What do you guys think about my leans?

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  • imgv94
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-16-05
    • 17192

    #1
    What do you guys think about my leans?
    Plays I like are in bold. Would love your thoughts on these..



    UCONN -6 vs Duke

    Houston/Oregon OVER 56.5

    Wisconsin -14.5 @ home vs Washington State

    Georgia Tech +3 vs Notre Dame

    Colorado -3 vs Colorado State

    South Carolina -28.5 @ home vs UL Lafayate
  • dave11486
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-25-06
    • 999

    #2
    Lot of interesting choices. I lean to Colorado and lean to ND.
    Comment
    • imgv94
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-16-05
      • 17192

      #3
      Looks like you and me are in the minorty with Colo.. Tons of people liking Colo St.


      ND? Brand new team?
      Comment
      • ritehook
        SBR MVP
        • 08-12-06
        • 2244

        #4
        I'll go with the leans on G Tech and Colorado.

        Lubick has a good team, but Hawkins should straighten out the Buffs this year, and the best "revenge" games are always early season ones.
        Comment
        • pags11
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-05
          • 12264

          #5
          imgv,

          not playing any of these myself...u the man...
          Comment
          • austintx05
            SBR MVP
            • 08-24-06
            • 3156

            #6
            Originally posted by imgv94
            Plays I like are in bold. Would love your thoughts on these..



            UCONN -6 vs Duke

            Houston/Oregon OVER 56.5

            Wisconsin -14.5 @ home vs Washington State

            Georgia Tech +3 vs Notre Dame

            Colorado -3 vs Colorado State

            South Carolina -28.5 @ home vs UL Lafayate
            with the loss of kolb and a couple other key positions, I am not sure how much Houston will score. I think this game might make Oregon's defense look better than what it really is. I like Oregon -15.5

            GT will not cover. Rookie qb only getting 3 points, no CJ and Weiss has 9 5th year seniors returning. He is not rebuilding by any means. I think this line should be 6.5. ND is undervalued this year because everyone has given up on them based on their performance last year.

            You need to add Texas -37
            Comment
            • pags11
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-05
              • 12264

              #7
              austin,

              with you on Texas...actually I'm on Houston and the points...think they have a lot of team speed and QB Joseph should step up and do a good job...they still have a lot of holdovers from last year's bowl team...Oregon has their own QB and defensive issues...seems like a lot of points to me...
              Comment
              • austintx05
                SBR MVP
                • 08-24-06
                • 3156

                #8
                pags,

                I expect Oregon to cover this game in preparation for Michigan. Houston does not have a QB yet and Briles has said he won't make the decision until a couple days before the game. It will limit them in what they do and limit prep work because of split snaps. gl either buddy
                Comment
                • Razz
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-22-05
                  • 5632

                  #9
                  I like Duke a lot and expect them to win this game relatively easily. Two reasons it will be much wiser to bet against them later in the year are their large number of returners and the fact that even bad teams have a lot of spirit early in the season, particularly in home openers. I like DJ Hernandez and Randy Edsel, but UCONN still doesn't possess the talent to be a road favorite against all but the dredges of college football, and surprisingly, I don't think this year's Duke team qualifies.

                  I like Houston to cover and take Oregon to the wire (though the Pac 10 officials won't let them actually lose the game), but the over seems wise. Oregon's defense is horrendous and Houston actually has better playmakers at the skill positions. The line is drastically inflated because of Kolb's departure. 10 or 11 is the true line on this game, and with the lookahead potential, if it's a 17- or 21-point game late, Belotti will leave the backdoor open.

                  Wisconsin is a horribly overrated team. They were the all-time epitome of a smoke and mirrors team last year. I certainly wouldn't lay over two touchdowns with a far inferior QB.

                  Notre Dame is the play against GT. I'm not saying they'll win, I'm not even saying I'll bet them. But it seems like everyone expects GT to show up and win easily. And, yes, they do have a very good defense. But it's my opinion that West Virginia's awful defense and lackadaisical effort in last year's bowl game (Gator?) has people expecting big things out of GT this season, while the Sugar Bowl + departures have people thinking ND will be awful. I actually think ND will surprise some people, win this game, beat Michigan, and have a pretty nice year overall. Huge coaching advantage as well.

                  I think Colorado +3 is the only play, but I expect both teams to be improved this year and will be looking to only play on them for the time being.

                  South Carolina buried an MTSU team much better than this Lafayette team last season, and Lafayette lost by a combined 86 points to the two major conference teams they played last season, so I guess that's the only play. Lookahead to Georgia though, so Spurrier may treat it like a preseason game.
                  Comment
                  • linebacker
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-24-06
                    • 122

                    #10
                    Originally posted by imgv94
                    Plays I like are in bold. Would love your thoughts on these..



                    UCONN -6 vs Duke

                    Houston/Oregon OVER 56.5

                    Wisconsin -14.5 @ home vs Washington State

                    Georgia Tech +3 vs Notre Dame

                    Colorado -3 vs Colorado State

                    South Carolina -28.5 @ home vs UL Lafayate

                    I especially like South Carolina. Knowing Spurrier, He will run the score up.
                    Comment
                    • pags11
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-18-05
                      • 12264

                      #11
                      austin,

                      GL to you as well my friend...
                      Comment
                      • bucketrod
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 08-11-07
                        • 1

                        #12
                        I actually like the U in the Houston game. Houston has a good line and the running game should be good. I look for them to run more. The D is looking real good this summer. They got some tranfers, on from Auburn that should help out. They also have a really, really impressive punter who just walked on. He has some serious hang time. Last year UH would give the opponents a short field, that wont be the case this year. I also think they will keep it close. While Kolb is gone, the last two time UH has played Oregon they have kept it close with a less talented team than they have now, while Oregon was playing with more talented teams than they have now.
                        Comment
                        • imgv94
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-16-05
                          • 17192

                          #13
                          Originally posted by bucketrod
                          I actually like the U in the Houston game. Houston has a good line and the running game should be good. I look for them to run more. The D is looking real good this summer. They got some tranfers, on from Auburn that should help out. They also have a really, really impressive punter who just walked on. He has some serious hang time. Last year UH would give the opponents a short field, that wont be the case this year. I also think they will keep it close. While Kolb is gone, the last two time UH has played Oregon they have kept it close with a less talented team than they have now, while Oregon was playing with more talented teams than they have now.
                          Solid stuff
                          Comment
                          • prickbeater101
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-07-06
                            • 363

                            #14
                            At the current line I just love the Tigers over Miss.St. Even when LSU struggled and didn't have the teams they have now, they have always manhandled Miss St. From knowing Les Miles and all the talk about USC he should be on a mission to show something and will open with a very impressive win. I was wondering about him pulling the "dogs" off with a big lead, but I don't believe that will be the case..
                            Comment
                            • BuddyBear
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 7233

                              #15
                              If I could get WSU at +14.5 I would consider but not anymore.....

                              I do like the SC play...it's a lot of points but UL-Lafayette lost their veteran QB (Jerry Babb) and to make matters worse they have a new offensive coordinator. That being the case, I don't expect to many SEC teams to have an easy time scoring on SC's defense this year...I can certainly see SC pitching a shutout and winnig something like 41-0.

                              Lean toward Duke though but need to get it back to +6 before I play it. The other games no opinion as of now.

                              Good luck....
                              Comment
                              • imgv94
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-16-05
                                • 17192

                                #16
                                A lot of solid handicappers are on LSU..

                                I might have to bet it.
                                Comment
                                • Willie Bee
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-14-06
                                  • 15726

                                  #17
                                  Like the Ramblin' Wreck play, GV.

                                  Staying away from some of the consensus picks for Top 6-7 or so in the preseason polls just because I believe one of them is going to get popped (or barely cover against someone they should kill) early on. I'm sort of being a wuss about some of the upper echelon teams in the early going.
                                  Comment
                                  • pags11
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-18-05
                                    • 12264

                                    #18
                                    imgv,

                                    regarding LSU...sometimes you have to go with the public...they are right too every once in a while...
                                    Comment
                                    • onlooker
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 36572

                                      #19
                                      So far I have come up with 4 to 5 plays on the first weekend of college football. None of them are listed above or conflict with yours above.

                                      Good luck with them IMG.
                                      Comment
                                      • imgv94
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-16-05
                                        • 17192

                                        #20
                                        Where are they looker?
                                        Comment
                                        • pags11
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-18-05
                                          • 12264

                                          #21
                                          yeah, I'd like to hear what plays you have onlooker...
                                          Comment
                                          • clonecat
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-29-05
                                            • 1225

                                            #22
                                            Not much of an opinion, but I really like Duke this year. I think they will make a bowl game. Sounds crazy, but I like them. Best QB Duke has ever had.
                                            Comment
                                            • onlooker
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 36572

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by clonecat
                                              Not much of an opinion, but I really like Duke this year. I think they will make a bowl game. Sounds crazy, but I like them. Best QB Duke has ever had.
                                              If they do clone, I will give you kudos at the end of the year, just remind me.

                                              I just don't see it.
                                              Comment
                                              • onlooker
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-10-05
                                                • 36572

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by imgv94
                                                Where are they looker?
                                                Originally posted by pags11
                                                yeah, I'd like to hear what plays you have onlooker...
                                                Ok guys, here is what I came up with so far.

                                                Oregon State -6.5
                                                Stanford +17
                                                Boston College -6
                                                Akron -4.5

                                                Also have a lean on Florida Atlantic -2.5, just not sure right now.

                                                I will go back through the games next week to see if I missed anything.
                                                Comment
                                                • rjt721
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-06-07
                                                  • 7929

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by onlòóker
                                                  Ok guys, here is what I came up with so far.

                                                  Oregon State -6.5
                                                  Stanford +17
                                                  Boston College -6
                                                  Akron -4.5

                                                  Also have a lean on Florida Atlantic -2.5, just not sure right now.

                                                  I will go back through the games next week to see if I missed anything.
                                                  I like BC. Also leaning to Stanford.

                                                  Good luck looker.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • onlooker
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 08-10-05
                                                    • 36572

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by rjt721
                                                    I like BC. Also leaning to Stanford.

                                                    Good luck looker.
                                                    Thanks RJT.

                                                    I hope the money keeps pouring in on Wake Forest. To help our cause a bit.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EBone
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                      • 1787

                                                      #27
                                                      Have taken a look on Thursday and Friday. I think Kent is worth a moneyline play on Thursday and I love Washington -3 @ Syracuse on Friday.



                                                      E
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pags11
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-18-05
                                                        • 12264

                                                        #28
                                                        I actually like Wake Forest quite a bit in week one...GL to you guys though...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rjt721
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-06-07
                                                          • 7929

                                                          #29
                                                          pags, what do you like about Wake in this one?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Razz
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-22-05
                                                            • 5632

                                                            #30
                                                            After looking at this game a little more in depth, I've got to say that BC is the play IMO. I won't be betting it however.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • imgv94
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-16-05
                                                              • 17192

                                                              #31
                                                              I think I'm going to have only 4 or 5 plays in week one.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EBone
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-10-05
                                                                • 1787

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by imgv94
                                                                Plays I like are in bold. Would love your thoughts on these..



                                                                UCONN -6 vs Duke

                                                                Houston/Oregon OVER 56.5

                                                                Wisconsin -14.5 @ home vs Washington State

                                                                Georgia Tech +3 vs Notre Dame

                                                                Colorado -3 vs Colorado State

                                                                South Carolina -28.5 @ home vs UL Lafayate

                                                                In response to the original question of this thread, here's how I see it:

                                                                UCONN -6.....agreed and I will play it.

                                                                HOUSTON/OREGON OVER.....agreed but will not play it.

                                                                Wisconsin -14.5.....agreed but will not play it.

                                                                Georgia Tech +3.....agreed but will not play it.

                                                                Colorado -3.....disagree but will not play it.

                                                                South Carolina -28.5.....disagree but will not play it.

                                                                UConn is now @ -5.5. I see that Razz likes Duke in this one. I'll respectfully disagree and will ride UConn as well. Good luck to you, imgv94.


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                                                                Comment
                                                                • imgv94
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-16-05
                                                                  • 17192

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thanks fot your thoughts EBONE.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pags11
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-18-05
                                                                    • 12264

                                                                    #34
                                                                    ok Big Boy Dan...err, I mean razz...

                                                                    rjt,

                                                                    everyone says wake got lucky last year, everyone say they lost a ton, everyone still thinks BC will be a great program with O'Brien gone...I'm not buying it...I'll have more on my write-up on Thursday...GL...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • imgv94
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-16-05
                                                                      • 17192

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I should of played everyone one of these..


                                                                      Comment
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