Early Line Movement

[JimmyJet]

Will start this thread to document early line movement and how accurate the early money is on predicting the right side. Lets allow the results to inform us if there is an edge to be gained by following early money. For the purpose of tracking will limit these to 1.0 point moves or greater and will list the side that is reflecting the money being bet early. Lines used will be from SBR and based on the opener at 5Dimes. If the line moves 1.0 points or greater that side will be listed. No recommendation is being made on these just will educate us all as to value of watching early money moves. The movement must have taken place in the first 24 hours after the opening to qualify.

Florida State -3.5 to -5

North Carolina -3.5 to -5

Army pk to -2.5

Fresno State +9 to +8

Indiana pk to -1.5

Troy +37 to +36

Boston College -19 to -21.5

East Carolina +7 to +6

BYU -17.5 TO -18.5

Wyoming +34 to +33

Virginia +12 to +11

Oklahoma State -14.5 to -15.5

UCLA +9.5 to +7.5

Texas Tech -25 to -26.5

Washington State +3 to +2

LSU -14 to -15

North Texas +3.5 to +2.5

Miami-Ohio +36 to +35

USC -6 to -7

Oregon -9 to -11.5

UNLV +8.5 to +6

Lines monitored at 11:00 am EST September 7th. Possible for greater movement than documented within the first 24 hours for the September 6th opening lines. Will in future post after first 24 hours has expired.

[JimmyJet]

Add:

Wake Forest -1.5 to -2.5

Michigan +4.5 to +3.5

No more additions....will post record when games are completed.

[JimmyJet]

[quote=JimmyJet;2209792]Will start this thread to document early line movement and how accurate the early money is on predicting the right side. Lets allow the results to inform us if there is an edge to be gained by following early money. For the purpose of tracking will limit these to 1.0 point moves or greater and will list the side that is reflecting the money being bet early. Lines used will be from SBR and based on the opener at 5Dimes. If the line moves 1.0 points or greater that side will be listed. No recommendation is being made on these just will educate us all as to value of watching early money moves. The movement must have taken place in the first 24 hours after the opening to qualify.

Florida State -3.5 to -5

North Carolina -3.5 to -5

Army pk to -2.5

Fresno State +9 to +8

Indiana pk to -1.5

Troy +37 to +36

Boston College -19 to -21.5

East Carolina +7 to +6

BYU -17.5 TO -18.5

Wyoming +34 to +33

Virginia +12 to +11

Oklahoma State -14.5 to -15.5

UCLA +9.5 to +7.5

Texas Tech -25 to -26.5

Washington State +3 to +2

LSU -14 to -15

North Texas +3.5 to +2.5

Miami-Ohio +36 to +35

USC -6 to -7

Oregon -9 to -11.5

UNLV +8.5 to +6 W

Lines monitored at 11:00 am EST September 7th. Possible for greater movement than documented within the first 24 hours for the September 6th opening lines. Will in future post after first 24 hours has expired.

Record 9-12....early money not so smart for this week in CFB

[JimmyJet]

Early money record 9-12

Week of Sept 17th -21st

Fresno State +10 to +7

Army -7 to -8

Northern Illinois +13 to +12

Michigan -22.5 to -24.5

East Carolina +8 to +6

Kansas -19 to -22

Toledo +21 to +20

Kentucky -10 to -13.5

Wyoming +7.5 to +6.5

So Mississippi -14.5 to -16.5

Washington +22.5 to +20.5

Michigan St +11 to +10

Florida -27.5 to -29

Middle Tenn St +7 to +5.5

Iowa -5 to -6

SMU -4.5 TO -7

Navy +7.5 to +6.5

Northwestern -3 to -4

Oklahoma St -31 to -32

Texas A & M -17 TO -18

BYU -6 TO -7

Air Force -16 to -17.5

Auburn -4.5 to -7

Arkansas +1.5 to -1

UTEP -13 TO -14

San Jose St +18.5 to +17.5

UCLA -10.5 to -12

UNLV -6 TO -7

[JimmyJet]

Early money record 9-12

Week of Sept 17th -21st

Fresno State +10 to +7

Army -7 to -8

Northern Illinois +13 to +12

Michigan -22.5 to -24.5

East Carolina +8 to +6

Kansas -19 to -22

Toledo +21 to +20

Kentucky -10 to -13.5

Wyoming +7.5 to +6.5

So Mississippi -14.5 to -16.5

Washington +22.5 to +20.5

Michigan St +11 to +10

Florida -27.5 to -29

Middle Tenn St +7 to +5.5

Iowa -5 to -6

SMU -4.5 TO -7

Navy +7.5 to +6.5 L

Northwestern -3 to -4 L

Oklahoma St -31 to -32 L

Texas A & M -17 TO -18 L

BYU -6 TO -7 L

Air Force -16 to -17.5 W

Auburn -4.5 to -7 W

Arkansas +1.5 to -1 L

UTEP -13 TO -14 W

San Jose St +18.5 to +17.5 L

UCLA -10.5 to -12 W

UNLV -6 TO -7 L

Record 12-16

Record to date 21-28

Early money loses again....

[skyline69]

This is great info, please keep it up.

[Tomato]

You do realize that the early movement is nothing but people pushing lines over critical numbers and hoping for a middle, right?

[JimmyJet]

Early Money Record to date 21-28

South Carolina +4.5 to +3

Nevada +8 to +7

Michigan -19.5 to -21

Cinncinnati -14.5 to -16

Florida St -12.5 to -14.5

Miss St +14 to +13

Wake Forest +1.5 to -2

San Diego St +17 to +15.5

NC State pk to -1

Miami -1.5 to -2.5

Arkansas St -1 to -2

Kentucky +22.5 to +21.5

Boise St -15.5 to -17

Tenn -10.5 to -21...9.5 move??

Auburn -31 to -32.5

North Texas +7.5 to +6

Toledo pk to -1.5

Utah -11.5 to -13

Oregon St +2 to +1

Rice +8.5 to +7.5

USC -43 TO -44

[JimmyJet]

[quote=JimmyJet;2275500] Early Money Record to date 21-28

South Carolina +4.5 to +3 W

Nevada +8 to +7 L

Michigan -19.5 to -21 L

Cinncinnati -14.5 to -16 L

Florida St -12.5 to -14.5 L

Miss St +14 to +13 W

Wake Forest +1.5 to -2 L

San Diego St +17 to +15.5 W

NC State pk to -1 W

Miami -1.5 to -2.5 L

Arkansas St -1 to -2 L

Kentucky +22.5 to +21.5 L

Boise St -15.5 to -17 W

Tenn -10.5 to -21...9.5 move?? L

Auburn -31 to -32.5 L

North Texas +7.5 to +6 L

Toledo pk to -1.5 W

Utah -11.5 to -13 W

Oregon St +2 to +1 L

Rice +8.5 to +7.5 L

USC -43 TO -44 L

Record 7-14

Record to date 28-42......early money not so smart.....

[JimmyJet]

Starting Wednesday 30th of September Record to date 28-42

West Virginia -17 to -18

Marshall +3 to +2

Minnesota -1 to -3

Clemson -13 to -14

Virginia +14 to +13

Toledo -6 to -7

Virginia Tech -15.5 to -17

Michigan State +2.5 to PK

Cinncinnatti -26.5 to -29

Iowa St -1 to -3

NC State Pk to -1

Buffalo +9 to +8

Memphis +9 to +7

Stanford -5 to -6.5

New Mexico +36 to +35

UL Monroe -2.5 to -5

Ohio +3 to +1.5

Arkansas -1.5 to -2.5

California +6.5 to +5.5

Arkansas St +21 to +20

Houston -15 to -16.5

Oregon -31 to -32

[Betman]

5Dimes is for "recreational" bettors meaning the public.

You may want to follow lines from a sharp book where the pro's make their bets such as The Greek, BetCris, BookMaker, etc....

[polson22]

great thread. and i apologize for not reading entire thread.

are you judging ATS record on first line or second line? because the "sharp" money is partially getting the first number, i think.