I'm 4-0 in my Bowl Picks so far!!!! Who do I have next??

**BigdaddyQH** · 12-23-09, 11:40 AM

Just what are you trying to promote? You act like a tout, but aparently are not ready to take the plunge yet. According to your record, you are 76-42 on NBA plays but only up 12.44 units. That is terrible, especially since you claim that your "Strong plays" are 11-1. At one unit per game, a record of 76-42 produces a +22.2 record. I do not understand your posts or record at all. The math does not add up. Why short change yourself?

**jaymac82980** · 12-23-09, 12:30 PM

ive been quietly following dunchen for a while now. he's very honest with his numbers. very quick to admit if he's wrong too.

good luck dunc, i actually already hit up utah on this one too! glad to see your there as well.

not sure about the smu bet, i'm staying away from that spread, but sure as shit pounding the OVER! 1st half over, game over, whatever my degenerate gamblin ass can bet that has to do with nevado and smu scoring a lot of points.

good luck

**Pride>UFC** · 12-23-09, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

Just what are you trying to promote? You act like a tout, but aparently are not ready to take the plunge yet. According to your record, you are 76-42 on NBA plays but only up 12.44 units. That is terrible, especially since you claim that your "Strong plays" are 11-1. At one unit per game, a record of 76-42 produces a +22.2 record. I do not understand your posts or record at all. The math does not add up. Why short change yourself?

dude you're like Eric from Entourage, u sure know how to be a buzz kill...

**DuncHen22** · 12-23-09, 02:18 PM

Thanks JayMac!

My SMU pick is mainly because Nevada is missing 2 of their 1000-yard rushers. Also I think SMU's coach will be able to teach his players how to play well in Hawaii, and it's sort of like a homecoming for him. And Nevada lost their def. coordinator (took a head coaching position at Portland State). I don't know how much that will really hurt them but it can't help.

And I'm not trying to promote anything, really. I just do this for fun and entertainment. As you can see on my site, I have no ads up, and I don't ask for money. Sure, it's fun to see lots of traffic at my site but it means nothing.

As for my record, I'll be the first to admit that, unit-wise, it sucks. Which is why (and you'd know this if you went to my site and looked at the "record" page) I made some notes on my site explaining why my units are so low. 1) When I started out I was making picks but not playing them, 2) also when I started I was overly enthusiastic about my NBA system that I kept trying parlays and teasers. I was still hitting 65-70% but that's not going to cut it with parlays. Stupid, I know, but I learned my lesson. Also, I had a faulty system earlier that I thought would give me strong confidence ratings but it didn't work so i lost one or two 2 unit bets which will bring down my overall total.

Also, my "Strong Play" system just started. That 11-1 record is my backtested record for this season. I should the backtested record is 10-1, and I've only actually played 1 so far which I still only played 1 unit on because the system is so new. I'm still a little weary of it, to be honest, but the math appears to be sound.

That doesn't even matter though. In the end, when we are talking about an individual game, all that matters is my percentage. My percentages don't lie.

**roflc0pter** · 12-23-09, 02:23 PM

Originally posted by Pride>UFC

dude you're like Eric from Entourage, u sure know how to be a buzz kill...

It's pretty rough in Chicago right now man... give the guy a break. You have Jay Cutler and throwing interceptions all day and the Bulls giving up a 35 point lead

**kalamity85** · 12-23-09, 02:32 PM

after BYU's dismantling of OSU, i like both of your picks

**hugh_morris** · 12-23-09, 02:39 PM

This is a tough one..Utah isnt the same team as last year...I think Cal is a little better on both sides of the ball, but has been inconsistant at times...rollin' small on Cal...good luck gentlemen...

**xyzky** · 12-23-09, 02:56 PM

Good luck tonight DuncHen22...

**angelodebo** · 12-23-09, 06:37 PM

I like SMU DuncHen22...I think SMU will battle and fight to keep this game close. It is their first bowl game in a while.

But..I'm laying major dough on Cal tonight. I agree, the Utes are def better on paper. But this line is shady!

**danrman** · 12-23-09, 07:04 PM

cal and under

**BigAL** · 12-23-09, 07:09 PM

keep the streak alive

**jaymac82980** · 12-23-09, 09:31 PM

u guys (not to be a dick) that took cal, may want to think about taking a 2h bet for some hedge action.

utah hasnt lost a bowl game in what? 8 years? pac 10 is overrated. i cashed on 1h +1, and im pretty excited about +3 for the game.

2h spread is now +3, and i would hammer that too! i know i will, of course it will be $300, which is equal to my 1h wager that i won. so im just going double or nothing on the team that is playing VERY well right now.

cal scored 1 td on a early int that put them up 14-0. that wont happen again. they will not make a come back, and utah wants to prove that they belong there! playing with a chip on their shoulders means they will not lighten up!

i dont wish anyone to lose money,

**DuncHen22** · 12-24-09, 03:55 AM

UTAH +3 WIN!!

5-0 in bowl games!

Originally posted by angelodebo

I like SMU DuncHen22...I think SMU will battle and fight to keep this game close. It is their first bowl game in a while. But..I'm laying major dough on Cal tonight. I agree, the Utes are def better on paper. But this line is shady!

That's my thinking on the SMU game as well! Sorry you missed the Cal game.
SMU +13
Best of luck!

**hawk 5** · 12-24-09, 08:43 AM

Good job, I'll try a little SMU.

**tbone40143** · 12-24-09, 09:05 AM

nice job so far got the utah one. i like smu tonight as well!!

**BigdaddyQH** · 12-24-09, 09:36 AM

Good play last night, though I told everyone to take Utah and the ML. The difference between -110 and +155 is a healthy one. Good job so far. Keep up the work. Pass for me tonite.

**BeatTheJerk** · 12-24-09, 03:32 PM

Nice job dunchen ................. but you will be 5-1 after tonight. BOL !

**RobbReport** · 12-24-09, 03:43 PM

what about SMU moneyline?

**Hawaiian35** · 12-24-09, 03:50 PM

Locked in = +360 for two Hundo!!! 720 if it hits!!! GL

**Cougar Bait** · 12-24-09, 05:40 PM

Keep raking it in bro...on SMU as well. GL tonight

**LINE-crush-ER** · 12-24-09, 10:48 PM

I think everyone is at least 4-0 or at least the majority of us well make that 5-0 now with SMU

**Mac4Lyfe** · 12-24-09, 11:22 PM

I wish I'd read this thread before I betted on Nevada a few days ago...

**DuncHen22** · 12-25-09, 12:25 AM

That's 6-0 for me! Congrats to everyone who took SMU too!

**SaffaCappa** · 12-25-09, 12:29 AM

Great Stuff DuncHen22

Looking forward to the 7-0 pick

**BUCS220** · 12-25-09, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by DuncHen22

That's 6-0 for me! Congrats to everyone who took SMU too!

many congrats! So what does the eye in the sky see next?? Keep it rollin Man, WTG

**Sirus73** · 12-25-09, 01:53 AM

Let me guess... Ohio is the next play right?

**ezmoney** · 12-25-09, 09:13 AM

Wayne Root might be calling you for your next pic!

GL on 7!

**MTek** · 12-25-09, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by Pride>UFC

dude you're like Eric from Entourage, u sure know how to be a buzz kill...

**nick2060** · 12-25-09, 03:27 PM

damn

Nice start to the bowl season, Merry christmas everybody

**DuncHen22** · 12-26-09, 12:03 AM

OHIO -3

I still have to look into the other 2 games more but here are my tentative picks:

PITT -3
BC +7.5

**paste_me** · 12-26-09, 12:17 AM

i like those a lot!

**VenomLugz** · 12-26-09, 12:29 AM

mmm I like your pick!!!

**phatgentleman** · 12-26-09, 03:35 AM

hmm all my picks are opposite of mr 4-0....

**DuncHen22** · 12-26-09, 03:51 AM

Originally posted by phatgentleman

hmm all my picks are opposite of mr 4-0....

Well don't quote me on these, I am starting to move toward UNC. I'm not completely set on BC yet either...