Computer Model... Back at in again... Ready for 2022 NCAAF season...

[usma1992]

Time	AWAY TEAM	PROJ AWAY SCORE	HOME TEAM	PROJ HOME SCORE		TOTAL	VEGAS SPREAD	VEGAS O/U		SPREAD BET	O/U BET
8:00 PM	UTA	14	BYU	44		58	-24	60		Too Close	Too Close
7:00 PM	TUL	33	HOU	19		52	-2.5	54.5		Away ML	Too Close
7:30 PM	UTS	39	MID	27		66	4	62.5		Too Close	Too Close
8:00 PM	SAN	6	BOI	20		26	-6.5	39		Too Close	Under
10:30 PM	WAS	37	UCL	29		66	3	65		Too Close	Too Close
11:00 PM	NEW	4	UNL	33		37	-14	42		Home Minus	Too Close
12:00 PM	ILL	28	WIS	25		53	-7	43		Too Close	Too Close
12:00 PM	LOU	36	BOS	12		48	15.5	51		Away Minus	Too Close
12:00 PM	GEO	27	ARM	39		66	-7.5	54.5		Too Close	Too Close
12:00 PM	PUR	24	MIN	37		61	-12	52		Too Close	Too Close
12:00 PM	NAV	10	AIR	34		44	-14	37.5		Too Close	Too Close
12:00 PM	TEM	13	MEM	27		40	-19	51		Too Close	Too Close
12:00 PM	KEN	14	OLE	31		45	-7	53.5		Too Close	Too Close
12:00 PM	TEX	38	KAN	26		64	-8	57		Away ML	Too Close
12:00 PM	OKL	37	TCU	25		62	6.5	69		Away Minus	Too Close
12:00 PM	MIC	25	IOW	0		25	11	42.5		Away Minus	Too Close
1:30 PM	TEX	13	JAM	38		51	-22	52		Too Close	Too Close
2:00 PM	NIL	25	BAL	38		63	3.5	60		Too Close	Too Close
2:00 PM	MAS	15	EMI	32		47	-19.5	53.5		Too Close	Too Close
2:00 PM	ORE	16	UTA	34		50	-10	54.5		Too Close	Too Close
2:30 PM	ECA	43	SFL	11		54	8.5	57		Away Minus	Too Close
3:30 PM	NOR	28	PEN	44		72	-25.5	51		Away Plus	Over
3:30 PM	WAK	25	FLO	34		59	-7	63.5		Too Close	Too Close
3:30 PM	MIC	24	MAR	32		56	-8.5	60		Too Close	Too Close
3:30 PM	VIR	30	NCA	29		59	-8.5	52		Too Close	Too Close
3:30 PM	OKL	36	BAY	28		64	-2	56.5		Away ML	Too Close
3:30 PM	IOW	34	KAN	16		50	3	59		Away Minus	Too Close
3:30 PM	RUT	3	OHI	43		46	-40	59		Too Close	Under
3:30 PM	ALA	47	ARK	16		63	17	61		Away Minus	Too Close
3:30 PM	CMI	36	TOL	30		66	-7	57		Away ML	Too Close
3:30 PM	MIA	21	BUF	31		52	-1.5	50.5		Too Close	Too Close
3:30 PM	FRE	50	CON	1		51	24	52		Too Close	Too Close
3:30 PM	BOW	40	AKR	32		72	9.5	51.5		Too Close	Over
3:30 PM	OHI	34	KEN	36		70	-11.5	65		Away Plus	Too Close
4:00 PM	GAS	42	COA	33		75	-10.5	64		Away ML	Too Close
4:00 PM	TEX	10	MIS	30		40	-3.5	44.5		Home Minus	Too Close
4:00 PM	FLA	42	NOR	32		74	3.5	68		Away Minus	Too Close
5:00 PM	SAL	37	LAL	14		51	9	47		Away Minus	Too Close
5:30 PM	CAL	29	WAS	25		54	-4	53		Away Plus	Too Close
6:00 PM	LIB	33	OLD	15		48	3	42.5		Away Minus	Too Close
6:00 PM	UTE	40	CHA	22		62	3	52.5		Away Minus	Too Close
7:00 PM	CIN	40	TUL	30		70	9.5	58.5		Too Close	Over
7:00 PM	LSU	39	AUB	9		48	8	46		Away Minus	Too Close
7:00 PM	LAM	16	ARK	36		52	-7	59		Home Minus	Too Close
7:00 PM	TRO	25	WKE	37		62	-5	55		Home Minus	Too Close
7:30 PM	NCS	29	CLE	29		58	-6.5	42.5		Too Close	Over
7:30 PM	VIR	27	DUK	22		49	-2.5	52		Away ML	Too Close
7:30 PM	WVI	37	TEX	24		61	-9.5	61.5		Away ML	Too Close
7:30 PM	GEO	46	MIS	4		50	28	54		Away Minus	Too Close
7:30 PM	IND	48	NEB	35		83	-4.5	60.5		Away ML	Over
7:30 PM	UAB	28	RIC	19		47	10	51.5		Too Close	Too Close
7:30 PM	SAN	24	WYO	10		34	2.5	42.5		Away Minus	Too Close
8:00 PM	GEO	7	PIT	37		44	-22	49.5		Too Close	Too Close
8:00 PM	FLA	27	NEW	24		51	-14.5	53.5		Away Plus	Too Close
9:30 PM	COL	15	ARI	45		60	-17.5	57		Home Minus	Too Close
10:30 PM	ARI	7	USC	41		48	-25	60		Too Close	Under
11:00 PM	STA	23	ORE	44		67	-17	64.5		Too Close	Too Close
1:00 PM	SMU	36	UCF	36		72	-3	64.5		Too Close	Too Close

Doing my best effort to make this work. Not asking for anything other than critique in the picks. Tell me what you see so I can work on my weaknesses. I can't take weather or injuries into account so be careful.

Dave

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Found ya good stuff I will be watching

[iwantcougars]

thanks

[usma1992]

BYU game was close to perfect. It was 58 points with 1 minute left. And it could have gone under or over and the spread could have gone either way too... when I watched the game. Good game to stay away from.

[Ponch]

Looks awesome, I'll be following along as well. What constitutes being too close in this model?

[usma1992]

Depends on the type of bet Over... I think it is 11 points... Under is 12 points. Spread different also. 1-2 to start but Boise started a different QB that I can't account for on the fly. This week will be interesting for sure.

My system is most helpful in eliminating the bets you think are sure things. It is mathematical so it eliminates bias. Pick and choose.

Dave

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

If I'm reading this right I took Alabama and Michagan as aplay???

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Both won thanks do u have nfl