i've got killed the first 2 weeks and as i mentioned before this week i seem to really like underdogs...
i did statistical analysis and it shows underdogs have been very bad this year after being good last year. mixed in years before that...
here are the results so far
>10, 20, 30 point underdogs (and it's cumulative so the 10 point UD would include the biggest UD's)
2017 55.9% 62.2% 66.0%
2018 44.4% 42.4% 42.0%
i don't have the original stats in front of me but week 1 and 2 underdogs of over 10 points is alot of games.
i will also note that i didn't bring up that UD's were doing really well when i was winning last year.
not sure if there's any reason for this or if it's highly statistical significant.. the large UD winning % last year is big BUT it's not that many games.
i did statistical analysis and it shows underdogs have been very bad this year after being good last year. mixed in years before that...
here are the results so far
>10, 20, 30 point underdogs (and it's cumulative so the 10 point UD would include the biggest UD's)
2017 55.9% 62.2% 66.0%
2018 44.4% 42.4% 42.0%
i don't have the original stats in front of me but week 1 and 2 underdogs of over 10 points is alot of games.
i will also note that i didn't bring up that UD's were doing really well when i was winning last year.
not sure if there's any reason for this or if it's highly statistical significant.. the large UD winning % last year is big BUT it's not that many games.