Is Kansas +20 square?

[flakeandbake]

Wasn’t paying attention and assumed line wouldn’t even be double digits for some reason.

Feel like that’s a lil trappy but Kansas also cost squares a lot of $ weeks 1 & 2.

Not in but leaning

[Mike Huntertz]

Not at the moment.
GL

[gojetsgomoxies]

i liked this........... the line and total suggested 35-15 BC... but i didn't see BC as high scoring, and they use alot of clock.. never thought of les miles as a high total coach and he has a very good TB........ so i saw low scoring and kansas being minimally decent..

it's going ok relative to that point spread... not great, of course.

[flakeandbake]

i liked this........... the line and total suggested 35-15 BC... but i didn't see BC as high scoring, and they use alot of clock.. never thought of les miles as a high total coach and he has a very good TB........ so i saw low scoring and kansas being minimally decent..

it's going ok relative to that point spread... not great, of course.

Yea I was just considering Kansas a competitive team last year and BC was overhyped and underwhelmed — so seemed like it could be somewhat competitive

[gojetsgomoxies]

Yea I was just considering Kansas a competitive team last year and BC was overhyped and underwhelmed — so seemed like it could be somewhat competitive

i totally understood your mention of people having been burned by kansas so often in the past........... it's like me and fading wisconsin and stanford. it never seems to work for me. they have been good ATS teams for many years but not to the level of pain it's caused me (actually, more wisconsin than stanford. i always think of fading stanford. but never do it. maybe now though)

anyway, i completely understand not trusting kansas......

i was right on the game. not all my reasons were legit, but some were..... kansas has 2 great TB's. might want to tail them for awhile (although the market seems to adjust so fast now)

[flakeandbake]

i totally understood your mention of people having been burned by kansas so often in the past........... it's like me and fading wisconsin and stanford. it never seems to work for me. they have been good ATS teams for many years but not to the level of pain it's caused me (actually, more wisconsin than stanford. i always think of fading stanford. but never do it. maybe now though)

anyway, i completely understand not trusting kansas......

i was right on the game. not all my reasons were legit, but some were..... kansas has 2 great TB's. might want to tail them for awhile (although the market seems to adjust so fast now)

Kansas has been good to me and same with last year. They’re just an auto fade / no touch when public starts talking about betting them (especially Kansas football)

Rock chalk in a great spot tonight only issue is clambake borgata didn’t have any live ml until half and didn’t touch pregame . So +20 live & +160 2nd H isn’t much fun when they win by 20 plus

[flakeandbake]

i totally understood your mention of people having been burned by kansas so often in the past........... it's like me and fading wisconsin and stanford. it never seems to work for me. they have been good ATS teams for many years but not to the level of pain it's caused me (actually, more wisconsin than stanford. i always think of fading stanford. but never do it. maybe now though)

anyway, i completely understand not trusting kansas......

i was right on the game. not all my reasons were legit, but some were..... kansas has 2 great TB's. might want to tail them for awhile (although the market seems to adjust so fast now)

I fuxking hate Stanford haha ! Won on USC last week but got burnnned so bad with Oregon getting ripped off by them early in ‘18 season.

Come to think of it — USC last week was another team where I wasn’t too sure if it seemed square but seemed good enough of a reason to bet

[gojetsgomoxies]

one thing about college football is that things can go the complete opposite to what you expect. alot of volatilty........ not sure any other major betting sport is like that.

non-conference mid-level teams that are supposed to improve/deteriorate alot this season. who knows what might happen?... and i also think people don't give much thought to the fact that a good coach can make adjustments week-to-week. i.e. will WV be so bad going forward? of course, i cherry=pick this example as they are leading now.

my basic theory, and a basic theory behind stock market momentum investing, is that the market under-adjusts to new info. now i think, in college football, in some cases things are over-adjusted. seemed like UCLA was going to be so much better based on chip kelly and his QB 2nd year and alot of returning starters. but that's not that much to go on. and a football program like UCLA seems to have bad energy in general, like the admin doesn't support it enough and/or the stadium being so far from campus etc. etc.

[gojetsgomoxies]

i'm wondering if stanford is finally an auto-fade. been waiting years for this.

walker little, stud OT out. and forest sorrell, arguably #1 recruit in nation 2 or 3 years ago and an OT, is questionable. OTOH, highly regarded QB, good coach, resilient program and scarlet has been good at TB

[flakeandbake]

They look like an auto fade

I agree with your theory. I focus on the volatility and try to bet against the wave