NCAAF Week 11 with some observations

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  • L8night
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-04-13
    • 5535

    #1
    NCAAF Week 11 with some observations
    Last week: 2-1 +45
    YTD: 9-7 +70


    Hello SBR members and lurkers,

    I don't usually play week night games, but I could not pass on this Friday night matchup

    1st play of the week:

    Fresno St -2 vs Boise St

    Both teams enter this matchup with pretty similar stats, so why did the linemaker make Fresno the favorite on the road?

    Back later with my leans for the week.....
  • Ratpack
    SBR MVP
    • 02-15-12
    • 4133

    #2
    i like it also but it seems live EVERYONE and their mom is on this game
    Comment
    • Tigers1230
      SBR MVP
      • 12-04-07
      • 1568

      #3
      I want to take it but Boise at home is tough. Really liking cinci -12 against a struggling south Florida team
      Comment
      • L8night
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-04-13
        • 5535

        #4
        hey Ratpack,

        I don't know who is on this game? game caught my eye when the lines came out, went on and got it in early, I usually don't do that.

        Hey Tigers1230,

        I can understand your hesitation, Boise has been tough at home over the years and one of the reasons I went with Fresno is, Boise lost to San Diego St at home, I watched that game and the Aztec's defense kept Rypien and the Boise offense off balance the whole game, IMO Fresno's defense is better than San Diego States, plus they bring a pretty good offense, which Boise will have trouble with, I'm not trying to talk you into the play, but from my point of view, Fresno is the better team.
        As for Cincy, they are a tough team, that defense is good, 12 points seems to be high though.
        Comment
        • BigdaddyQH
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-13-09
          • 19530

          #5
          I also grabbed Fresno State when the line first came out at Caesars. Boise State has already lost a home game to San Diego State and were fortunate to defeat BYU at home last week by 5 points, as 13 point chalk. Fresno State has won and covered 7 games in a row. Their defense has given up only 36 points in their last 5 games. I do not see Boise's offense being able to score a lot of points here. Fresno State has also covered the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

          As far as Cincy and USF goes, if USF has not quit on Charlie "My Way or the Highway" Strong (which is certainly a possibility) this is a dangerous spot for Cincy. They go to UCF next week in a game that could decide the AAC's champion. Look ahead? USF has covered 4 out of the last 5 games against Cincy, and getting 12 points is a lot.
          Comment
          • L8night
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-04-13
            • 5535

            #6
            Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
            I also grabbed Fresno State when the line first came out at Caesars. Boise State has already lost a home game to San Diego State and were fortunate to defeat BYU at home last week by 5 points, as 13 point chalk. Fresno State has won and covered 7 games in a row. Their defense has given up only 36 points in their last 5 games. I do not see Boise's offense being able to score a lot of points here. Fresno State has also covered the last 4 meetings between these two teams.



            As far as Cincy and USF goes, if USF has not quit on Charlie "My Way or the Highway" Strong (which is certainly a possibility) this is a dangerous spot for Cincy. They go to UCF next week in a game that could decide the AAC's champion. Look ahead? USF has covered 4 out of the last 5 games against Cincy, and getting 12 points is a lot.
            hey Bigdaddy,

            I see we agree on this game
            Comment
            • L8night
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-04-13
              • 5535

              #7
              leans on totals, I haven't played these yet and will wait till Saturday:

              Ole Miss/Texas A&M under 67

              Liberty/Virginia under 60

              Ga St/ULAF over 68 1/2,

              Questions or comments are welcome...
              Comment
              • MakeitRain
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-18-11
                • 335

                #8
                I guess your depending on A&M to play defense bc it sure won’t be ole miss.

                I think that one will be close
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Fresno State is the best Group of 5 team in the country, I think they make a huge statement here. It is a travesty that they are ranked so much lower than UCF right now, hopefully Bulldogs open some eyes tonight.

                  And for the record, I would make Fresno -3 over UCF on neutral field.
                  Comment
                  • 209 Life
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-15-18
                    • 3146

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Fresno State is the best Group of 5 team in the country, I think they make a huge statement here. It is a travesty that they are ranked so much lower than UCF right now, hopefully Bulldogs open some eyes tonight.

                    And for the record, I would make Fresno -3 over UCF on neutral field.
                    Fresno ST smacks UCF around
                    Comment
                    • Ratpack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-15-12
                      • 4133

                      #11
                      under a better bet tonight freseno likes to run the ball and has a stout d
                      Comment
                      • BigdaddyQH
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-13-09
                        • 19530

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Ratpack
                        under a better bet tonight freseno likes to run the ball and has a stout d
                        The higher the score, the better the chances for Boise State are.
                        Comment
                        • Ratpack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-15-12
                          • 4133

                          #13
                          tried to tell ya
                          Comment
                          • L8night
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-04-13
                            • 5535

                            #14
                            Thanks all that rang in, I wanted to watch the Fresno game last night,(I live on the east coast), but being old, I'm lucky to make it to 10:30,
                            I was a little shocked when I woke up this morning and saw the results, I see Fresno had the lead and cover going into the 4th, then gave up 14 points, I never would have thought that scenario was possible, but it did happen.

                            Sorry to those that followed, so I start the weekend with a loss, so I will shrug it off and get back on the horse.

                            I am not playing any of the totals I had leans on, as the numbers looked good at first, but as more research has told me not to.

                            I will be playing these today:

                            Liberty +24 @ Virginia, a little interstate battle, I believe Liberty offense can keep this inside the number.

                            Auburn @ Georgia -13 1/2, Auburn has shown they have no bite this year, Georgia showing the nation they belong in the championship tourney.

                            If I come across any other games, I will post them

                            Good Luck this weekend and have fun win or lose
                            Comment
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