Week 2 NCAAF Underdog Picks

[SBR Andy]

Which teams on the Week 2 betting card jump out as potential live dogs?

Posts your top upset picks in this thread!

I'll start:

UConn (+215 DraftKings)

I'm on the Huskies +7.5 and it has since crossed 7. I think they will give the Orange all they can handle.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Ohio+3.5 and +140..they should be a live dog at home here vs WVU.

[SBR Andy]

SBR's Mike Spector is backing 3 road dogs in his best NCAAF upset picks for Week 2:

Iowa (+130 via BetMGM) at Iowa State

"Iowa enters this in-state rivalry matchup against Iowa State having lost eight consecutive games against AP-ranked opponents and 0-9 ATS in its last nine such contests. But the Hawkeyes’ recent success in this battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy, having won seven of the last nine matchups, has me backing them with my first underdog play.

Iowa finished as the fifth-best defensive team according to SP+ last season and is again projected to finish in the top 10 in that metric despite returning just 47% of its production on that side of the ball from last season. That is a testament to the Hawkeyes' culture and identity.

The Hawkeyes are looking to improve upon a 1-3 record in one-score games last year, with one of those losses (by one point) coming against a Cyclones team that finished 5-1 in such games last year. But I expect regression from Iowa State on that front and am selling high on the Cyclones after their big Week 0 win in Dublin against Kansas State."


Baylor (+120 via BetMGM) at SMU

"This is my second consecutive upset pick of an unranked team as a road underdog against a ranked team, but it's one that piques my curiosity based on the odds.

Baylor squandered a big opportunity to earn a statement win against an SEC team in Auburn at home in Week 1. But the Bears have a lot they can build off of after that 38-24 loss, namely quarterback Sawyer Robertson’s 419 passing yards and 3-0 TD-INT ratio.

Now Baylor is only a slight underdog against an SMU team that went undefeated in ACC play in the regular season. The Mustangs had to totally revamp their pass rush with nine new defensive linemen transfers, and a lack of pressure compared to the duress they had opposing quarterbacks under last season is dangerous if Robertson gets comfortable in the pocket."


San Diego State (+104 via FanDuel) at Washington State

"My most confident five-star upset backs San Diego State to beat a Washington State team that is coming off an uninspiring Week 1 victory.

In the Cougars’ 13-10 win over FCS Idaho, they ended the game with three fewer first downs, 10 fewer total yards, and averaged a paltry 0.1 yards per rush.

Had a Vandals turnover not set Washington State up on the opponents’ 15-yard line for one of its scoring drives, or if Idaho did not have issues on special teams with a missed field goal, we might be talking about the Cougars being one of the few FBS teams that lost to an FCS squad last week."

[Kami40]

Rice