Friday Night Special

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 12:36 PM

Early Sharp money also on the UNDER in early wagering. LVSC opened the total at 49 and within the first day of wagering line dropped 2 points to 47 which is a big indicator of sharp money. Public money usually doesnt occur until last 2 days before gametime and the majority just before kickoff which indicates the Sharps are also big on the UNDER.

**SmackdownV** · 10-16-09, 12:42 PM

I see a 24-17 Pitt win....

Or something along those lines. WanStick does not have a killer instinct and he ALWAYS plays the teams he should beat EASY down to the wire.

Still have not made my play yet...............But I will take the LA Dodgers over 9 first.

**crazymonkey** · 10-16-09, 01:57 PM

over is the play. the weather will have no affect in this game. rain should be minimal with a wind of around 5-10mph. over over over

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by crazymonkey

over is the play. the weather will have no affect in this game. rain should be minimal with a wind of around 5-10mph. over over over

GL with that

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 02:02 PM

But i think you can have a better reason than to say weather has no effect on games. So if its raining and there are 20mph winds it has no effect on the outcome of a game? Interesting

**coolbreeze02** · 10-16-09, 02:10 PM

i have no idea what im doing for tonight. im liking pitt by at least a TD and possibly the over. you cant play into the weather too much, thats when you lose focus on the game and start looking at stuff that really doesnt impact the outcome as much as the actual matchup!

**crazymonkey** · 10-16-09, 02:14 PM

im just saying the line opened at 49 and dropped all the way to 44. This was due to the weather report. now the line is at 46 because the weather has changed. i capped this game over and now since the line is at 46 it gives us a great angle to play the over. it wont be raining and the winds will only be at 5-10mph which wont effect anything

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 02:36 PM

Im not saying the only angle i am playing is the weather but it will have a impact. I will give you a updated weather report for gametime and during the duration of the game. Also, im not sure what weather report you are quoting but i would like a link to it if you have one to prove your point a little more.

Weather report for Rutgers/Pitt:

National and Local Weather Radar, Daily Forecast, Hurricane and information from The Weather Channel and weather.com

http://www.weather.com/outlook/events/sports/hourbyhour/08854?from=hrly_graph_tab

The Weather Channel and weather.com provide a national and local weather forecast for cities, as well as weather radar, report and hurricane coverage

Under is 4-0 in Scarlet Knights last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-0 in Scarlet Knights last 4 games on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Scarlet Knights last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Scarlet Knights last 4 games overall.
Under is 7-1 in Scarlet Knights last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Under is 7-1 in Scarlet Knights last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Scarlet Knights last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Scarlet Knights last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 home games.
Under is 12-3-1 in Scarlet Knights last 16 games in October.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Panthers last 10 games following a ATS loss.

Rutgers L3 has given up 9.3 ppg while Pitt L3 has given up 23.0
Both defenses L3 are playing well.

**crazymonkey** · 10-16-09, 02:42 PM

i was looking at accuweather's forecast and the computer models. looks like rain is starting to develop however. it'll be a gametime decision with the over under.

**crazymonkey** · 10-16-09, 02:45 PM

but if u look at weather.com you will see the forecast calling for showers becoming less numerous during the night

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 02:45 PM

Starting to develope? It will be raining soon after the game and it will continue throughout the entire game. The UNDER is the play on the total or there is no play. Thats just my opinion, GL to you

**xdanx** · 10-16-09, 02:46 PM

According to accuweather, there's a %65 chance of rain between 8-11pm.

http://www.accuweather.com/us/nj/piscataway/08854/forecast-accupop.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=1&metric=0&poptype=rain#AccuPOP

If it doesn't rain then we're screwed

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by crazymonkey

but if u look at weather.com you will see the forecast calling for showers becoming less numerous during the night

You have that backwards bud. The game starts at 8pm on weather.com. It calls for rain actually heavier as the game continues. You might want to recheck your data so you make the right play

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 02:48 PM

Originally posted by xdanx

According to accuweather, there's a %65 chance of rain between 8-11pm.

http://www.accuweather.com/us/nj/piscataway/08854/forecast-accupop.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=1&metric=0&poptype=rain#AccuPOP

If it doesn't rain then we're screwed

If it doesnt rain the UNDER still is the play. People dont wager 10's of thousands of dollars on wether it rains or not, believe me.

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 02:50 PM

This game will be in the mid 30's. Come on back to this thread after the game and call me a genius. lol

GL

**crazymonkey** · 10-16-09, 02:57 PM

u r mistaken. i'm a meteorological major the weather isn't going to effect this game at all. i still lean over but GL to you.

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by crazymonkey

u r mistaken. i'm a meteorological major the weather isn't going to effect this game at all. i still lean over but GL to you.

If you make a comment like that you need to explain yourself. thats a blanket statement. A meteoroligist doesnt neccesarily know how rain affects sporting events his main job is to forecast weather. Your comments are welcome to substantiate your comment

**snapstick** · 10-16-09, 03:03 PM

Maybe you didnt tune in to last weeks ark st/Ul Mon contest. maybe you should have. GL with your wager

**crazymonkey** · 10-16-09, 03:09 PM

alright we shall c. gl to you as well

**BigdaddyQH** · 10-16-09, 03:11 PM

I am not going to waste my time with this game tonite. Garbage game between ateam with terrible coaching against a bad team overall. I will not even bother to watch it.

**snapstick** · 10-18-09, 01:02 AM

Originally posted by crazymonkey

over is the play. the weather will have no affect in this game. rain should be minimal with a wind of around 5-10mph. over over over

Originally posted by crazymonkey

im just saying the line opened at 49 and dropped all the way to 44. This was due to the weather report. now the line is at 46 because the weather has changed. i capped this game over and now since the line is at 46 it gives us a great angle to play the over. it wont be raining and the winds will only be at 5-10mph which wont effect anything

Originally posted by crazymonkey

alright we shall c. gl to you as well

Next time you come to a thread and post the other side of the play you might want to do your homework first.

WINNA WINNA CHICKEN DINNA

**Ralphie1412** · 10-18-09, 01:08 AM

act like you've been there before snapstick

**crazymonkey** · 10-18-09, 09:37 AM

wow snapstick i agree with ralphie act like you've been there before. and as a matter of fact i teasered the game and ended up winning my under 52 so yea....

**snapstick** · 10-18-09, 11:35 AM

I have been there many times but to come in and pick the other side of a thread play and give no reason why you need to be called out. I have been there plenty of times thanks.