Trying a Bowl system in the regular season

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Trying a Bowl system in the regular season
    System is 20-4 in bowls the last two years.

    Here's the original thread:
    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    If we applied this system to this week's games, here are the plays (lines from Greek):

    Colorado State +22.5
    Oklahoma +3
    Minnesota +17.5
    Colorado +10
    Alabama -17.5
    Marshall +21
    Missouri +7
    Western Michigan +6.5
    Tulane +17.5
    Nebraska -11
    SMU +7
    Washington +7

    I am going to play this slate this week and see what happens. If it fails, it fails.
    Last edited by Machine Choice; 10-15-09, 06:20 PM.
  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #2
    Updated Colorado line to +10 (available at Bookmaker). All plays locked in now.
    Comment
    • GreatDanes52
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-12-09
      • 297

      #3
      good luck machine gonna keep an eye on this
      Comment
      • Serbone
        SBR MVP
        • 09-21-09
        • 1300

        #4
        Originally posted by Machine Choice
        System is 20-4 in bowls the last two years.

        Here's the original thread:
        Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


        If we applied this system to this week's games, here are the plays (lines from Greek):

        Colorado State +22.5
        Oklahoma +3
        Minnesota +17.5
        Colorado +10
        Alabama -17.5
        Marshall +21
        Missouri +7
        Western Michigan +6.5
        Tulane +17.5
        Nebraska -11
        SMU +7
        Washington +7

        I am going to play this slate this week and see what happens. If it fails, it fails.

        I saw this last year during bowl season and it worked very well. But isn't it a little early, since the data is not as reliable 1/2 way thru the season? I would hesitate to pull the trigger this early IMO.
        Comment
        • polson22
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-09-09
          • 229

          #5
          good luck... i love systems. i think the data would be fine and meaningful now, but not sure about the concept. not sure i understand what the concept is. i understand the rules, just not the underlying logic.
          Comment
          • Machine Choice
            SBR MVP
            • 12-12-08
            • 3997

            #6
            Originally posted by polson22
            good luck... i love systems. i think the data would be fine and meaningful now, but not sure about the concept. not sure i understand what the concept is. i understand the rules, just not the underlying logic.
            First of all, it's probably too early to try this. As for the logic, I guess maybe the linesmakers giving too much credit to untested teams vs tested teams.

            I think the reason this has worked well during the bowl season is the abundance of public money coming in on untested "name" teams. Not sure if we will get that affect during the regular season. Also, there is a good chance that the initial success of the system is purely coincidental.

            I would not recommend anyone to follow this system this week. I played these games small...I have only $540 tied up in all 12 games.
            Comment
            • AdaBarber
              SBR MVP
              • 12-05-08
              • 4424

              #7
              Good luck. I think systems and numbers are the best way to go with football.
              Comment
              • Husker36
                SBR MVP
                • 12-02-08
                • 3846

                #8
                Originally posted by Machine Choice
                System is 20-4 in bowls the last two years.

                Here's the original thread:
                Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


                If we applied this system to this week's games, here are the plays (lines from Greek):

                Colorado State +22.5
                Oklahoma +3
                Minnesota +17.5
                Colorado +10
                Alabama -17.5
                Marshall +21
                Missouri +7
                Western Michigan +6.5
                Tulane +17.5
                Nebraska -11
                SMU +7
                Washington +7

                I am going to play this slate this week and see what happens. If it fails, it fails.
                I like most of these picks.... except Oklahoma.
                I'm going to put in a 10 team parlay for $10 and see how you (we) do!

                Colorado State +22.5
                Minnesota +17.5
                Colorado +10
                Alabama -17.5
                Marshall +21
                Western Michigan +6.5
                Tulane +17.5
                Nebraska -11
                SMU +7
                Washington +7
                Comment
                • Machine Choice
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-12-08
                  • 3997

                  #9
                  Took a teaser for tonight's game:

                  Pitt +1 / Game under 52.5
                  Comment
                  • PacmanJr_00
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-10-09
                    • 221

                    #10
                    3-7-1 SO FAR.. GOOD ANGLE..probably just takes time for the rankings to get closer to correct..
                    Comment
                    • G's pks
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-01-09
                      • 22251

                      #11
                      Comment
                      • Machine Choice
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-12-08
                        • 3997

                        #12
                        Took a shot, paid the price. I'll dust it off for bowl season.
                        Comment
                        • G's pks
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-01-09
                          • 22251

                          #13
                          have a drink..hopefully this thread will move far down the list quickly....but I still feel sorry for anyone that tailed...
                          Comment
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