Let's see if I can rebound from that OK nightmare last night.
I'm not big on tracking records and all because by now most of you should know who has a clue and who doesn't.
But for those of you keeping score at home (and I know some of you are) You're pal Nasher is 7-4 in my last 11 ATS.
Not great, but not herpes either.
OK, on to my play.
If this were two service academy teams playing each other I'd steer clear of wagering an over.
Games involving two service academy teams such as Army v. Navy or Army v. Air Force usually wind up with totals in the 30's or less.
Case in point earlier this month.
Army 10 AFA 7
Army 15 Navy 0
However Army's opponent today (West Virginia) is not a service academy, and unlike most service academies West Va. has a 'real' offense (I define a 'real' offense as a team that doesn't pretty much run the ball all the time)
First my nerdy analytics.
West Va. can throw the ball.
277 yards on the average per game says they can pass the ball.
Now I totally respect the defensive metrics Army has (top 5 overall) bear in mind the majority of their schedule is run oriented offenses i.e. Navy so I really don't know how their unit will respond to a bigger program such as the Mountaineers.
Army does generate 28 points a game, it's not like they can't score, and it's not like West Va. has an elite defense that can keep Army in the low teens and stone wall their rush.
And the Mountaineers can score too (take away that turd they just laid against ISU)
OK listen, I'll stop here, you get my point.
"Nash, you think there will be more than 41 points in this game, stop talking already"
lol
Yeah.
Army/West Va. OVER 41
(I'm thinking upper 40's here, low 50's)
not for nothing regarding the side.
Small lean right now towards Army
As a son of 30 year military Navy engineer I know a thing or two about service academy teams.
They don't roll over, those military students play hard from opening whistle to final gun.
They don't quit even if they are down.
I'm Navy, but I think dad will excuse me this one time for rooting Army..
OVER 41 is locked in.
Army +6.5, umm maybe, it's a 4pm kick I got time,
Finally
(I hear you, "STFU already Nasher" lol")|
HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL
Peace on Earth
(and all that other happy horseshit)
Get some football money today folks.
I'm not big on tracking records and all because by now most of you should know who has a clue and who doesn't.
But for those of you keeping score at home (and I know some of you are) You're pal Nasher is 7-4 in my last 11 ATS.
Not great, but not herpes either.
OK, on to my play.
If this were two service academy teams playing each other I'd steer clear of wagering an over.
Games involving two service academy teams such as Army v. Navy or Army v. Air Force usually wind up with totals in the 30's or less.
Case in point earlier this month.
Army 10 AFA 7
Army 15 Navy 0
However Army's opponent today (West Virginia) is not a service academy, and unlike most service academies West Va. has a 'real' offense (I define a 'real' offense as a team that doesn't pretty much run the ball all the time)
First my nerdy analytics.
West Va. can throw the ball.
277 yards on the average per game says they can pass the ball.
Now I totally respect the defensive metrics Army has (top 5 overall) bear in mind the majority of their schedule is run oriented offenses i.e. Navy so I really don't know how their unit will respond to a bigger program such as the Mountaineers.
Army does generate 28 points a game, it's not like they can't score, and it's not like West Va. has an elite defense that can keep Army in the low teens and stone wall their rush.
And the Mountaineers can score too (take away that turd they just laid against ISU)
OK listen, I'll stop here, you get my point.
"Nash, you think there will be more than 41 points in this game, stop talking already"
lol
Yeah.
Army/West Va. OVER 41
(I'm thinking upper 40's here, low 50's)
not for nothing regarding the side.
Small lean right now towards Army
As a son of 30 year military Navy engineer I know a thing or two about service academy teams.
They don't roll over, those military students play hard from opening whistle to final gun.
They don't quit even if they are down.
I'm Navy, but I think dad will excuse me this one time for rooting Army..
OVER 41 is locked in.
Army +6.5, umm maybe, it's a 4pm kick I got time,
Finally
(I hear you, "STFU already Nasher" lol")|
HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL
Peace on Earth
(and all that other happy horseshit)
Get some football money today folks.