30.6% of their third-down opportunities, ranking top 15 in the country.
There are no player props available as of this writing, but these trends have me backing the Under on Northern Illinois’ team total."