The late Friday night game features the undefeated Cougars and the winless Beavers at 10:30 PM ET on ESPN. SBR's Mike Spector takes a a look at the matchup in his Houston vs Oregon State prediction:
Over/Under Pick: Under 47.5 (-110 BetMGM)
Best Bet: Oregon State +13.5 (-110)
"The sheer fact that this game features a 3-0 team against an 0-4 team suggests we should be in for a “pros vs. joes” type of affair.
Most teams in the country would have lost the two games that Oregon State just lost when making trips to Texas Tech and Oregon. One positive thing that could have been said about the Beavers entering last week’s Civil War rivalry is that defense rarely put them in bad starts to possessions, as they ranked in the top 60 in averaging starting field position.
Houston is a team that thrives on turnovers. It is the only unbeaten team left in the country that has yet to turn the ball over, which is why it is one of nine teams in the country with a plus-six turnover margin or better (and one of four that have done it in three games).
Oregon State should be in for positive regression from a turnover standpoint after starting the season with a minus-four turnover margin. The Beavers committed two turnovers apiece in each of their first two home games, but also outgained those opponents (California and Fresno State) by a combined 167 total yards and had more first downs in each contest."
Player Prop Pick: Conner Weigman Over 28.5 rushing yards (-114 bet365)
"Just three games into the season, Houston quarterback Conner Weigman has already established a career-high for a season with 142 rushing yards.
It is clear that the Cougars' coaching staff prefers a ground-and-pound approach, as Weigman has had 24 or fewer pass attempts in every game thus far. Game script against Stephen F. Austin and Rice may have dictated a heavy running attack. However, Colorado was without four starters in the secondary two weeks ago, and the Cougars still ran 53 times compared to 24 pass attempts.
Weigman has 39-plus rushing yards in two of three games thus far. And in the one game he failed to surpass this total, he still carried 11 times for 20 yards and scored his first touchdown of the season against Rice.
Weigman has steep -180 odds (carrying a 64.29% implied probability) to cash the Under of 1.5 passing touchdowns. That provides a small glimpse into Houston’s potential game plan again this week, which is why I am backing the Over on his rushing yards as a confident three-star best Houston vs. Oregon State player prop pick."
Houston vs Oregon State Best Odds:
Can the Beavers keep this close or will it be a Cougars blowout?
Over/Under Pick: Under 47.5 (-110 BetMGM)
Best Bet: Oregon State +13.5 (-110)
"The sheer fact that this game features a 3-0 team against an 0-4 team suggests we should be in for a “pros vs. joes” type of affair.
Most teams in the country would have lost the two games that Oregon State just lost when making trips to Texas Tech and Oregon. One positive thing that could have been said about the Beavers entering last week’s Civil War rivalry is that defense rarely put them in bad starts to possessions, as they ranked in the top 60 in averaging starting field position.
Houston is a team that thrives on turnovers. It is the only unbeaten team left in the country that has yet to turn the ball over, which is why it is one of nine teams in the country with a plus-six turnover margin or better (and one of four that have done it in three games).
Oregon State should be in for positive regression from a turnover standpoint after starting the season with a minus-four turnover margin. The Beavers committed two turnovers apiece in each of their first two home games, but also outgained those opponents (California and Fresno State) by a combined 167 total yards and had more first downs in each contest."
Player Prop Pick: Conner Weigman Over 28.5 rushing yards (-114 bet365)
"Just three games into the season, Houston quarterback Conner Weigman has already established a career-high for a season with 142 rushing yards.
It is clear that the Cougars' coaching staff prefers a ground-and-pound approach, as Weigman has had 24 or fewer pass attempts in every game thus far. Game script against Stephen F. Austin and Rice may have dictated a heavy running attack. However, Colorado was without four starters in the secondary two weeks ago, and the Cougars still ran 53 times compared to 24 pass attempts.
Weigman has 39-plus rushing yards in two of three games thus far. And in the one game he failed to surpass this total, he still carried 11 times for 20 yards and scored his first touchdown of the season against Rice.
Weigman has steep -180 odds (carrying a 64.29% implied probability) to cash the Under of 1.5 passing touchdowns. That provides a small glimpse into Houston’s potential game plan again this week, which is why I am backing the Over on his rushing yards as a confident three-star best Houston vs. Oregon State player prop pick."
Houston vs Oregon State Best Odds:
Can the Beavers keep this close or will it be a Cougars blowout?