Scar-7.5 is a gift from Vegas!!

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  • CreamGetThe$$$
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-22-12
    • 15

    #1
    Scar-7.5 is a gift from Vegas!!
    N.C. doesn't have a chance of keeping this one close!!
  • ChiTownTeaBagger
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-31-15
    • 164

    #2
    Solid analysis in your first post
    Comment
    • CreamGetThe$$$
      SBR Rookie
      • 09-22-12
      • 15

      #3
      I'm from SC and I know these 2 teams pretty good. NC is gonna have a down year finish maybe 3rd to last in ACC. Scar an its senior QB Jake Bentley has Bryan Edwards(2nd round nfl pick imo), Shi Smith, and Or'tre Smith at WR, they are a solid group!! The addition of 5star running back Tavion Feaster from Clemson as well as 3 senior running backs that all get regular playing gives Scar a pretty good backfield with plenty of depth Scar's Defense has come a long way under the defensive minded Coach Muschamp!! The secondary is a huge strength which I think will be one of the best in the Country and the adittion of 5star DT Zach Pickens should help stop the run. NC with Butch Davis has one hell of a recruiting class coming in 2020 but as for now he hasn't much talent on either side of ball. It will take him 2-4 years to rebuild as it does many first year head coaches. 38-20 Scar is my prediction. Lay the 7.5 and thank me all the way to the bank!!
      Comment
      • eeezzzz
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-24-12
        • 703

        #4
        Mack Brown is the head coach, but I agree with you, rival game or not South Carolina is a lot more talented.
        Comment
        • BigdaddyQH
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-13-09
          • 19530

          #5
          Cream. What kind of post was that? You say that you know these two teams pretty good, yet UNC goes 3-9 in 2017 and 2-9 last season and you say that they are going to have a down year? What the hell have they been doing the past two seasons? During that time the ONLY conference team they have defeated is Pitt, twice. South Carolina has a secondary that returns just 1 starter from last season and is full of Soph's. It will take time for them to develop. Don't come in here telling us how well you know these two teams when it is obvious that you do not know caca. Can South Carolina cover? Sure. Can UNC pull off an upset here? Possibly. This game has generated little or no interest in Vegas. The line has not budged since it came out. You had better learn to do some research before you come in here sounding like some loser tout running your mouth off.
          Comment
          • JacketFan81
            SBR MVP
            • 10-28-17
            • 1742

            #6
            Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
            Cream. What kind of post was that? You say that you know these two teams pretty good, yet UNC goes 3-9 in 2017 and 2-9 last season and you say that they are going to have a down year? What the hell have they been doing the past two seasons? During that time the ONLY conference team they have defeated is Pitt, twice. South Carolina has a secondary that returns just 1 starter from last season and is full of Soph's. It will take time for them to develop. Don't come in here telling us how well you know these two teams when it is obvious that you do not know caca. Can South Carolina cover? Sure. Can UNC pull off an upset here? Possibly. This game has generated little or no interest in Vegas. The line has not budged since it came out. You had better learn to do some research before you come in here sounding like some loser tout running your mouth off.
            Everyone thank BigdaddyQH here for regurgitating Phil Steele. Thanks bud!
            Comment
            • BigdaddyQH
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-13-09
              • 19530

              #7
              Originally posted by JacketFan81
              Everyone thank BigdaddyQH here for regurgitating Phil Steele. Thanks bud!
              This has nothing to do with Steele. It has to do with a bad post, but someone like yourself would not recognize that. After all, you are a Ga. Tech fan. The good news for you is that Tech does get a bye in between their home game against the Citadel and their away game against Temple. That may be the only two wins they get this season, though they should be able to handle the above mentioned UNC at home.
              Comment
              • JacketFan81
                SBR MVP
                • 10-28-17
                • 1742

                #8
                Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                This has nothing to do with Steele. It has to do with a bad post, but someone like yourself would not recognize that. After all, you are a Ga. Tech fan. The good news for you is that Tech does get a bye in between their home game against the Citadel and their away game against Temple. That may be the only two wins they get this season, though they should be able to handle the above mentioned UNC at home.
                Ohhh... The ever-so-devastating "make fun of where he went to college" post. Well, you told me. Keep pounding those Alabama -4000 ML winners, Pedo.
                Comment
                • BigdaddyQH
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-13-09
                  • 19530

                  #9
                  Originally posted by JacketFan81
                  Ohhh... The ever-so-devastating "make fun of where he went to college" post. Well, you told me. Keep pounding those Alabama -4000 ML winners, Pedo.
                  You do not have enough brains to have gone to Ga. Tech, unless it was to watch a game. Go away phony, and stay away. You do not know caca.
                  Comment
                  • CreamGetThe$$$
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 09-22-12
                    • 15

                    #10
                    Damn BigdaddyQH I wasn't trying to be a loser tout and run my mouth!! Just posting facts and my opinion for a SOLID play like everyone here!! Who the hell do you think you are anyway running your mouth loser!!!
                    Comment
                    • JacketFan81
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-28-17
                      • 1742

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                      You do not have enough brains to have gone to Ga. Tech, unless it was to watch a game. Go away phony, and stay away. You do not know caca.
                      Well, indeed I did. I even graduated. Did you ever get that degree from Pedo Bear U, you penetrating molester?
                      Comment
                      • JAKEPEAVY21
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-11-11
                        • 29292

                        #12
                        OP knows both teams but thinks Butch Davis is the UNC head coach?

                        Davis was last the UNC HC in 2010
                        Comment
                        • Eddy Munny
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-13
                          • 15767

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                          OP knows both teams but thinks Butch Davis is the UNC head coach?

                          Davis was last the UNC HC in 2010


                          I didn't even catch that, I mostly skimmed, but yeah, that's an egregious error that the OP hasn't even bothered to edit. Butch effing Davis! Butch would be flattered to hear that someone out there thinks he's still coaching a Power 5 school.

                          On a side note, I'm leaning South Carolina also, but only because I believe UNC's young secondary could struggle against Steve Spurrier's fun-n-gun offense.
                          Comment
                          • JacketFan81
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-28-17
                            • 1742

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Eddy Munny


                            I didn't even catch that, I mostly skimmed, but yeah, that's an egregious error that the OP hasn't even bothered to edit. Butch effing Davis! Butch would be flattered to hear that someone out there thinks he's still coaching a Power 5 school.

                            On a side note, I'm leaning South Carolina also, but only because I believe UNC's young secondary could struggle against Steve Spurrier's fun-n-gun offense.
                            My main issue is how can Lou Holtz's scheme keep up with Dean Smith's outside scoring?
                            Comment
                            • Eddy Munny
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-13-13
                              • 15767

                              #15
                              Originally posted by JacketFan81
                              My main issue is how can Lou Holtz's scheme keep up with Dean Smith's outside scoring?
                              Touche...

                              We'll just have to wait patiently for the OP to reply. I'm sure he'll spell it all out for us in layman terms.

                              I only bet marbles now, but with the help of OP I hope to someday graduate to bubble gum and Lunchables!
                              Comment
                              • CreamGetThe$$$
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 09-22-12
                                • 15

                                #16
                                I meant Mack Brow damnit!!
                                Comment
                                • Combato
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 09-12-17
                                  • 76

                                  #17
                                  This game opened at -7 as most shops. Currently, moving to -8 at several offshore books.

                                  Consensus looks very public at this time – 58% of total best on SC, 88% of money on SC, and 78% of parlay bets on SC. Coupled with the line move, it appears that SC is getting a lot of square action.

                                  Historically, games in this line range and this type of line movement are 251 wins and 205 losses for a 55% edge to UNC.

                                  My simulations show a projected score range for SC to win by 1 to 3 points (which translates into about a 65% chance for UNC to cover)

                                  One respected modeler that I follow has SC as -3.9 favorite which also translates into a play on UNC.

                                  I think this line might continue increase, possibly to -9 or even -10. I am going to play UNC at +8 or better
                                  Comment
                                  • CreamGetThe$$$
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 09-22-12
                                    • 15

                                    #18
                                    Hope yall got Scar-7.5 it's up to 9 now!!
                                    Comment
                                    • JAKEPEAVY21
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-11-11
                                      • 29292

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by CreamGetThe$$$
                                      Hope yall got Scar-7.5 it's up to 9 now!!
                                      Must be that vaunted Butch Davis recruiting class!
                                      Comment
                                      • Mike Huntertz
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-19-09
                                        • 11207

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by CreamGetThe$$$
                                        Hope yall got Scar-7.5 it's up to 9 now!!
                                        -10 now!
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 37363

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by CreamGetThe$$$
                                          Hope yall got Scar-7.5 it's up to 9 now!!
                                          It's a game of small margins. You're holding nice btcl value now.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                            Must be that vaunted Butch Davis recruiting class!
                                            I thought Roy Williams was the coach? Oh wait, what sport??? Who playing? Frank Martin has really got the gamecocks playing up tempo!!
                                            Comment
                                            • JAKEPEAVY21
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-11-11
                                              • 29292

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              I thought Roy Williams was the coach? Oh wait, what sport??? Who playing? Frank Martin has really got the gamecocks playing up tempo!!
                                              haha

                                              all kidding aside, OP seems to be correct as the line has moved quite a bit.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                                haha

                                                all kidding aside, OP seems to be correct as the line has moved quite a bit.
                                                Crazy fatdaddy said line wasn’t gonna move, shocker his Vegas inside info wasn’t correct. Lol.
                                                Comment
                                                • CreamGetThe$$$
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 09-22-12
                                                  • 15

                                                  #25
                                                  11.5 now. Hope yall got on it at 7.5 instead of making stupid jokes because of a brain fart!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2Shirts
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-11-11
                                                    • 4402

                                                    #26
                                                    Say what????

                                                    Originally posted by CreamGetThe$$$
                                                    N.C. doesn't have a chance of keeping this one close!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tigertom
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-27-12
                                                      • 242

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by 2Shirts
                                                      Say what????
                                                      Pile on after the fact. Class guy! Where the hell were you for the last week? Just sayin.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2Shirts
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-11-11
                                                        • 4402

                                                        #28
                                                        Cowering in a corner in my mom's basement crying. You?

                                                        Originally posted by tigertom
                                                        Pile on after the fact. Class guy! Where the hell were you for the last week? Just sayin.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • moronist
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 10-25-18
                                                          • 33

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by CreamGetThe$$$
                                                          11.5 now. Hope yall got on it at 7.5 instead of making stupid jokes because of a brain fart!!
                                                          Even though your pick lost, congratulations on getting a better closing line, by betting it early.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JAKEPEAVY21
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-11-11
                                                            • 29292

                                                            #30
                                                            and OP vanished like a fart in the wind...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mike Huntertz
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-19-09
                                                              • 11207

                                                              #31
                                                              Great line, bad result.
                                                              Keep "em coming.
                                                              Comment
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