college bowls, conferences and quality of teams

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  • gojetsgomoxies
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-12
    • 4222

    #1
    college bowls, conferences and quality of teams
    been looking at some college bowl systems.

    one thing i was interested in is relative positioning of the bowl teams within their conferences. i.e. top level MAC team vs. mediocre SEC team (mediocre in relation to other SEC teams),

    i looked at bowl games since and including 2013 (randomly picked year... not ancient history, reasonable sample size.

    Top teams within conference,

    > 79% all-in winning percentage,

    Big 12 36% ATS
    Pac 12 38%
    MAC and MWC 20% each.

    AAC 67%
    USA 100% (these last 2 = small sample size)...


    mediocre teams within conference (<65% WP)

    SEC 13-5 72% ATS... been a tiny loser the last 2 years. was perfect for 4 years before that.
  • gojetsgomoxies
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-12
    • 4222

    #2
    since and including 2004 (data mining, but it was 50% for a few years beforehand), "winning % <55%" = 92-62 (60%) ATS.... hasn't had a major losing year back and including 2001.

    "teams just happy to be there" are motivate.
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    • Amay537
      SBR Hustler
      • 08-18-18
      • 74

      #3
      USA 100 percent. Hmm.
      Comment
      • gojetsgomoxies
        SBR MVP
        • 09-04-12
        • 4222

        #4
        Originally posted by Amay537
        USA 100 percent. Hmm.
        conference USA teams with winning % above 79% are 100% ATS in bowl games since 2012........ USA doesn't have many excellent teams, hence not that many teams with that WP.. and the USA teams have changed alot over time.......... i think i was clear on my parameters.

        Comment
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