Which one of these covers?

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  • freddues
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-29-08
    • 591

    #1
    Which one of these covers?
    After an absolutely horrible start this season I believe it may help to get some outside(expert) opinions on these games. Lots of you do your own research and I would value your opinions on these seven match ups.

    Which ONE covers:

    Mississippi -7

    Louisville -6


    OKST -10

    Florida International -26.5

    SMU -12.5

    LSU -27.5

    UCF -4

    Can Florida Int cover these points with UMass starting a new QB (Curtis named starter) an a horrible D(98th)?

    I appreciate your ideas about the match ups above--peace!
  • iwantcougars
    SBR MVP
    • 09-29-09
    • 2156

    #2
    LSU plays florida next week, if they have a good lead (covering) in the 4th Q they could quiet down on both sides.
    Comment
    • freddues
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-29-08
      • 591

      #3
      Makes sense—rest players, avoid injuries. So not a high probability to cover or allowing a back door. Thanks Cougar-seeker
      Comment
      • teecee
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-18-09
        • 6298

        #4
        If I had to choose one of those I'd say Ole Miss. I'm actually on the other side of the LSU spread in a teaser.
        Comment
        • freddues
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-29-08
          • 591

          #5
          I hope you did not tease the early line at 23.5. I have seen it as high as 28. I like US as well to cover anything above 31. There defense will not make many stops in the first half, but, how many times will US score in the second half three or four I suspect.
          Comment
          • teecee
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-18-09
            • 6298

            #6
            Got it when it was at +26. 23.5 was not quite high enough for me. To be honest, I was surprised it got as high as +28. I mean, Utah State at this number is not an all-time play, but it's a decent one.
            Comment
            • dmncnlou
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-17-11
              • 924

              #7
              Purdue and west Virginia
              Comment
              • Husker36
                SBR MVP
                • 12-02-08
                • 3846

                #8
                Crazy list of games you have selected. I like Cinn +4 so I def would not take UCF. SMU looks solid.
                Comment
                • freddues
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-29-08
                  • 591

                  #9
                  Husker you have uncovered the method of my maddness. I listed the team giving points to get a reaction on the favorite. Five of these games I really like the dog. The only two I would play on the money line are SMU and Mississippi. I wish I knew more about the Ok St game because the dog in that match up is LIVE on paper—what are the intangibles in that game? Anyone? TTU at home, defense is similar on both teams and TTU has a slight passing advantage—what gives +10?
                  Comment
                  • Husker36
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-02-08
                    • 3846

                    #10
                    Originally posted by freddues
                    Husker you have uncovered the method of my maddness. I listed the team giving points to get a reaction on the favorite. Five of these games I really like the dog. The only two I would play on the money line are SMU and Mississippi. I wish I knew more about the Ok St game because the dog in that match up is LIVE on paper—what are the intangibles in that game? Anyone? TTU at home, defense is similar on both teams and TTU has a slight passing advantage—what gives +10?
                    Gotcha. Makes more sense now. TT/Okie State is a revenge situation. TT was a 14.5 point dog last year and won 41-17. Okie State is 4-0 ATS while TT is 2-2. Texas Techs QB is out.... and looks like the wheels have fallen off as of late. So I think Oklahoma State is the play here.
                    Comment
                    • freddues
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-29-08
                      • 591

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Husker36
                      Gotcha. Makes more sense now. TT/Okie State is a revenge situation. TT was a 14.5 point dog last year and won 41-17. Okie State is 4-0 ATS while TT is 2-2. Texas Techs QB is out.... and looks like the wheels have fallen off as of late. So I think Oklahoma State is the play here.
                      No Bowman means no play on the dog at home. I can't really give 10 here either, not with college KIDS--looks like a great game for a NO PLAY!


                      Great insights thanks!
                      Comment
                      • ZIPPER HEAD
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-17-13
                        • 2592

                        #12
                        UCF-Down to -3.5 right now--POUND IT
                        Comment
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