Big Ten Report Week 1 with two weekday Locks

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Fred The Hammer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-13
    • 11581

    #1
    Big Ten Report Week 1 with two weekday Locks
    I'm in Indy and a Indiana grad. I always stay on top of the B10....atleast until Indiana is eliminated from bowl contention....which is often.


    Some feelings about the openers.


    Minnesota (-21) over NM State. I jumped on Minn -19.5 after watching a couple offensive series from NM State. They suck and they got physically beat up by Wyoming. Not to mention they're flying halfway across the country to play on 5 days rest? The row the oars guy for Minn is overrated and they're nothing special, but they'll beat the shit out of these guys

    44-10 Gophers

    Wisconsin/W Kentucky Over 51.
    I used to clean up on these type of plays with Indiana and Wisconsin. Mich. St was another one vs the Hoosiers. The totals would be in the low 50s and all Indiana had to do was score 7 points usually....if that? That was back in the day of Monte Ball. The Badgers are loaded and even their dorky lefty QB is pretty decent. They'll have 31+ by half. Hopefully WKy gets some garbage at some point. Absolutely love this one!! This is my biggest play of the week!!!!

    54-10 Badgers


    Leans at this point:

    Northwestern ML +120 over Purdue.
    Purdue only has 1 return w/experience at LB and Northwestern returns a good defense and 4 of their O-line along with an experienced QB. Their kicker is accurate too and it should be a close game. Not playing this one yet although I like the value

    Also like Florida International +10.5 over Indiana. Indiana is only returning 3-4 guys on defense and FIU isn't that bad. I do think Indiana will improve and has some good young talent, but this should be a tough one for them.

    App State +24 over Penn State. McSorley is really good and PS will overcome losing Barkley, App State is just one of those teams that doesn't beat themselves and makes plays. I have this one on several parlays

    Another one from a non-B10 midwest team. Cincinnati / UCLA Over 61. Chip Kelly is back!! They play fast and score plus defense is optional for UCLA. They were horrrrible last year on D.

    UCLA 41-27


    Good Luck All!!!!


  • Fred The Hammer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-13
    • 11581

    #2
    Well I see some of the lines are moving like I thought.

    The Wisconsin/W Kentucky total is up to 52.5 now.

    UCLA/Cincinnati is up to 64

    Purdue is down to 1 or 1.5 over Northwestern

    I played a little on Minnesota and more on UCLA Over 61, but my big play is Wisconsin Over 51! 52.5 is still pretty solid...because 53 is a key number!

    I normally don't play big in the beginning of the season, but the more I look at this game, the more I feel like I have a good read on it. Wisconsin is #4 in the nation which is the highest I can ever remember preseason? They heard all the complaining last year (rightfully) that they didn't beat anyone when they were 11-0 or whatever. They don't want to hear about how they're overrated after they come out and sleepwalk thru a 31-14 win. They're going to put the hammer down on these guys! I don't lay huge points and never will, but the total is even easier imo! I think they'll also want to get their RB Jonathan Taylor some early hype for the Heisman. He's for real and their O-line is always massive! Add to that....the Badgers have 7 new starters on D and W Ky has promised to play more up-tempo like they did when they were scoring so many points 2 years ago. If I'm lucky then WKy will hit a big play early and make it 7-7 or something?
    I see something like 54-14 or 48-10 at a minimum. Hell they beat my Hoosiers 83-20 or something a few years ago. They were tied with Utah State 10-10 at half in their opener last year and won 59-10. Once they beat down your Dline then its going to get ugly!

    Get 52.5 before it goes up more!!!
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 37416

      #3
      Freddy, good stuff. Good Luck.

      As a Badger, I could see the Over getting there. Don't like the -36 at all. NOw more than 5TDs, and I've never seen an OffLine get more pre-season Interviews.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • Grits n' Gravy
        Restricted User
        • 06-10-10
        • 13024

        #4
        Best of luck
        Comment
        • A Quant
          SBR MVP
          • 05-14-18
          • 1357

          #5
          Good luck.
          Comment
          • Fred The Hammer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 11581

            #6
            Thanks fellas. I ended up taking NW +120 for a little bit....not much. I think Purdue will take a small step back this year. Their schedule is tougher and they ran alot of trick plays last years and teams will be ready for them this year.
            Comment
            • ex50warrior
              SBR MVP
              • 10-10-09
              • 3822

              #7
              With you on a couple--good luck.
              Comment
              • Fred The Hammer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-13-13
                • 11581

                #8
                Gophers up 41-10 & Northwestern up 31-17 at half. Shooting for 3-0 with a +120 in there....possible strong start here!!!



                Looking at the Syracuse game....they should be better this year and should handle W Mich? Havent bet it yet
                Comment
                • Fred The Hammer
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-13-13
                  • 11581

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ex50warrior
                  With you on a couple--good luck.
                  Thank you sir? Rainbow Warriors? Loved that game last week. THey should go Over easily w/Navy although they said it could be heavy rain?
                  Comment
                  • ex50warrior
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-10-09
                    • 3822

                    #10
                    Yeah, but don't live there anymore. They played pretty well last week.
                    Comment
                    • Enkhbat
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-18-11
                      • 3145

                      #11
                      Are you playing all your leans? good job on Minnesota game, hopefully Wisconsin over hits tomorrow.
                      Comment
                      • Fred The Hammer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-13
                        • 11581

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Enkhbat
                        Are you playing all your leans? good job on Minnesota game, hopefully Wisconsin over hits tomorrow.
                        Northwestern!!!




                        I play most of them, but sometimes the line moves against me and I don't like the new line. For instance I'm on UCLA/Cincy Over 61 for like $75. I was going to bet more but now its 64. I play alot of Overs and I look for those key numbers! 63-64 are big numbers. Like I put another $100 on Wisc Over 52.5 because 52 isn't a likely total. To me 51 or 52.5 are about the same except you could push with 51. I feel great about that one though. Wisc looking to impress and also 7 new starters defensively. They could have a few breakdowns defensively early like Purdue tonite. Purdue with 7 new starters I think.
                        Comment
                        • Fred The Hammer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-13
                          • 11581

                          #13
                          Cuse +3 in a teaser with Wisky Over and Navy/Hawaii Over

                          I really think Cuse hung tough with some great teams last year so the MAC isn't anything. Good QB in Dungy too
                          Comment
                          • Fred The Hammer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-13-13
                            • 11581

                            #14
                            Utah State? Wow.....they have a good QB and some weapons. They are moving up/down the field on Sparty. They are a team to watch because they're going to light up those schools out west!
                            Comment
                            • gilbert91016
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-29-09
                              • 1479

                              #15
                              Any totals. You like tomorrow ?
                              Comment
                              • POTVINSUX
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-14-08
                                • 2423

                                #16
                                GL tmr Hammer! With you on App. St. Need an answer here by Cuse or could get ugly.
                                Comment
                                • Fred The Hammer
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-13-13
                                  • 11581

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by gilbert91016
                                  Any totals. You like tomorrow ?

                                  I like some games, but I'm really into this Wisconsin game. Only 7-0? Need them to wake up. 4-0 otherwise so far this year, but I'm on this one pretty heavy!

                                  10-10 last year at half in their opener and they won 59-10. Need some of that!! I will have write-ups on here for tomorrow
                                  Comment
                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-13-13
                                    • 11581

                                    #18
                                    Uh-oh....this Wisc QB is fkn terrible. All day to throw and can't do shit?

                                    Comment
                                    • DA_MOSS
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-22-11
                                      • 1830

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                      Uh-oh....this Wisc QB is fkn terrible. All day to throw and can't do shit?

                                      agreed.. terrible .. Wisky should be rolling.. gonna need WKU to put up some points quick
                                      Comment
                                      • Enkhbat
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-18-11
                                        • 3145

                                        #20
                                        I think Wisconsin offense is gonna struggle against big10
                                        Comment
                                        • DA_MOSS
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-22-11
                                          • 1830

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Enkhbat
                                          I think Wisconsin offense is gonna struggle against big10
                                          Dont think they've given Taylor the ball since that big run.. dude is only a Heisman front runner.. Paul Chryst is calling a rough one so far
                                          Comment
                                          • Fred The Hammer
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-13-13
                                            • 11581

                                            #22
                                            Just get to 24 at half and not sitting that bad. QB will be warm and they'll get 14 in the 3rd then put the backups in. A couple garbage TDs and squeak it out. I really thought W Ky could put together atleast 1-2 big plays against a Wisc D with alot of new guys, but they suck
                                            Comment
                                            • DA_MOSS
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-11
                                              • 1830

                                              #23
                                              Huge pass play then the idiot QB takes a huge sack.. dude is just not good right now

                                              need another huge play here on 3rd and long or we're screwed.. agreed on WKU too.. they look bad
                                              Comment
                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-13-13
                                                • 11581

                                                #24
                                                Kicking myself because I looked at Col/COl St over and sort of forgot about it. Col St's D is fkn terrible. Hawaii did whatever they wanted to them. I knew Col was going to get 40+ tonite
                                                Comment
                                                • DA_MOSS
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                  • 1830

                                                  #25
                                                  Hey now.. that offense looked better there.. 2 chances to punch it in here

                                                  edit.. TD! still got a chance
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                    • 11581

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by DA_MOSS
                                                    Hey now.. that offense looked better there.. 2 chances to punch it in here

                                                    edit.. TD! still got a chance

                                                    Yeah.....had to get that! Now WKy's D will be gassed and should give up some big chunk runs. I have way too much on this game for an opener. I have Over 50.5, 51, and Over 45.5 in a teaser. I'd be happy with 51-0 or 44-7 but 52 and I clean up!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DA_MOSS
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                      • 1830

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                      Yeah.....had to get that! Now WKy's D will be gassed and should give up some big chunk runs. I have way too much on this game for an opener. I have Over 50.5, 51, and Over 45.5 in a teaser. I'd be happy with 51-0 or 44-7 but 52 and I clean up!!!
                                                      Think it WKU can somehow get to 14 then the game should be close.. You can see Wisky starting to impose their will some on offense.. think they can get 20+ in the 2nd half.. Maybe they just flip a switch and put up 35 and cover it by themselves

                                                      Just put a nice play on over 21.5 for the 2nd half.. Really banking on WKU getting something here.. going to be puckering the next 30 min for sure
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 11581

                                                        #28
                                                        4 games finished....4 Overs. Of the 4 current games....2 on pace for Over. This one is up in the air......and nobody would bet Stanford/SD State Over so you can throw that one out. Gotta love college Overs!

                                                        21.5 second half? I think that gets there but it all depends on how long the Badgers want to put it on them. If its only 34-0 or something end of 3 then we're screwed. We need 14-21 points! W Ky to hit a fluke bomb TD or something?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DA_MOSS
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-11
                                                          • 1830

                                                          #29
                                                          We shall see! Need some early scoring for sure

                                                          Here we go!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DA_MOSS
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-22-11
                                                            • 1830

                                                            #30
                                                            damn.. WKU had the open Receiver on 1st and goal but the QB threw behind him..

                                                            3 is better than nothing though.. They looked much better there
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-13-13
                                                              • 11581

                                                              #31
                                                              Thats not bad!! It was quick and it keeps Wisc's first string in the game. The QB led the guy over the wrong shoulder though or its an easy TD
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 11581

                                                                #32
                                                                Damn it? Guy was all over their receiver but atleast they made the FG. We need some big plays and quick scores
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DA_MOSS
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                                  • 1830

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                                  Damn it? Guy was all over their receiver but atleast they made the FG. We need some big plays and quick scores
                                                                  Hornibrook is missing throw after throw for Wisky

                                                                  WKU is having success through the air; need to keep airing it out for us. Gotta quit trying to run it up the middle
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DA_MOSS
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                                    • 1830

                                                                    #34
                                                                    that just may penetrating do it.. what the penetrate is WKU thinking with that trick bullshit
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                                      • 11581

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by DA_MOSS
                                                                      that just may penetrating do it.. what the penetrate is WKU thinking with that trick bullshit
                                                                      WTF was that? Why? Teams trying to be too cute. Just spread out and run the little pick plays....they rarely call them. We're fk'd
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...