Cougar Bait's 2009 NCAA Plays

Cougar Bait · 11-18-09, 10:04 PM

Thanks eastvan...hope they all cash

riggs · 11-18-09, 11:28 PM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Saturday, November 21

Michigan +12.5
Arkansas -10.5
UConn +6
Rutgers -9
Penn State -3
Purdue/Indiana OVER 58.5
Kentucky +8.5
Kansas State +16.5

No time for write-ups this week as I am working waaaay too much lately (yes, I'm bitching). All plays are for 2 units. GL everyone

Lookin good C-Bait, Kentucky and UConn jumped out at me as the best plays on the board this week.

Happy to see you on them bud, let's get it!

I was thinking about Kansas St. as well, I may tail you on that one.

Cougar Bait · 11-19-09, 06:29 AM

Riggs,

FYI...I have had a couple different cappers I respect (and my bookie, which was weird) tell me to lay off Kansas State. Love UConn, liked Kentucky initially...then scratched it...then you convinced me to take another look. Hopefully we're on the right side. I think it's a strong play. GL to you this week...I am thinking of taking Carolina tonight in the pros. Any insights?

riggs · 11-19-09, 08:23 AM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Riggs,

FYI...I have had a couple different cappers I respect (and my bookie, which was weird) tell me to lay off Kansas State. Love UConn, liked Kentucky initially...then scratched it...then you convinced me to take another look. Hopefully we're on the right side. I think it's a strong play. GL to you this week...I am thinking of taking Carolina tonight in the pros. Any insights?

Here's what I wrote on the game in my thread,

Thursday Night Special

The Panthers come into this game with some confidence after playing 3 solid weeks of football. They'll also be jacked up with the home crowd behind them. This is not a great spot for Miami, especially without Brown. I picked against Miami last week and I'll be picking against them this week, as I almost hit the upset of the day on Sunday with Tampa Bay +400 ML. Miami's offense is good, but their defense was expossed once again, this time vs. a rookie QB. As bad as Delhome is, I think he may have a big night here.

Carolina Panthers -3 (-120) (5 Units)

bypp · 11-19-09, 08:40 AM

Coug,

Love the Michigan game. I dont think many people realize how big of a rivalry game this is. And although I'm not a big trends guy, Ohio State hasn't beat Michigan by 12 or more in Ann Arbor since 1961. Thats definitely a trend I like on my side.

Also really like the Arkansas & Rutgers games this week.

Best of luck

Cougar Bait · 11-19-09, 06:04 PM

Riggs, thanks brother, looks like we're on the same page. GL to us

bypp, Good to have you on board for those games. Can't wait for Saturday...looks like I'll be in Iowa City again though so I won't be on the board. I'll be hitting some bars and looking for Cougars.

bypp · 11-20-09, 07:49 AM

Haha well best of luck to you, both on and off the field

Cougar Bait · 11-20-09, 06:52 PM

Need the beers this week too...about ready to pull my hair out with all the damn overtime I'm working. I wake up and feel dead.

Good luck this weekend guys...I won't have access to the forum except here and there

angelodebo · 11-20-09, 07:34 PM

Cougs..I'm all over Arkansas. If you read my post last week, I fkn nailed UCF over Houston..my pick of the day.

I'm all over the Razorbacks tomorrow.I think they are a very solid SEC team and should probably be a top 25 team. 3 losses were on the road to Florida, Alabama, and Miss and the other loss was at home against Georgia the 2nd week of the season. All these games were close.

Miss St got beat up by bama at home and now head over to Arkansas looking to show case how good their offense can be. Ark is very underrated and haven't gotten the exposure they should because of their 4 losses.

Take Arkansas and watch them roll.

Ark 28-13

ronjon619 · 11-20-09, 08:52 PM

With you on the fading of syracuse. El Paso is my bet of the week.

Cougar Bait · 11-20-09, 11:34 PM

angelo and ronjon...glad we agree on those games...love Arkansas and Rutgers this week...usually I don't play large road dogs but I think these are two over matched teams in Miss St. and Syracuse...let's make some money

Lost Angel · 11-21-09, 06:57 AM

Originally posted by angelodebo

Ark 28-13

I have trouble conceiving of Miss St getting even 13 points, the way they looked vs. Bama: totally pathetic like a JuCo squad.

I had +11 with them versus Bama cuz I spected Bama would be flat off of the big win vs. LSU + Bama's incompetence in the red zone and Miss. St had scored points in weeks prior to facing Bama.

So much for that.

Don't know if I'll do anything with this game beyong contest play(s) and/or plugging The Hogs into some idiotass parlay in SBR Sportsbook cuz I'm just still so pissed off at Miss St I don't wanna even be involved with 'em for money.

riggs · 11-21-09, 09:12 AM

C-Bait, what's your take on Stanford -7 and LSU +4.5

Thanks

TheBetBuysDanK · 11-21-09, 10:55 AM

GL today, CB!

Cougar Bait · 11-22-09, 12:43 AM

Sorry I didn't get back to you in time Riggs...I've been in Iowa all day and away from the computer. Hope you did well, I'm sure you did.

7-1 on the day. Pretty happy with that. Hope everyone made money

riggs · 11-22-09, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Sorry I didn't get back to you in time Riggs...I've been in Iowa all day and away from the computer. Hope you did well, I'm sure you did.

6-2 on the day. Pretty happy with that. Hope everyone made money

I did very well C-bait, I told you Kentucky would prevail, glad you stayed away from Wisconsin too aren't cha? I was on Northwestern!

Shortstop · 11-22-09, 02:15 AM

Cougar Bait · 11-22-09, 09:39 AM

Originally posted by riggs

I did very well C-bait, I told you Kentucky would prevail, glad you stayed away from Wisconsin too aren't cha? I was on Northwestern!

Good to hear it. Wisconsin was only an early lean. And as the week went on I saw Northwestern as the sharp side of that play. It was a great call Riggs. That team really has bought into Pat Fitzgerald. He's a great coach. As for kentucky, I certainly wasn't happy at halftime, but that was the tale of two halves in that one and I'm glad I was on the right side with ya. GL in the pros today. Only game I am on is Jacksonville. I know you like that one

Shortstop,

Where did you get that picture of JJ? Is he hanging out at the Boys Club?

HoulihansTX · 11-22-09, 09:48 AM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Sorry I didn't get back to you in time Riggs...I've been in Iowa all day and away from the computer. Hope you did well, I'm sure you did. 6-2 on the day. Pretty happy with that. Hope everyone made money

Congrats. Great picks, bro. I disagreed
with some of your plays, but as you can see I'm an avg 'capper when it comes to spreads.

I went 5-5, but 3-1 on totals. I think I'm going to stay in my lane, and just nail totals from now on.

Cougar Bait · 11-22-09, 09:52 AM

Some of them came down to the last drive. Hit those totals hard this week Houli....

Also, officially I was 7-1 this week, not 6-2. I previously counted Michigan as a loss, but they covered the 12.5. I was on the road driving, and not paying close enough attention.

Cougar Bait · 11-25-09, 04:12 PM

I'll be posting my plays LATER tonight, possibly late. Going to this English Pub for a bit of R&R. I'll drink a Black & Tan for you guys. Picks should be posted tonight though. Tomorrow at the latest, but will try to get it out at the usual Wednesday night time.

bypp · 11-25-09, 09:57 PM

Lookin forward to seein what you're on. Lots of tough games this week with the rivalry factor.

Cougar Bait · 11-25-09, 10:41 PM

Saturday, November 27

North Carolina -5.5
Clemson -3
Oklahoma State +8
Boston College -6
Missouri -3
LSU -3.5
Georgia Tech -7
Pittsburgh +1

All plays for 2 units. GL everyone

JMF2479 · 11-25-09, 11:19 PM

I like most of your platys CBait

Cougar Bait · 11-26-09, 10:36 AM

Thanks JMF,

It's a lot of chalk. I am a bit worried about that, but you have to play the team you think will make you money. It's not always the dog. There were some other plays that I really wanted to include but just couldn't pull the trigger on. NIU and Navy being among them. I even considered Notre Dame at +10.

BigdaddyQH · 11-26-09, 10:54 AM

Okie State is our only play this week, except for a couple of middles that did not quite materialize the way we wanted them to. We grabbled Okie State at +10.5 earlier in the week. I was suprised that it took so long for the lines to adjust becuase it was pretty common knowledge on Tuesday that Robinson was going to start for the Cowboys.

You do have a lot of chalk, but that should not matter. You have been successful this year, and I am sure that who was favored in a game was not a major concern. We play predominately favorites. They win cover more than they lose, so why not? GL.

Cougar Bait · 11-26-09, 11:02 AM

Big Daddy,

Thanks for your thoughts. I didn't move on the Okie State game nearly soon enough, mostly because for whatever reason I didn't really give it a good look early in the week. I still think +8 should be a good play. Would love to have gotten it at 10 or higher though. I am on a pretty decent run of late. If you looked at the start to my year, you'd wonder how the hell I am still posting. It was a rough start to say the least, but things have steadily improved minus one or two mediocre weeks here and there. No problem with taking chalk, however I love a good dog with a chance to win outright. Also, like to mix it up a little more. Essentially though, you are right, and in the end, I made the plays I thought would make me money. GL to you and Happy Thanksgiving! (I don't say Turkey Day because I think it's another ploy for people to be politically correct and I won't be apart of that)

Cougar Bait · 11-27-09, 08:44 AM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Saturday, November 27 North Carolina -5.5 Clemson -3 Oklahoma State +8 Boston College -6 Missouri -3 LSU -3.5 Georgia Tech -7 Pittsburgh +1 All plays for 2 units. GL everyone

Correcting these (dates) and adding plays:

Friday, November 27

Temple -2
Alabama -9.5
Pittsburgh +1

Saturday. November 28

North Carolina -5.5
Clemson -3
Oklahoma State +8
Boston College -6
Missouri -3
LSU -3.5
Georgia Tech -7

All plays for 2 units. GL everyone

Rixsaw · 11-27-09, 12:06 PM

Good luck and thanks.

Cougar Bait · 11-27-09, 12:15 PM

No problem Rixsaw...hope they cash...thanks for the points as well

Temple looking rough early, but they are running the ball well, they just need to finish drives and they will be right back in this one.

Cougar Bait · 11-27-09, 01:23 PM

Still haven't heard from my bookie. Wonder if he got this early Temple play in. This is very unusual. At this point I am kinda hoping I don't hear from him until this afternoon

Owls look awful. Maybe they can turn it around, but have a long way to go.

Cougar Bait · 11-27-09, 06:07 PM

Should have never added plays. When will I learn? 0-2 to start. Hopefully tonight I have a winner and tomorrow the chalk I have covers, cause today it sure didn't.

Cougar Bait · 11-27-09, 08:55 PM

Upping Oklahoma St +8 tomorrow to my first 4 unit play of the year in CFB.

FYI I also deleted all of my NFL plays from my spreadsheet so I can track my record better in CFB.

Cougar Bait · 11-28-09, 11:49 AM

Adding Mississippi State +8 for 2 units. Saturday card looks like this:

Saturday, November 28

North Carolina -5.5
Clemson -3
Mississippi State +8
Oklahoma State +8 *
Boston College -6
Missouri -3
LSU -3.5
Georgia Tech -7

All plays for 2 units except * 4 units

Cougar Bait · 11-28-09, 04:02 PM

Getting destroyed so far this week. Do NOT tail the night plays.