Florida (-24.5) vs Arkansas (+24.5) Is Arkansas the play here?

[DREEZY]

Florida only scored 13 points in Baton Rouge last week and Tim Tebow did not show us the same Tim Tebow during the early part of the season, obviously, and Arkansas can put up some points.

Sure the Florida D is a beast, but I'm sure that Arkansas' offense is WAY better than LSU's.

Thoughts?

[ibetwinners]

This is an easy one. Florida -24.5 all the way. I'm going big on this game for sure. Betting all my bank roll on this one. Why?

1. Arkansas went into (2) Alabama and lost by 28. Everyone is talking about how good Alabama is this year and how they can overtake (1) Florida for the top spot. Florida knows that and will prove that they are number 1 and will run up the score on this one.

2. Florida is better than Alabama

3. Arkansas just fought their ass off and got an emotional win over a then ranked 17 Auburn. They'll have nothing left over for this game.

4. Florida Defense will dominate

5. Vegas is smart. This line could easily be +14 or so after Arkansas dominated a ranked 17 Auburn and Florida scoring only 13 points. Public will look at that and go, wow +24, i'm taking Arkansas. It shows with 77% of the public being on Arkansas. And guess what, the line moves up to 24.5. That'll drive more public to take Arkansas.

This game should be easy. Pick Florida and enjoy.

[Mac4Lyfe]

All IN???? Too much chalk to go all in dude. I wouldn't touch that for shit.

[drfunkmaster]

Do it go all in.... Takes brass balls to do that. Good luck

[bypp]

This is an easy one. Florida -24.5 all the way. I'm going big on this game for sure. Betting all my bank roll on this one. Why?

1. Arkansas went into (2) Alabama and lost by 28. Everyone is talking about how good Alabama is this year and how they can overtake (1) Florida for the top spot. Florida knows that and will prove that they are number 1 and will run up the score on this one.

2. Florida is better than Alabama

3. Arkansas just fought their ass off and got an emotional win over a then ranked 17 Auburn. They'll have nothing left over for this game.

4. Florida Defense will dominate

5. Vegas is smart. This line could easily be +14 or so after Arkansas dominated a ranked 17 Auburn and Florida scoring only 13 points. Public will look at that and go, wow +24, i'm taking Arkansas. It shows with 77% of the public being on Arkansas. And guess what, the line moves up to 24.5. That'll drive more public to take Arkansas.

This game should be easy. Pick Florida and enjoy.

6. Urban Meyer always knows the spread, and if possible, runs up the score unnecessarily just for a cover. Keeps alum happy for sure.

[twincities77]

I'll say the same thing for Florida that I have for all year with Alabama. Yes the public knows they're good, because they are really that good. I wouldn't bet against either unless you find some ridiculously undervalued team against them. I'm not sure Arkansas is it with their high powered offense, particularly off their two thumpings of Texas A&M and Auburn.

[Dbldown11]

I'm on Florida but not for a lot cause the spread is huge. But Florida has a defense to keep Arkansas points at a minimum.....And Arkansas well they have the kind of defense that is gonna help make this game look an awefull lot lot the Florida/Kentucky game

[Ralphie1412]

Florida will be able to stop Arkansas for sure.......then on the flip side Arkansas defense is NOT impressive. If Florida cant control the game in death valley they can roll arkansas at home. Tebow will be much less conservative too.

[DREEZY]

All signs point to Florida here. 5-0 ATS vs Arkansas at home and you guys bring up a lot of valid points, but I'm just not convinced YET that the Gators will hang up 32 points IF Ark. scores a TD.

On the other hand, it has been 3 weeks since Tebow's concussion and Meyer might expand the playbook, but how much will he expand it?

[Ralphie1412]

Florida is due for that huge home SEC blowout like South Carolina last year.

[bypp]

I dont know yet if I will play Florida. But I know for damn sure I wont play against them.

[mmike032]

Razorbacks have the firepower to score with the Gators.
Gators dont have the explosive offense with the young recievers this year. Sure they can run it all day but Mallet will make plays to cover this spread.

[Dbldown11]

Razorbacks have the firepower to score with the Gators.
Gators dont have the explosive offense with the young recievers this year. Sure they can run it all day but Mallet will make plays to cover this spread.

No one has scored on Florida all year....dont see why that would change Saturday

[Ralphie1412]

Florida's defense is the best...period. Just because Arkansas lit up an overrated georgia and auburn defense doesnt mean they can go into the swamp and put numbers up. I mean look at the team totals....Florida's over/under is 41.5....Arkansas team total is 15.5.

[DREEZY]

FLA is scoring 39 pts/game so far...can they hang up 35 on Sat??? If yes, then I'm playing them.

[Dbldown11]

FLA is scoring 39 pts/game so far...can they hang up 35 on Sat??? If yes, then I'm playing them.

Arkansas is giving up 27.8 per game....32.25 if you don't count Missouri St.

I think the answer to your question is yes

[mmike032]

No one has scored on Florida all year....dont see why that would change Saturday

say what ya want about ARK, but they have the ability to score and score fast.
what team has FLA played that had this ablilty?
just my opinion on the game, havent played it yet and probally wont
no way in hell would I lay 24.5 though.
only the gator homers will do that.

[Dbldown11]

say what ya want about ARK, but they have the ability to score and score fast.
what team has FLA played that had this ablilty?
just my opinion on the game, havent played it yet and probally wont
no way in hell would I lay 24.5 though.
only the gator homers will do that.

They held Kentucky to 7 on the road....and Kentucky can score

[DREEZY]

^ true that, ON THE ROAD MIND YOU!

[DrStale]

Betting all my bank roll on this one.

Thanks for giving me the heads up on not wasting my time reading the rest of your post.

[Dbldown11]

say what ya want about ARK, but they have the ability to score and score fast.
what team has FLA played that had this ablilty?
just my opinion on the game, havent played it yet and probally wont
no way in hell would I lay 24.5 though.
only the gator homers will do that.

And everyone said only Florida homers would bet them against LSU last week as well....

I personally don't care about Florida other than if I see a line that is gonna win me money I'm gonna take them. And I just think this game will end up looking a lot like the Florida/Kentucky game

[mmike032]

theres no comparsion b/t Mallet and Hartline.
Ark has the #3 scoring and total offense in the SEC behind FLA, and Auburn.
Kentucky at #10

[BadNina]

Alabama proved that Mallett can get rattled early. I can see Florida's defense doing the same thing to him.

[ibetwinners]

theres no comparsion b/t Mallet and Hartline.
Ark has the #3 scoring and total offense in the SEC behind FLA, and Auburn.
Kentucky at #10

And how did they do against Alabama? They lost by 28. Don't tell me you think Alabama is better than Florida. LSU to me is definitely better than Arkansas. If Florida can hold LSU to 3 points on the road at Death Valley, imagine what Florida's defense can do to Arkansas in their own stadium The Swamp. Everyone knows that score would not be 13-3 with a healthy Tebow.

Florida will run up the score on this one and since Alabama won Arkansas by 28, they'll definitely want to top that to keep their status as the top team in the country.

And to correct my statement stating that i'm betting all my bankroll on this one. I'm usually a conservative gambler. I gamble evenly. I never bet more than 2 units a game. I deposited $500 to start the season. Now bankroll is up to $2400. Every year, i wait for that one game that I really like and i go crazy on it. This is it. I really like this game and i'm so confident, i'm betting $1900 on it. To me, it's winning money. Even if i lose, i'm still even. But I do not know why, this game just sticks out at me. So bet at your own risk.

[Dbldown11]

And how did they do against Alabama? They lost by 28. Don't tell me you think Alabama is better than Florida. LSU to me is definitely better than Arkansas. If Florida can hold LSU to 3 points on the road at Death Valley, imagine what Florida's defense can do to Arkansas in their own stadium The Swamp. Everyone knows that score would not be 13-3 with a healthy Tebow.

Florida will run up the score on this one and since Alabama won Arkansas by 28, they'll definitely want to top that to keep their status as the top team in the country.

And to correct my statement stating that i'm betting all my bankroll on this one. I'm usually a conservative gambler. I gamble evenly. I never bet more than 2 units a game. I deposited $500 to start the season. Now bankroll is up to $2400. Every year, i wait for that one game that I really like and i go crazy on it. This is it. I really like this game and i'm so confident, i'm betting $1900 on it. To me, it's winning money. Even if i lose, i'm still even. But I do not know why, this game just sticks out at me. So bet at your own risk.

LSU has a far better D than Arkansas, but Arkansas has a far better offense than LSU. I like Florida in the game, but Arkansas DEFFINATELY has a better offense than LSU. LSU has a terrible offense


Oh......and you can never feel THAT confident about a 24pt favorite in conference to bet that much of your roll....u sound crazy

[Mac4Lyfe]

I agree with Dbldown... I'm a huge Gator homer but I love money much more. This could very well be a large blowout but UM has been playing calling very safe as well. He doesn't seem as concerned to roll over teams like he did last year. He's content running the ball down teams throats and running the clock down in the 2nd half and getting out of the game. I think he's using a different philosophy where he manages games versus taking big chances. He very rarely has stretched the field going deep. I think they cover but no way in hell would I lay that much chalk when there are a lot of variables.

I think there's a lot of better games to be had tomorrow. No need to hammer this one IMO.

[mmike032]

And how did they do against Alabama? They lost by 28. Don't tell me you think Alabama is better than Florida. LSU to me is definitely better than Arkansas. If Florida can hold LSU to 3 points on the road at Death Valley, imagine what Florida's defense can do to Arkansas in their own stadium The Swamp. Everyone knows that score would not be 13-3 with a healthy Tebow.

Florida will run up the score on this one and since Alabama won Arkansas by 28, they'll definitely want to top that to keep their status as the top team in the country.

And to correct my statement stating that i'm betting all my bankroll on this one. I'm usually a conservative gambler. I gamble evenly. I never bet more than 2 units a game. I deposited $500 to start the season. Now bankroll is up to $2400. Every year, i wait for that one game that I really like and i go crazy on it. This is it. I really like this game and i'm so confident, i'm betting $1900 on it. To me, it's winning money. Even if i lose, i'm still even. But I do not know why, this game just sticks out at me. So bet at your own risk.

LSU offense is trash.a yea, I do think Bama is better than FLA at this point in the season.
quit looking at who played who, and team A scored this many points on team B, so team C is will score at least that many cause team C is better. For example since GA scored 13 on LSU and FLA scored 13 agasint LSU does that means GAs offense is as good as FLAs. no, I didnt think so.

all I'm saying is that ARK has the ability to put up alot of points and fast. this could mean a back door cover, or keeping the game within the number, or they could shit the bed and have 4 TOS, give up returns for TDs...
or could FLA be in a letdown spot after the big game last week or looking ahead to UGA
who knows...
much safer games to put your money on IMO. GL

what about Miss ST only giving 4.5 to Midd Tenn ST. I'd put my money on that one long before laying 24.5 with FLA, matter of fact I already have

[TheJesus]

I like Arkansas. That a lot of friggin' chalk even for florida.

[ibetwinners]

LSU offense is trash.a yea, I do think Bama is better than FLA at this point in the season.
quit looking at who played who, and team A scored this many points on team B, so team C is will score at least that many cause team C is better. For example since GA scored 13 on LSU and FLA scored 13 agasint LSU does that means GAs offense is as good as FLAs. no, I didnt think so.

all I'm saying is that ARK has the ability to put up alot of points and fast. this could mean a back door cover, or keeping the game within the number, or they could shit the bed and have 4 TOS, give up returns for TDs...
or could FLA be in a letdown spot after the big game last week or looking ahead to UGA
who knows...
much safer games to put your money on IMO. GL

what about Miss ST only giving 4.5 to Midd Tenn ST. I'd put my money on that one long before laying 24.5 with FLA, matter of fact I already have

I would never compare team A to B or C. That's not how i play. If i play that way, i wouldn't be having a bank roll. Check my first post on why I think Florida wins the spread. I play conservative. I only bet teams I like. For example. I didn't bet on both Tuesday or Wednesday's Game because those are horrible games to bet on. I'm also not betting on today's game because it's a toss up. You have to be smart and choose games wisely.

And like you say, even you think Alabama right now is better than Florida. A lot of people think that way and Florida knows that. That is why I think Florida goes all out on this one. Arkansas just played their hearts out against a then ranked 17 Auburn. Now they're going on the road and i'm pretty sure they will come out flat. For some reason everytime I have this feeling to bet my whole bank roll, i always win so i'm trusting my gut again since it's never been wrong. Again, bet wisely.

[Dbldown11]

LSU offense is trash.a yea, I do think Bama is better than FLA at this point in the season.
quit looking at who played who, and team A scored this many points on team B, so team C is will score at least that many cause team C is better. For example since GA scored 13 on LSU and FLA scored 13 agasint LSU does that means GAs offense is as good as FLAs. no, I didnt think so.

all I'm saying is that ARK has the ability to put up alot of points and fast. this could mean a back door cover, or keeping the game within the number, or they could shit the bed and have 4 TOS, give up returns for TDs...
or could FLA be in a letdown spot after the big game last week or looking ahead to UGA
who knows...
much safer games to put your money on IMO. GL

what about Miss ST only giving 4.5 to Midd Tenn ST. I'd put my money on that one long before laying 24.5 with FLA, matter of fact I already have

I'm ALL OVER mississippi St. in this one. One of the juicest lines of the weekend in my opinion....that and NIU -4.5

[ATB515]

I like Arkansas.

[Slim]

Florida probably won't even score 24.

[DREEZY]

^ why do you say that??

[morri1962]

I will put up all my SBR points (85) that Ark covers against Fla this weekend !!!!

[mmike032]