MasterP College Football 2018

[MasterPmasterP]

Maryland -16

[MasterPmasterP]

Good luck to you man, I hope you kill it.

I AM NOT HATING.

But what you typed there really is not how Probability Game Theory works.

The key here is you are betting into -110 lines.

The more games you play, it is a statistical certainty that you will revert to 50-50. The larger the same size, the larger the probability that you will be 50-50. Regardless of handicapping "skill", if you bet enough, it will be increasing more difficult to make a profit.

Thanks appreciate it.

I have to reply to this though. If you are only winning 50% of your games and betting -110 then yes you will lose money (which is what happens to majority of bettors) But I don't win at a 50% clip. I've been hitting between 54-60% for years. This is a large sample size so I would have reverted back to mean if I was just "getting lucky" 54% at -110 would have a 3% edge over the books and at a peak 60% at -110 14.5% edge. So even at the low end 54% winners at -110 odds you can make $$ lots of money $$

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Liberty +10

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Duke +3

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Purdue -15.5

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Smu U 61

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Nc St -25

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Umass +3

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central mich -4

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Odu U 55

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Cincy +2

[MasterPmasterP]

Arkansas -13

[A Quant]

Ytd :10-6

Not trying to be a dick man, but you're not 10-6, you are 9-8.

Honestly, just trying to help you out.

Your 9 wins are below.

Northern Illinois +10.5

LOSS

Odu -6.5

LOSS

Cal -7

PUSH

Nebraska -24

DID NOT PLAY

App St +24

WIN

Utah St +24

WIN

Duke -13

WIN

Tulane +7

WIN

Fiu +10.5

WIN

Fla Atl +21

LOSS

North Tex -4

WIN

Az St -18

WIN

Unlv +26

WIN

Miami-ohio -1.5

LOSS

Illinois -18

LOSS

Ole Miss -2

WIN

Michigan -2.5

LOSS

Florida St -7

LOSS

Fsu over 54

LOSS

[MasterPmasterP]

The 10-6 record was posted before the Florida state game so obviously that game was not included in the ytd results. I graded the Cal game as a winner and it was a push. I actually won though Cal -6 thats why I counted it as a winner (it was an honest mistake) It's tough when I have picks on here other forums, twitter etc. Thanks for pointing that out though. I want an accurate record so let me know if I slip up again, thanks

[MasterPmasterP]

The games I post on here are only a fraction of the games I actually bet. Here's a screen shot (including the Cal pick) along with other games that weren't even posted on here. On a given Saturday for college football I have over 50 bets easily (spreads/totals)

[MasterPmasterP]

I use to be able to upload images on here

[A Quant]

The games I post on here are only a fraction of the games I actually bet. Here's a screen shot (including the Cal pick) along with other games that weren't even posted on here. On a given Saturday for college football I have over 50 bets easily (spreads/totals)

Dumb question.

Why not post all your picks in just one post on here?

Why not include all your bets on here?

If you're going for transparency, wouldn't it make sense to post the bets you actually make?

[MasterPmasterP]

Dumb question.

Why not post all your picks in just one post on here?

Why not include all your bets on here?

If you're going for transparency, wouldn't it make sense to post the bets you actually make?

Not a dumb question. To be honest, time.

[MasterPmasterP]

North Carolina -16.5

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Odu +1

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Coastal Carolina +10

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Vandy under 62.5

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Texas over 61.5

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Kansas St under 54.5

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Fla Atlantic under 66.5

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Ga southern over 61

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Smu U 61

Good start to week 2! Cash money

[MasterPmasterP]

The more money I make from the books the more dogs I can rescue

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Florida under 51

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Byu under 48 -115

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Boise over 63

[Hman]

GL wuth the plays MP

[MasterPmasterP]

GL wuth the plays MP

Ty sir

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Army over 58

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Nc St over 27 2H