Playing the totals on the college card is a lot different than playing the totals in the pros. Why? Because in college ball there is often a great disparity in the skill level between different teams, so you see a lot of blowouts. Additionally, pro teams simply play to win the game....not win by a huge margin and make a statement to the pollsters. In other words, when they have a comfortable lead, pro teams will try to use up the clock and get the game over with. College teams will keep passing and roll up the score.
It's with this in mind that I generally (but not always) look for games that have a good chance of going "over" on Saturdays, particularly early in the year. In the pro games, I usually find there's more value when you play the games to go "under".
WESTERN MICHIGAN/MIAMI-OHIO - OVER 44-
Looks like it could be a long year for the RedHawks of Miami-Ohio. They've played two games and haven't scored a single point yet. My money says that they can't keep it up, and I see some line value here. Looking to atone for last week's loss to Indiana, Western should score about 35 themselves and the game should end up over 50.
UNLV/HAWAII - OVER 55-
The Warriors gained over 600 yards last week in their trouncing of Washington State. That's pretty impressive. From there, they flew to Las Vegas, where they will wait nearly a full week to play this game....again, in a hotel in Vegas!! That's not good for one's legs....or liver. UNLV is gonna air it out, trying to take advantage of inexperience in the Hawaii secondary. Shootout!
COLORADO/WYOMING - UNDER 53
Couldn't help but to be impressed with the Cowboys' effort last week against Texas, defensively at least. The Buffalos, meanwhile, have been nothing short of horrific. They'll probably get that anemic offense in gear this week, but I think the total's too high for these two plowhorses.
KANSAS/DUKE - OVER 50-
The Jayhawks have quietly gotten off to an impressive start. They spanked Texas-El Paso last week and look to do the same with the Blue Devils this week. The Duke pass defense is currently ranked 117th out of 120 teams. They're giving up an average of 333 ypg through the air. Think Kansas is gonna throw the ball this week? I do. Look for the Jayhawks to score into the 40s and for this game to go over.
As always, best of luck.
Harry
last week 2-2
season 6-2
It's with this in mind that I generally (but not always) look for games that have a good chance of going "over" on Saturdays, particularly early in the year. In the pro games, I usually find there's more value when you play the games to go "under".
WESTERN MICHIGAN/MIAMI-OHIO - OVER 44-
Looks like it could be a long year for the RedHawks of Miami-Ohio. They've played two games and haven't scored a single point yet. My money says that they can't keep it up, and I see some line value here. Looking to atone for last week's loss to Indiana, Western should score about 35 themselves and the game should end up over 50.
UNLV/HAWAII - OVER 55-
The Warriors gained over 600 yards last week in their trouncing of Washington State. That's pretty impressive. From there, they flew to Las Vegas, where they will wait nearly a full week to play this game....again, in a hotel in Vegas!! That's not good for one's legs....or liver. UNLV is gonna air it out, trying to take advantage of inexperience in the Hawaii secondary. Shootout!
COLORADO/WYOMING - UNDER 53
Couldn't help but to be impressed with the Cowboys' effort last week against Texas, defensively at least. The Buffalos, meanwhile, have been nothing short of horrific. They'll probably get that anemic offense in gear this week, but I think the total's too high for these two plowhorses.
KANSAS/DUKE - OVER 50-
The Jayhawks have quietly gotten off to an impressive start. They spanked Texas-El Paso last week and look to do the same with the Blue Devils this week. The Duke pass defense is currently ranked 117th out of 120 teams. They're giving up an average of 333 ypg through the air. Think Kansas is gonna throw the ball this week? I do. Look for the Jayhawks to score into the 40s and for this game to go over.
As always, best of luck.
Harry
last week 2-2
season 6-2
