#6 Oregon vs #3 Penn State Predictions

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  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 4429

    #1
    #6 Oregon vs #3 Penn State Predictions
    The Saturday Week 5 NBC primetime game features a battle of Big 10 unbeatens when #3 Penn State hosts #6 Oregon.

    Which team is the bigger threat to Ohio State's chances to repeat?

    Post your predictions below.
    2
    Oregon +3.5
    50.00%
    1
    Penn State -3.5
    50.00%
    1
  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 4429

    #2
    SBR's Isaiah Sirois breaks down the matchup in his early Oregon vs Penn State prediction:

    Oregon +3.5 (-110)

    "Oregon head coach Dan Lanning is an impressive 28-16-1 against the spread since taking over in Eugene in 2022, fourth-best among all programs. His Ducks are also 10-5-1 against the spread when on the road, 18th-best over that stretch.

    On the other side of this matchup is Penn State head coach James Franklin, whose struggles in big games are well known. He is 20-24 against the spread versus ranked opponents since taking over the Nittany Lions in 2014. Meanwhile, Lanning is 10-6-1 in such games. Although Penn State comes in off a bye, Franklin is just 12-11 against the spread in those situations. He is also 1-15 straight up against top five teams, a threshold No. 6 Oregon misses by a single spot.

    This year’s Oregon team, led by Heisman Trophy odds contender Dante Moore, appears unstoppable. Heading into Week 4, the unit led the Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) among offenses. It’s hard to see them losing ground after their 34-point drubbing of Oregon State. Penn State’s offense ranked a solid 11th, but against such bad opponents, it’s concerning that they didn’t produce at a higher level. Penn State has opened the year 0-3 against the spread. Oregon’s offense should keep this within a field goal."
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