BEST BETS
Oreg-27' @ Purdue (61')
Fla St @ Duke-3 (42')
E Car @ Army-15' (51')
WF @ UConn-2 (57')
Char @ Navy-17 (55)
TAM-15 @ Miss St (56)
SMU-16 @ Stanford (53')
COMPETITIVE GAMES
(Based on team SRS, Y-PAD and Y-RAD numbers.)
I took a look at some of the past games with similar numbers. Most games went DOG/OVER. I wanted to get this thread started so I'll look at more past games and update.
Team/SRS/ Y-PAD/Y-RAD
Neb 10.59 /+1.0yds/+1.1yds
Indy-6' (50') 17.65 / +4.1yds/ +1.2yds
Mia-4 (61) 16.63/ +3.9yds/ +2.1yds
Louis 13.00 /+1.3yds/ +0.6yds
Ala-3 (56) 20.93/ +4.7yds/ +1.7yds
Tenn 10.99 +1.7yds/ +2.8yds
Geo 16.91 / +1.2yds/ +1.4yds
Tex-3 (56) 24.44 / +5.0 /+2.9yds
Summary of the Geo/Tex game
Texas ranked 1st in SRS and Geo ranked 7th.
Georgia averages 8.6 yards per pass attempt and gives up 7.4 yards per pass attempt, difference of +1.2 yards
Georgia averages 4.3 yards per rush attempt and gives up 3.9 yards per rush attempt, difference of +0.4 yards.
Texas averages 9.6 yards per pass attempt and gives up 4.6 yards per pass attempt, difference of +5.0 yards.
Texas averages 5.1 yards per pass attempt and gives up 3.0 yards per rush attempt, difference of +2.9 yards.
I kinda agree with the consensus this week, TEXAS (5-0), and Pointwise (Winning Points)has Texas as a 3*.
======================================== ==
This is the first week that I've seen soooo many 5-0 Dogs and 5-0 Favs. It used to be 7-0, but I cut it back to the 5 most consistent EXPERTS. I don't know if cutting the other two is the reason, but going forward I'll be using only five.
5-0 FADE THE DOG
Troy+11 @ So Ala 9-25 WW
La Tech @ NMST +11 30-33 LL
Oreg @ Purdue+27
Fresno St @ Nev+2'
Mia @ Louis +5
Virg+21 @ Clemson
Ala @ Tenn+3
Tex St @ Old Dom+10'
Toledo+3 @ No Ill
UAB+13' @ So Fla
JMad @ Geo Sou+10
TAM @ Miss St+15
UNLV @ Oreg St+7'
Ark St @ So Miss +7
WMich @ Buffalo+1
Col+3 @ Ariz ( All 5 Experts picked Colorado winning S/U)
NMex @ Utah St+2 (Four of the five Experts picked Utah St winning S/U)
Kentucky @ Fla+2 (Kentucky opened as DOG, turned FAV - FADE Kentucky)
5-0 Play ON the FAV
Geo St @ Marshall-9
Auburn @ Mizz -4'
E Car @ Army-15
Wisc-7 @ Nwstrn
WF @ UConn-2
Ariz St @ Cinn-2'
So Car @ Okl-2'
CMich @ EMich-2
Tulsa @ Temple-3
NCST @ Calif-10
Ohio @ Mia Oh -3'
Kent St @ B Green-20'
Geo @ Tex -5
Iowa-6 @ Mich St
SMU-15 @ Stanford
Still finding my POD...should just keep riding the Army/Navy train.GL2A
Oreg-27' @ Purdue (61')
Fla St @ Duke-3 (42')
E Car @ Army-15' (51')
WF @ UConn-2 (57')
Char @ Navy-17 (55)
TAM-15 @ Miss St (56)
SMU-16 @ Stanford (53')
COMPETITIVE GAMES
(Based on team SRS, Y-PAD and Y-RAD numbers.)
I took a look at some of the past games with similar numbers. Most games went DOG/OVER. I wanted to get this thread started so I'll look at more past games and update.
Team/SRS/ Y-PAD/Y-RAD
Neb 10.59 /+1.0yds/+1.1yds
Indy-6' (50') 17.65 / +4.1yds/ +1.2yds
Mia-4 (61) 16.63/ +3.9yds/ +2.1yds
Louis 13.00 /+1.3yds/ +0.6yds
Ala-3 (56) 20.93/ +4.7yds/ +1.7yds
Tenn 10.99 +1.7yds/ +2.8yds
Geo 16.91 / +1.2yds/ +1.4yds
Tex-3 (56) 24.44 / +5.0 /+2.9yds
Summary of the Geo/Tex game
Texas ranked 1st in SRS and Geo ranked 7th.
Georgia averages 8.6 yards per pass attempt and gives up 7.4 yards per pass attempt, difference of +1.2 yards
Georgia averages 4.3 yards per rush attempt and gives up 3.9 yards per rush attempt, difference of +0.4 yards.
Texas averages 9.6 yards per pass attempt and gives up 4.6 yards per pass attempt, difference of +5.0 yards.
Texas averages 5.1 yards per pass attempt and gives up 3.0 yards per rush attempt, difference of +2.9 yards.
I kinda agree with the consensus this week, TEXAS (5-0), and Pointwise (Winning Points)has Texas as a 3*.
======================================== ==
This is the first week that I've seen soooo many 5-0 Dogs and 5-0 Favs. It used to be 7-0, but I cut it back to the 5 most consistent EXPERTS. I don't know if cutting the other two is the reason, but going forward I'll be using only five.
5-0 FADE THE DOG
Troy+11 @ So Ala 9-25 WW
La Tech @ NMST +11 30-33 LL
Oreg @ Purdue+27
Fresno St @ Nev+2'
Mia @ Louis +5
Virg+21 @ Clemson
Ala @ Tenn+3
Tex St @ Old Dom+10'
Toledo+3 @ No Ill
UAB+13' @ So Fla
JMad @ Geo Sou+10
TAM @ Miss St+15
UNLV @ Oreg St+7'
Ark St @ So Miss +7
WMich @ Buffalo+1
Col+3 @ Ariz ( All 5 Experts picked Colorado winning S/U)
NMex @ Utah St+2 (Four of the five Experts picked Utah St winning S/U)
Kentucky @ Fla+2 (Kentucky opened as DOG, turned FAV - FADE Kentucky)
5-0 Play ON the FAV
Geo St @ Marshall-9
Auburn @ Mizz -4'
E Car @ Army-15
Wisc-7 @ Nwstrn
WF @ UConn-2
Ariz St @ Cinn-2'
So Car @ Okl-2'
CMich @ EMich-2
Tulsa @ Temple-3
NCST @ Calif-10
Ohio @ Mia Oh -3'
Kent St @ B Green-20'
Geo @ Tex -5
Iowa-6 @ Mich St
SMU-15 @ Stanford
Still finding my POD...should just keep riding the Army/Navy train.GL2A