I knew the smart money would hit Miss. State +13.5 (vs. Bama) early [w/ analysis]...

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  • Hoja Verdes
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-06
    • 1403

    #1
    I knew the smart money would hit Miss. State +13.5 (vs. Bama) early [w/ analysis]...
    Pinny just moved from +13.5 -109 to +12.5 -109.

    Mississippi State is coming off their bye week, have a stud RB in Anthony Dixon (252 yds and 2 TD's last game vs. Kentucky), and will try to eat clock, maintain possession, and pound the ball all game. Bama of course will have a similar gameplan behind Mark Ingram, and will also have Greg McElroy on a short leash as he's proven that he's not a deep threat and has been badly overthrowing and missing open receivers on passes of more than about 25 yards.

    Miss. State will hang in this game and will be fine if they limit turnovers and get to McElroy. Dan Mullen (coach) is pressing the fans and student body this week to set a new school attendance record like they did the last time they played Bama at home in 2007 (MSU won that game as a 14 point dog).

    This line should be no more than Bama -9.5 and I think we'll see it keep shrinking throughout the week. Grab it now if you plan on playing the live home dog.

    I'm not going crazy and calling for the upset here, but this game has 23-14 written all over it. Expect the usual from Bama, Mark Ingram pounding the ball mixed in with some short passing and stalled drives, resulting in multiple field goals. MSU will do the same and should find the endzone at least once with Dixon and get some field goals of their own. Just like the Bama/Tenn. game, this will have the look and feel of an NFL game, with a similar score as well. Bama will play conservative and look for they blue-collar single digit win, just like they have the last couple weeks.
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