Ncaaf week zero

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  • jillmark
    SBR MVP
    • 08-09-08
    • 3674

    #1
    Ncaaf week zero
    Hello everybody!! It has been awhile. I have not really done anything since college basketball ended last season. Needed some time away for reasons both good & bad. Anyway, I am excited to get back into it again. Check out my plays in both college and pro football this season.



    3* BEST BETS (0-0)(even)
    2* STRONG PLAYS (0-0)(even)
    1* REGULAR PLAYS (0-0)(even)
    ===============================
    OVERALL RECORD (0-0)(even)


    1* Florida -7 (-115) vs Miami-Florida
    3* Hawaii +11 (-115) vs Arizona
    2* Over 73½ (-110) Arizona/Hawaii


    I normally do like to start of the season with a 3* play. It is always a little scary this early because you can not be 100% certain you are going to get what you think you are going to get. The lines usually get tighter as the season goes along, so if the linemakers are going to make a mistake it will be early. I hoping hoping I found my first mistake.

    Arizona just does not seem to play up to their potential year after year. I don’t care what anybody says, traveling to Hawaii for kids this age is a distraction. In addition to that, Hawaii has an extremely talented QB and they will score plenty of points in this game, like they usually do at home. Arizona QB Tate should be improved over last season. I think he and the coaches realize he needs to run the ball more instead of trying to be a pocket passer like last season. The only way Arizona covers this spread is if they go completely crazy against this poor Hawaii defense. However, history has shown they will find a way to not win this game going away. In fact maybe this should be just happy to walk away with a win.
    If I am correct about this game and Hawaii covering the spread, this game should fly over the total. That number is high, but most of the time with an extremely high total, it does go over. I expect 40+ from each team.

    Florida/Miami-Florida…..If I were smart, which I am not most of the time, I would pass on this game. But it is the very first game (not counting those afternoon games) of the year and I want action on it. I am not liking so much love on Florida though.

    Good Luck Everybody!!
  • veriableodds
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-17
    • 5093

    #2
    this will not END well strong model prediction


    -florida wins by 3/ not to mention your going against a 27th ranked team at least according to last years stats

    -Hawaii , we all know what has happened in the opener @ Hawaii last couple times still remains a risky play. +11 is not close to enough points as model shows zona winning by 13, if you were getting say +16 then maybe but +11 no way

    -over 73.5 I cannot ever remember placing a over that high in all my career this is crazy and early in the season why?? model prediction is only 68 points and I say that is generous.

    GL go 3-0
    Comment
    • Combato
      SBR Hustler
      • 09-12-17
      • 76

      #3
      My model says your model ain't played nobody.
      Comment
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