Wal's Bowls Thread

wal66 · 12-06-09, 06:38 PM

I can tell you I have already done a 3-Point 2 team teaser with Oregon and Alabama cause those teams are already available at my site. I also am already down on Oregon -3 and Alabama -4.5 at my site cause those are the opening numbers there. I will have official write ups on games as they are scheduled.

HoulihansTX · 12-07-09, 01:11 AM

Gl this Month Wal.

Those BCS bowl game numbers should be jumped on early. They will move fast against us.

mmike032 · 12-07-09, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by wal66

I can tell you I have already done a 3-Point 2 team teaser with Oregon and Alabama cause those teams are already available at my site. I also am already down on Oregon -3 and Alabama -4.5 at my site cause those are the opening numbers there. I will have official write ups on games as they are scheduled.

what book lets ya do 3pt teasers?
and whats it pay?

wal66 · 12-07-09, 10:07 AM

mmike, it's a private site, about all I can say. 3-Pointer pays +130 though.

wal66 · 12-07-09, 10:07 AM

Program Generated Lines

Fresno St -11

Rutgers -2.5

Southern Miss -1.5

Oregon St -3

California -1

Nevada -7

Ohio -1.5

Pittsburgh -2.5

USC -6

Georgia -7

UCLA -6

Miami -6

Bowling Green -1

Arizona -2

Houston -2

Stanford -1

Missouri -2

Minnesota -2

Virginia Tech -7

Auburn -10

West Virginia -3.5

LSU -4

Oregon -5

Florida -5

South Florida -8.5

Ole Miss -1.5

Arkansas -7

TCU -3

Georgia Tech -4

Central Michigan -7.5

Alabama -6.5

mmike032 · 12-07-09, 10:09 AM

Originally posted by wal66

mmike, it's a private site, about all I can say. 3-Pointer pays +130 though.

thats what I figured but just curious.

wal66 · 12-07-09, 10:32 AM

mmike, maybe I am remembering wrong but I could have sworn I have seen 3-Pointers on my Sportsbook account though. I can't check right now cause I'm at work and if they catch me on a gambling site on the network my Christmas will be blue.

mmike032 · 12-07-09, 10:37 AM

for bball maybe.
never seen less than 6 PTs for football

BigdaddyQH · 12-07-09, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by wal66

I will post an opinion or play for every bowl game in this thread. I have already ran the program for the BCS matchups as well as Army/Navy next week.

Navy -18

Alabama -6 -4

TCU -2.5 -8

Oregon -5 -3.5

Georgia Tech -4 -3

Florida -5 -10.5

I will post the entire bowl line-up as they are available and I get a chance to run the prgram on them. One note on the program for the bowl games. Regular season I factor in homefield. so some lines may be off since that is not a factor for the bowls. However there are other situations to consider such as motivation and in some instances weather concerns.

Those are the curent Hilton Lines. The big change is TCU, who opened up at -4 against Boise. WE saw it as a 7 point bgame, so we took TCU -4. Aparently most of the other big players saw it closer to a 10 point game, because the line has soared to -8. We have a nice middle is the BCS Buster Bowl.

wal66 · 12-07-09, 03:35 PM

I am shocked at the Florida love with that line. Cincy can score and the mentality of Florida in this spot has me perplexed. On one hand it is the final game and Tebow will have a month to give his last great speech. On the other hand it is their final game, plans for NFL careers will be in the works and they aren't playing for a National Title.

I still think whatever the total is will be my play in this game though.

wal66 · 12-14-09, 09:59 PM

Write-ups will come in time but for now these are the games I am already on and the lines I got when booking them.

Official Plays:

Alabama -4.5******
Oregon -3******
LSU +2.5**
Auburn -7** (bought the hook)
Miami -3**
Arkansas -7** (bought the hook)
UCLA -3* (bought the hook)
________________________________________ _____________________________

I will also be on

Michigan St
Stanford
Air Force
FSU
North Carolina

I am waiting because I think these teams opponents will get heavy action as games draw nearer.
________________________________________ _____________________________

Games I am leaning on.

Clemson -7
USC -9.5
Arizon +2
Virginia Tech -6
Nevada -6
California -3.5
Wyoming +12.5
Southern Miss -4
Oregon St -2.5
South Florida -6.5

The rest of the games I am still undecided.

Cougar Bait · 12-14-09, 10:29 PM

Looks good Wal. We will be on a lot of the same games. GL this bowl season!

Can't believe it's almost over

wal66 · 12-14-09, 10:44 PM

I know Coug's. College football is my favorite time of year. Always sad to see it end. Unfortunately for me I am starting to get into this college basketball capping. I have mixed emotions right now. On one hand I want to have the same success there as I have had in football. On the other hand I don't want to be here on an year round basis either.

Mac4Lyfe · 12-14-09, 11:10 PM

Nice looking Wal66. I'll be tailing you on a bunch

2daBank · 12-15-09, 03:20 AM

wal i gotta say ive really appriciated all the work you"ve done with lines this year they were very helpful to me ive never really posted to much in this thread just wanted to say thanx

and lets get this bowl gm money

wal66 · 12-15-09, 08:22 AM

2da, it's no problem guy. I already do this for every game anyways and it is no trouble posting what I have. In a perfect world eveybody helps everybody. Well it's not a perfect world but I try to keep my lil space available for those that want it to be.

Gonna_Win · 12-15-09, 08:27 AM

Thanks for the plays Wal

BigdaddyQH · 12-15-09, 09:48 AM

I see you played on every Pac 10 team. That is not going to happen. Stanford will be a loser without Luck. UCLA is a lousy bowl team (1-4 S/U in their past 5) with no offense. The band will outnumber their fans. They needed an Army loss just to get into this game. Temple is on the way up. This is a huge step for them, and would be a big win for their program. We really like Temple here. The line is UCLA -4 all over Vegas.

You are aware that Michigan State lost 10 players to suspension and more are on the way. At least 3 of those players were starters. They were 6-6 going in, playing in the weak Big 10. With the line between 7 and 7.5, this is not a good wager. This team gave up 29 or more points in half of their gmes this year, and needed wins against Montana State and Western Michigan just to get here. Texas Tech scored 30 or more in 7 of it's games this year. There is no reason to think that they will not score 30 or more in this game.

As far as your official plays go, other than the UCLA play, the only other one I see as dangerous is the Auburn play. Auburn lost 5 out of their last 7, and one of those two wins was against Furman. On paper, this looks like a mis-match, but Northwestern is one of those teams that just never quits. They won 4 out of their last 5 to get into this game. Last year, they took Mizzou into overtime as a 14 point dog. It is tough to wager against them. The only other problem I see is Les Miles having another brain fart and losing to Penn State. LSU is the better team, but Miles can find ways of snatching defeat out of the jaws of victory.

2daBank · 12-15-09, 09:54 AM

bigdaddy i would really appreciate it if you could stop by my thread and let me know what you think. you to wal..thanx in advance..thread is my bowl season card

BigdaddyQH · 12-15-09, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

bigdaddy i would really appreciate it if you could stop by my thread and let me know what you think. you to wal..thanx in advance..thread is my bowl season card

Sure. No problem.

wal66 · 12-15-09, 12:30 PM

QH, in reference to UCLA I agree. I think Temple is on the rise and even though I am on UCLA here I would like to see a smaller school get one over the larger conference. However if UCLA come to play (which as you stated they have a history of not in bowl games) I think they can get the job done. I don't see this line getting any lower and if it climbs like I think it might then I can always middle my way out.

Michigan St. I planned on playing them with the other teams in that group but haven't yet completed capping those games. I had forgotten about the player suspensions and it will make a huge difference on a game I was already leary of.

Auburn game we just see it differently and that doesn't mean what you stated isn't true. Just worth the risk from my perspective.

HoldEmHook!! · 12-15-09, 12:46 PM

Wal, your first 7 picks (the one with stars) we are in total agreement.....about 50/50 on the rest i look forward to your write-ups later.......

Football is almost over and I dont play other sports, dont watch much of them on tv either.....its a sad time...notice my screen name....my other favorite time of the year, and something I am far better at than capping, Fishing. After my beloved Crimson Tide wins the championship on Jan 7, I fish my first of many tournaments on jan 9th.....I will look in time from time..Best Of Luck this bowl season my friend

wal66 · 12-15-09, 01:29 PM

Same to you Holdem. Part of your nic is my third favorite past time. When not involved capping or playing golf I am playing Holdem. Haven't played since football season started so I am kind of amping to hit the tables some. Maybe my bad run is over. Hope so anyways. I can't possibly put myself in better positions han I do only to end up with the worst beats. Better players are supposed to rise to the top but Florida Poker makes that difficult to accomplish at times.

I am glad we agree on the booked games. I hope that means we are just as happy after the bowls as well.

HoldEmHook!! · 12-16-09, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by wal66

Same to you Holdem. Part of your nic is my third favorite past time. When not involved capping or playing golf I am playing Holdem. Haven't played since football season started so I am kind of amping to hit the tables some. Maybe my bad run is over. Hope so anyways. I can't possibly put myself in better positions han I do only to end up with the worst beats. Better players are supposed to rise to the top but Florida Poker makes that difficult to accomplish at times.

I am glad we agree on the booked games. I hope that means we are just as happy after the bowls as well.

I love to play golf as well and I play in a Wed. night poker game too....casinos are to far to drive on a regular basis...I also play Holdem on the internet.

BigdaddyQH · 12-16-09, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by HoldEmHook!!

Wal, your first 7 picks (the one with stars) we are in total agreement.....about 50/50 on the rest i look forward to your write-ups later.......

Football is almost over and I dont play other sports, dont watch much of them on tv either.....its a sad time...notice my screen name....my other favorite time of the year, and something I am far better at than capping, Fishing. After my beloved Crimson Tide wins the championship on Jan 7, I fish my first of many tournaments on jan 9th.....I will look in time from time..Best Of Luck this bowl season my friend

I hwar you HoldEm. I also do not wager on other sports, unless a little birdie whispers in my ear about a NCAA hoops game that is, well, you know. For the rest of the year, gaming wise, I play the horses (I am in a partnership and am a part owner of a few. Nothing special yet) and play poker, both on line, in casinos, and in torunaments.

ZBOIZ · 12-17-09, 02:20 AM

Penis

wal66 · 12-17-09, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by ZBOIZ

Penis

Z....my thread is always open to all and it matters not if they agree. disagree or are just seeking insight. Your post met not criteria at all. If you are mad about the ZBoiz Get's a Date video comment in that thread.

BigdaddyQH · 12-18-09, 12:05 PM

I agree. Please have something constructive to post, or do not post at all. Everyone can learn something wit constructive posts, whether they agree or disagree with other posters picks. There is one thing that posters like ZBoiz have to learn. When you shoot your mouth off and are proven to be consistantly wrong, and a liar in some cases, you are going to receive the brunt of the jokes, critical comments, and other unpleasantries that happen in sites like this. That is the price you must pay for shooting your mouth off and having little, if any ammunition to back it up.

Straight Cash · 12-18-09, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by wal66

QH, in reference to UCLA I agree. I think Temple is on the rise and even though I am on UCLA here I would like to see a smaller school get one over the larger conference. However if UCLA come to play (which as you stated they have a history of not in bowl games) I think they can get the job done. I don't see this line getting any lower and if it climbs like I think it might then I can always middle my way out.

Michigan St. I planned on playing them with the other teams in that group but haven't yet completed capping those games. I had forgotten about the player suspensions and it will make a huge difference on a game I was already leary of.

Auburn game we just see it differently and that doesn't mean what you stated isn't true. Just worth the risk from my perspective.

I'm a MSU fan and I'd be shocked if we kept it within 2 TDs. We have the 102nd ranked pass defense and lost our best (not saying much) CB in the suspensions. I would recommend TT.

wal66 · 12-19-09, 04:02 PM

ran into a time crunch so I didn't get to the Central Florida game vs Rutgers for the video. I love these things but they require A LOT of time to create.

New Mexico Bowl

Fresno State -10 (half unit) it was 10 but I didn't want to go back and re-do video

St Petersburg Bowl

Central Florida ML +125 Bookmaker (half unit)

TheBetBuysDanK · 12-19-09, 04:11 PM

with you both of these plays, wal. BOL this bowl season.

I like fresno by 14 today.

wal66 · 01-08-10, 07:13 AM

Success isn't garunteed, as was made very clear again this bowl season. I was doing so bad that I never even bothered updating the rest of the games. Ended up 3-4 on the games I actually posted in this thread and muddled around .500 on some of the other games I mentioned maybe playing.

Bowl games are an entirely different beast and we all know this but every year some of us that have season long success still try and beat the post season using the same techniques.

For those that had a great bowl run (and there were a good number of you) congradulations.

mcbaseball10 · 01-08-10, 10:42 AM

Wally, you and I were around the same win % on the year in college football. The past two years I have done very well in bowl games
by looking at RLM as a primary indicator of what games to play and what not to play. Just something to consider for next year. Congratulations on a great year and I enjoyed your writeups.

Cougar Bait · 01-08-10, 06:20 PM

Good year Wal. Can't believe the whole season is over...at least we ended it on a good note!