Rivalry Weekend (NCAAF Week #13)

[HoulihansTX]

Week #12
(5-5) 50%

OVERALL
(58-35) 62%

Past links for Proof... http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...week-12-a.html

OVERALL Spreads
(37-30) 55%


OVERALL Totals
(21-6) 78%

[HoulihansTX]

*Leans Leans Leans*


Troy -10

Houston -28
_____________________
Georgia Tech/ Georgia OVER

Temple/ Ohio OVER

Utah/ BYU OVER

Mizzou/ Kansas OVER

So. Miss/ ECU OVER
______________________
BC/ Maryland UNDER

VT/ Virginia UNDER

Nebraska/ Colorado UNDER

Arizona / Ari St. UNDER

Kent / Buff UNDER
______________________

*Leans Leans Leans*

[eastvan09]

I haven't had time to look into next week's games. 3-1 on totals, 2-0 on spreads, I tailed you to a 5-1. Mich and K-St were big with those bare covers, nary a point to spare. Those tails saved my Saturday! I've ditched ML parlys... I'm going to stick to what has been working, totals and some spreads for College.

[HoulihansTX]

* Official Plays *

Troy -10

Houston -28

Alabama -12

Marshall +1

I sucked it up and hit the Hilton. These lines are going to move in favor of the opposition. I will be adding plays, but these I hit early.

[BigdaddyQH]

Rivalry week is alwasy a dangerous week. The entire world will jump on the Navy, or so it seems, but the fact is that the line keeps dropping. When were you at the Hilton?

[ackem19]

HoulihansTX,
I initally like Houston this week, however i did some reserach into these two teams match ups and Rice beat them Houston last year and has covered the last 3 years. It seems like Rice always plays Houston tough and Rice may be looking to play the role of "spoiler" this week.

[HoulihansTX]

Rivalry week is alwasy a dangerous week. The entire world will jump on the Navy, or so it seems, but the fact is that the line keeps dropping. When were you at the Hilton?

I made a guest apperance around 9pm. I dont frequent though, usually i use The M Sportsbook since its near my work.

HoulihansTX, I initally like Houston this week, however i did some reserach into these two teams match ups and Rice beat them Houston last year and has covered the last 3 years. It seems like Rice always plays Houston tough and Rice may be looking to play the role of "spoiler" this week.

I already booked it. I know for certain that Rice is a horrible team this year, and they lost all of their offensive talent to graduation last year. Rice and Houston are both located in the city of Houston. About 10 miles within each other. I think Rice gets rolled as they have all season. Rice has gotten worse, while Houston as improved since last year.

[eastvan09]

* Official Plays * Troy -10 Houston -28 Alabama -12 Marshall +1 I sucked it up and hit the Hilton. These lines are going to move in favor of the opposition. I will be adding plays, but these I hit early.

I see Houston at -29.5 and -30 already, i'm undecided whether there is enough value for me to bet them to win by 31+
I've seen Alabama at -10 and -10.5
Marshall +1 looks good
Troy -10 some of my books haven't added this game yet

[eastvan09]

Early totals

Georgia Tech/ Georgia 59.5
Mizzou/ Kansas 56.5/57
So. Miss/ ECU 54/54.5
BC/ Maryland 46.5
VT/ Virginia 42.5
Nebraska/ Colorado 37.5/38
Arizona / Ari St 44



Previous Leans:
Incase any of these lines make these games more playable
Temple/ Ohio 47
Utah/ BYU 52.5
Kent / Buff 48.5/49

[PeePee]

Hou, when will you have your final/offical total plays? Thanks.

[BigdaddyQH]

GL. What made you take 'Bama with the inflated line? It is down to 10 now. I think they win this game, but giving more than 10 just does not fit in my comfort zone, not that my comfort zone means anything. Have a great day. I was at the Hilton last Sunday. I did not know that you lived in Vegas. Maybe the next time it is my turn to rotate over there we can have a brew or a hot, or both.

[Cougar Bait]

GL this week Houlihan, who is the dude in your avatar? I keep racking my brain trying to figure it out...

[HoulihansTX]

Hou, when will you have your final/offical total plays? Thanks.

Later Today. I'm Just getting the sleep out of my eyes. haha

GL. What made you take 'Bama with the inflated line? It is down to 10 now. I think they win this game, but giving more than 10 just does not fit in my comfort zone, not that my comfort zone means anything. Have a great day. I was at the Hilton last Sunday. I did not know that you lived in Vegas. Maybe the next time it is my turn to rotate over there we can have a brew or a hot, or both.

For sure man. I dont frequent the Hilton, but next time we should touch base.

GL this week Houlihan, who is the dude in your avatar? I keep racking my brain trying to figure it out...

Its Matthew Modine at a WNBA basketball game. He was celebrating a play Candace Parker made. Pretty cool huh? He was way too excited. It makes me laugh just about everytime I see it. http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000546/

[Cougar Bait]

No one should ever celebrate a WNBA play. I am still amazed they are playing. Does anyone watch that? Every time I see something on TV the stadiums look empty. It is funny. God, this guy is crazy. No wonder he celebrates the WNBA.

[HoulihansTX]

^^ Wow, this guy obviously smokes a lot of weed.

[jnickell100]

Hou are you going to be posting any totals for this weekend?

[ackem19]

I know your a totals guy and I was hoping you could help me out. I'm leaning towards the Under on the Texas/Texas A&M game. Texas has a great Defense and even if they run up the score, I don't think they will allow too many points. Plus, the game between these two have gone under 4 out the last 6 times. What do you think?

[HoulihansTX]

Utah/ BYU OVER 52.5

Mizzou/ Kansas OVER 56

So. Miss/ ECU OVER 54.5
______________________

VT/ Virginia UNDER 42

Arizona / Ari St. UNDER 44

[eastvan09]

Nice I'll tail those totals!

Wow Nebraska Colorado has moved up from 37.5/38 to 40. Public heavy on Over! I might play the Under if the total is 40.5 or 41 just prior to kick-off tomorrow.

[HoulihansTX]

I know your a totals guy and I was hoping you could help me out. I'm leaning towards the Under on the Texas/Texas A&M game. Texas has a great Defense and even if they run up the score, I don't think they will allow too many points. Plus, the game between these two have gone under 4 out the last 6 times. What do you think?

I like the OVER.

On the road TX has at least 40ppg, but barely allows any scores. Although this Texas A&M offense has a capable QB. They should score at least 14pts, but the D will allow so much more. A&M will have to pass the ball in order to score. So the game will be longer, and TX should have a lot of possessions. A&M's problem is their secondary. They are young, and give up big plays. TX should have a field day.

I'm not playing it, but thats how I lean.

[Kirchner]

NEBRASKA/COLORADO under is a good bet

[HoulihansTX]

NEBRASKA/COLORADO under is a good bet

Too low for me.

[HoulihansTX]

* Official Plays *

Troy -10

Houston -28

Alabama -12
___________________
Marshall +1

Arkansas +3.5

Utah +7.5
____________________
Utah/ BYU OVER 52.5

Mizzou/ Kansas OVER 56

So. Miss/ ECU OVER 54.5
______________________
UCLA/ USC UNDER 48

VT/ Virginia UNDER 42

Arizona / Ari St. UNDER 44

[tblues2005]

good luck with all of that Houlihans!

[Parligod]

GL tomorrow everyone. Hou - nice pick on the Tex/Tex A&M Over, couldn't have nailed it better.
Take care all hope everyone's having a relaxing weekend.
-Parli

[eastvan09]

Too low for me.

Ya, now its at 40.5 at my book. I'm passing. I have all my money tied up in the other totals and NCAAB.

I'm on Bama, Marshall and the first 5 totals. I'll probably add USC/UCLA later U-47.5. I'll move my BBall Q to the other thread ab UConn ML or +3

[HoulihansTX]

Nebraska/ Colorado UNDER is a play, but wait until we get closer to kickoff. I'm seeing 70% on the OVER, which is to be expected on at total so low(38). But I think we can a 41, which is 5 TD's and 2 FG. A lot of scores for these two teams.

Colorado D is underrated, they have a good D-Line. Nevertheless their offense is so anemic, that the D loses confidence/stamina as they are on the field more than the offense. Nebraska controls the line of scrimmage, and Colorado will not offer much resistance. The scores in this game will come from the Defenses, and special teams. Also Nebraska should have more possessions, and they opt to the running game. Short game, not alot of offensive fireworks = UNDER


I recommend a play on the UNDER if you can get a (41). At 40.5 it is still to low for my liking, but you can play it small.

[BigdaddyQH]

Here is the deal. Colorado's defense has given up over 30 points 7 times this year. While Nebraska's offense is not noted for their firepower, they have scored over 30 points 4 times this year. With a total of 39 or 40, I agree that it is just too much of a risk.

[eastvan09]

Nebraska/ Colorado UNDER is a play, but wait until we get closer to kickoff. I'm seeing 70% on the OVER, which is to be expected on at total so low(38). But I think we can a 41, which is 5 TD's and 2 FG. A lot of scores for these two teams.

Colorado D is underrated, they have a good D-Line. Nevertheless their offense is so anemic, that the D loses confidence/stamina as they are on the field more than the offense. Nebraska controls the line of scrimmage, and Colorado will not offer much resistance. The scores in this game will come from the Defenses, and special teams. Also Nebraska should have more possessions, and they opt to the running game. Short game, not alot of offensive fireworks = UNDER


I recommend a play on the UNDER if you can get a (41). At 40.5 it is still to low for my liking, but you can play it small.

2 of my books have 41. However most of my units are already allocated on my strongest plays. I will pass, I already picked this under in some free contests anyhow.

[HoulihansTX]

Georgia Tech/ Georgia OVER

Temple/ Ohio OVER <<<<


______________________



Nebraska/ Colorado UNDER<<<



Kent / Buff UNDER<<<

My first to leans look like gold , WOW. Why did I take them off? On to the next plays.

[eastvan09]

Georgia Tech/ Georgia OVER

Temple/ Ohio OVER <<<<

Utah/ BYU OVER

Mizzou/ Kansas OVER

So. Miss/ ECU OVER
______________________
BC/ Maryland UNDER

VT/ Virginia UNDER

Nebraska/ Colorado UNDER

Arizona / Ari St. UNDER

Kent / Buff UNDER<<<

My first to leans look like gold , WOW. Why did I take them off? On to the next plays.

Wow Temple Ohio Over and Buffalo/Kent looking great for an under! Your leans are right on, lets hope the booked plays go the same way.

[HoulihansTX]

* Official Plays *

Troy -10

Houston -28

Alabama -12 L
___________________
Marshall +1

Arkansas +3.5

Utah +7.5
____________________
Utah/ BYU OVER 52.5

Mizzou/ Kansas OVER 56

So. Miss/ ECU OVER 54.5
______________________
UCLA/ USC UNDER 48

VT/ Virginia UNDER 42

Arizona / Ari St. UNDER 44

[TheBetBuysDanK]

hey hou, check this out. made this bet over a month ago.

1) BET ID=294840552 Parlay (5 Teams) 10/26/09 19:41 ET bet 10.00 to win 190.95 Result: Pending 2009 World Series - Best of Seven (2-3-2) Phillies 2
Yankees 4 11/04/09(19:55 ET)
Yankees -195 2009/2010 NCAA Football Games Of The Year Iowa 24
Ohio St 27 11/14/09(13:00 ET)
Iowa +9 2009/2010 NCAA Football Games Of The Year Pittsburgh
West Virginia 11/27/09(13:00 ET)
Pittsburgh +1.5 2009/2010 NCAA Football Games Of The Year Florida St
Florida 11/28/09(13:00 ET)
Florida St +22 2009/2010 NCAA Football Games Of The Year Arizona
Arizona St 11/28/09(13:00 ET)
Arizona -3.5
need this pitt win tonight, then on to tomorrow

[HoulihansTX]

^^ How Prophetic of you. Thats was a nice bet.

[TheBetBuysDanK]

we'll see.
hard enough to hit a 5 teamer in the current weekend. it'd be nutty if i get 5 games all weeks away correct, eh?

whats really prophetic is how close the lines were to the actual lines. I actually got lucky with the iowa bet. I thought that line looked really good and then stanzi gets hurt and theyre 16 point dogs.

the other 3 games, all month away. lines are right there.