RLM Week 2 plays

**CaneDawg** · 09-10-09, 04:40 PM

good info

**FreeFall** · 09-11-09, 12:52 AM

Mich +3.5 is the only one I'm trying to get right now. We'll see how the other ones play out tom.

**KingKing** · 09-11-09, 02:25 AM

thanks very much for compiling this info.... best of luck!

**JimmyJet** · 09-11-09, 09:12 AM

I see USC -7 with 73% on Ohio State per sportsbookspy. SBR shows consensus at 62% USC. There are over 10,000 wagers on this game. If you take posted percentages from sportsbookspy than USC would be RLM. Is that a correct read?

**mcbaseball10** · 09-11-09, 09:15 AM

If the opener was -6 and it moved to -7 then it would be RLM with the 73% on Ohio State..and USC would be the play

**JimmyJet** · 09-11-09, 09:15 AM

I do not understand why SBR and Sportsbookspy have such drastically different percentages. Can anyone enlighten me?

**mcbaseball10** · 09-11-09, 09:16 AM

Probably pull their numbers from different books

**JimmyJet** · 09-11-09, 09:16 AM

Sportsbookspy shows opener at -4.5.

**JimmyJet** · 09-11-09, 09:19 AM

Rondo, where do you take your numbers from? Have always used Sportsbookspy for my against the money plays with pretty good success. Do you feel their numbers are real?

**mcbaseball10** · 09-11-09, 09:20 AM

If you are trying to play RLM, you want to play it after a 1 point move. After the 1 point move (according to people such as LT Profits that have written on this philosophy) you have already missed out on the number you want to grab.

**JimmyJet** · 09-11-09, 09:30 AM

These three games are taken from Sportsbookspy and are of onterest because over 10,000 bets and percentages higher than 70%.

UCLA Opener +10 Current +10 13,913 bets with 80% on Tennessee...no line movement

Notre Dame Opener -3 Current -3 15,917 bets with 70% on Michigan...no line movement

USC Opener -4.5 Current -7 16,324 bets with 73% on Ohio State...2.5 points movement against USC...USC would be RLM based on this data.

**Biff Webster** · 09-11-09, 10:20 AM

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**Rondo09** · 09-11-09, 11:24 AM

I took my lines and percentages from SBR.

**Rondo09** · 09-11-09, 11:30 AM

Wyoming is currently an RLM play.

**FreeFall** · 09-11-09, 11:45 AM

I'd wait for more than ~3k bets.

**Rondo09** · 09-11-09, 11:48 AM

Originally posted by FreeFall

I'd wait for more than ~3k bets.

Like I said, I dont know how to see how many bets have come in.

Thanks for the help, though.

**The HOFF** · 09-11-09, 03:16 PM

Louisiana Tech +7 against Navy. Opened at +7.5 or +8. RLM more than 70% on Navy.

**CLASSIC ROCK** · 09-11-09, 06:26 PM

Anybody seeing anything else.Thought we might take advantage of bet jam reduced juice tonight

**JimmyJet** · 09-12-09, 01:34 AM

Based on Sportsbookspy:

319 Miss St
320 Auburn -15 to -14 95% on Auburn 15,671 bets tallied

361 Kansas -10.5 to -12.5 73% on UTEP 10,201 bets tallied
362 UTEP

**alexda[]** · 09-12-09, 04:14 AM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

If the opener was -6 and it moved to -7 then it would be RLM with the 73% on Ohio State..and USC would be the play

pretty sure he mistyped because its most likely usc with the 73%

**JimmyJet** · 09-12-09, 10:18 AM

09/12/09373USC-4½3393628%22%41%42%8:00PM374Ohio St.46½+7-105u45.5-11072%78%59%58%

NO MISTYPED....copied from Sportsbookspy at pregame site.