do we (me too) overthink things? Georgia Tech 1-7 ATS

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • gojetsgomoxies
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-12
    • 4222

    #1
    do we (me too) overthink things? Georgia Tech 1-7 ATS
    seems to me that it was obvious GT was going to be really bad. switch from option to pass offense (or at least highly balanced)..

    i just assumed everyone knew this and the line would reflect it....... but maybe not.... and i thought maybe they'd realize they need to do the adjustment fairly slowly. not sure if they have done this.

    two things that were probably missed: 1) GT has had good D's, but only 4 returning starters this year, 2) with poor offense, defense will be on field far more. defense was extremely well rested in the past with ball control offense. did GT play 4 down offense, like the service academies (obviously not on your own 10 yard line)

    i think something that is under-rated is that when a bunch of factors come together, they are multiplicative and have large effect.

    the corrolary to my whole argument is that GT has had quite a few close ATS losses. so the 1-7 record could be deceiving. it noticed this in pasing. i will get more details.........
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
Working...