Fred The Hammers Bowl Thread

[Fred The Hammer]

Utah State Over 37.5 (4 units)

Utah State -9/Over 66.5 (1 unit)


Just too much firepower for NT! NT goes in shotgun and throws the ball alot which will play right into Utah State's hands. You want to grind it out and play keep away from their offense

Utah State 45-24


Northern Illinois ML +120 / UAB (2 units)

NI has faced much better competition (Iowa, Utah, Fla St, and BYU). Solid program and showed some heart to rally and beat Buffalo. UAB only scored 3 pts in the 2nd half vs Mid Tenn and is limited offensively.

Northern Illinois 23-16

[Fred The Hammer]

Syracuse +7 (-105) / W Virginia (3 units)

This one is a little bit of a motivational play for me. This is a fantastic season for Cuse and only downer of late was Notre Dame but Dungey got hurt early. WV has lost 2 in a row and has to be disappointed to drop a squeaker at home with a chance to play for the B12 championship. This will obviously be a shootout and Cuse will hang. I think as we get closer the line will come down to 5.5 or 6 with East coast $$

Syracuse 40-36

[Renegades]

Fine is out for n texas, no? He is a huge part of their offense

[BigdaddyQH]

Fine is out for n texas, no? He is a huge part of their offense

Yes he is and without him, NT managed only 24 points against 3-9 UTSA. This makes going over the total highly problematical.

[Renegades]

Thanks. Thats what I thought. I dont think you can play the over in that game.

[Renegades]

I like the northern illinois pick though

[BigdaddyQH]

Syracuse +7 (-105) / W Virginia (3 units)

This one is a little bit of a motivational play for me. This is a fantastic season for Cuse and only downer of late was Notre Dame but Dungey got hurt early. WV has lost 2 in a row and has to be disappointed to drop a squeaker at home with a chance to play for the B12 championship. This will obviously be a shootout and Cuse will hang. I think as we get closer the line will come down to 5.5 or 6 with East coast $$

Syracuse 40-36

You really lucked out with that wager. The line is down to -1 with Grier deciding not to play.

[Fred The Hammer]

You really lucked out with that wager. The line is down to -1 with Grier deciding not to play.

Yeah....crazy?

Adding:

Cuse ML +110

Texas A&M -4.5 (-107) / NC State

Some key guys for NC State are also sitting out and they don't match up!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Thanks. Thats what I thought. I dont think you can play the over in that game.

You can play it for Utah State although -9 might be easier? I keep going back and forth and have both with more on Over 37.5. NT is going to get lit up

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Buffalo/Troy Over 53.5 (-105) 4 stars top play

I've watched Buffalo several times since midseason and their D has fell off quite a bit. Miami (OH) isn't good offensively and they put up 41 on them. N Ill isn't good either and rallied to put up 30 on Buffalo. I think Buffalo passes so much that the games drag on and their D gets tired. Its good for Overs!!

Buffalo's last 5 games have averaged 68.2 with 4-1 Over 53.5 points. They're 9-3 Over for the season. On the other side it could be a fluky stat, but Troy is on a 7-0 Over streak in their bowl games.

Buffalo 35-31

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Another $75 on Cuse ML +115

I think they would beat WV with Grier or a very tight game atleast. Dungey for Cuse is a competitor! He'll come after these guys and Cuse doesn't go bowling every year like WV.

[Fred The Hammer]

Buffalo/Troy is now down to 51.5

Adding more to make a 5 unit play! Buffalo is 9-3 Over for the season and thats a pretty low number! I think the public is wrong on that one and Utah State. They're going to pound North Texas

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Mountain West Over 3.5 Wins (+107) College Props 5 dimes

$175 to win $187.25

Over 4.5 wins (+429)

$35 to win $150

I like the MW alot this year! I think Utah State and Fresno take care of business fairly easily tomorrow. That leaves 2 wins out of 4 with Boise, Hawaii, Nevada, and San Diego State. I like Boise, Nevada, and Hawaii quite a bit and San Diego St is only a 3 pt dog.

[Fred The Hammer]

Utah State 21-7 and it could be 28-0 without a couple of stupid personal fouls and a dumb pick from NT's 3 yd line. US is far superior just like I said. I have no idea why the line dropped?

[Fred The Hammer]

Utah State Over 37.5 (4 units)

Utah State -9/Over 66.5 (1 unit)


Just too much firepower for NT! NT goes in shotgun and throws the ball alot which will play right into Utah State's hands. You want to grind it out and play keep away from their offense

Utah State 45-24


Northern Illinois ML +120 / UAB (2 units)

NI has faced much better competition (Iowa, Utah, Fla St, and BYU). Solid program and showed some heart to rally and beat Buffalo. UAB only scored 3 pts in the 2nd half vs Mid Tenn and is limited offensively.

Northern Illinois 23-16

Who are the knuckleheads that bet down Utah State -9 to -7? These two teams are not on the same level. Period! I'm going to rake in about $350 on this game and another $90 if it goes Over without Fine.

[The_Kid]

Looking good so far, Fred!

[Fred The Hammer]

Looking good so far, Fred!

Utah State Over 37.5 has cashed already!!! I do have some on -9 also and that will cash also barring a asteroid hitting midfield in the 2nd half

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Mid Tenn/App State Over 48 (-108) 1 unit

[ex50warrior]

Nice start--congrats!

[Fred The Hammer]

Nice start--congrats!

Thank you sir!!

Adding:

2 team teaser ties win

$75.00	$78.75	Open	2 Team Teaser (ties win) Teaser tw 5fb & 4bk
				Pending	12/15/18 9:00pm College Football 209 Middle Tennessee State/Appalachian State Over 44 *

Leaving 1 open spot for something else in the next few days!!

[Renegades]

Tough to play over with app st. They have 2 speeds; slow and slower. And they have a great pass defense

[Fred The Hammer]

Tough to play over with app st. They have 2 speeds; slow and slower. And they have a great pass defense

Well its 31-6. It should hit, but App State -6.5 was obviously the way to go. I know MT so well that I knew they were over their head tonite, but I guess I have a soft spot for them since they cashed for me several times this year.

Sagarin has App State 44th and MT 83rd. Thats all you need to know

[Fred The Hammer]

Cha-Ching

Its bowl season and I own it!! Not to brag too much, but I've won fairly big like 7 of the last 8 years with the bowl games. NC dropping that game to Stanford because of Mitch Trubisky screwing up was the year I lost slightly, but every other year lately I've owned!!!

[Fabiodog]

Nice work thanks for sharing

[BigdaddyQH]

Solid Start. As promised, North Texas could not score at all, costing the over players. Arizona State also went under the tt. I have no idea why people dumped their money on North Texas. Maybe they just never heard of Utah State. The line opened at -10 1/2 and dropped to -9 at the end.

[turdferg]

love northern illi play been watching them Tuesday nights this year I took with points tho...GL with your plays

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Who are the knuckleheads that bet down Utah State -9 to -7? These two teams are not on the same level. Period! I'm going to rake in about $350 on this game and another $90 if it goes Over without Fine.

Keep it going, Flint-stone. A little un-lucky that Parlay didn't hit.

As for the line-move...a lot of chatter about UtahSt depleted coaching staff. But the veteran team took bull-by-horns + dominated.

[Fred The Hammer]

Keep it going, Flint-stone. A little un-lucky that Parlay didn't hit.

As for the line-move...a lot of chatter about UtahSt depleted coaching staff. But the veteran team took bull-by-horns + dominated.

Keeping it simple as shit and its working. I've actually watched quite a bit less cfb then normal, but using the Sagarin rankings for football and KenPom for college hoops. Pretty predictable run lately which helps out

[Fred The Hammer]

Sagarin rankings:

Northern Ill 75th, UAB 79th

Ohio 62nd, SD State 85th.

I have a little on NI, but I think I might play Ohio a little heavier? Frank Solich runs such a solid program!

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Ohio -2.5 (-108) 2 units


This seems like a possible trap, but Ohio & Frank Solich have always been good to me!

Look at the numbers:

Scoring 30+ (Ohio 9 times, Aztecs 2 times)
Scoring 40+ (Ohio 6 times, Aztecs Zero)

Yeah SDS owns the best victory of the two with a midseason win in Boise, but they finished by dropping 4 of 5 including home games to UNLV and Hawaii. Its not like Ohio only scored on cupcakes either. They put up 31 on Virginia and 30 on a solid Cincinnati defense.

San Diego is coming to DFW for the 2nd year in a row. That makes them more comfortable I guess? They played in the Armed Forces bowl last year in Ft Worth, but Ohio obviously has more firepower and should get this one done!

[Renegades]

Solich always has his teams prepared for the bowls. Line got hammered down. Pretty big move thru key # of 3 which is concerning. Sd state is not good though. Ohio or pass

[Fred The Hammer]

Solich always has his teams prepared for the bowls. Line got hammered down. Pretty big move thru key # of 3 which is concerning. Sd state is not good though. Ohio or pass

For the record...I hedged some on Northern Ill ML tonite and put some more on Ohio -2.5 (-115). SDS has a decent defense, but Ohio is pretty crafty! They'll run some option with I-formation and then throw it around pretty well too (QB has 22 TD passes). San Diego will bring their best game, but their offense is just so generic. They lost last year in their bowl and will be motivated and have a month to prepare after a bad finish, but Ohio is so well coached and very opportunistic with turnovers. SDS barely squeaked by horrible San Jose 16-13 and then lost at home to another scrub in UNLV.

3 units on Ohio -2.5
.5 unit on 5D adjusted line Ohio -5.5 (+145)

[Fred The Hammer]

I also remember last year. SD State had a better team last year with Penny running for 1500 yards or whatever. They still couldn't beat Army in their bowl game and Army couldn't throw the ball for shit. I think their defense is overrated

[Renegades]

Army chewed them up last year. That was a wild game. Both teams in the 40’s if i remember correctly

[Hman]

GL Fred