NCAAF WEEK#13 picks

veriableodds · 11-20-17, 11:04 PM

just these 5 plays no add ons..BOL

veriableodds · 11-27-17, 02:54 PM

wk#13/2W-3L(-1.2u)
SEASON FINAL COUNT
40W-29L-2p
+3.32

squeaked a little profit this year not much overall a 4.7% roi not bad compared to a cd or money market

BigdaddyQH · 11-27-17, 04:13 PM

Not bad, but certainly not worth the risk vs reward formula. Unless your time and effort is worthless, how much do you think that was in terms of dollars and cents?

veriableodds · 11-28-17, 01:41 PM

You are correct the 4.7% roi is just based off the total laid in ncaaf only compared to the profit margin or units produced for that sport. The contribution the 4.7% gives to the bottom line overall would be less than 3% since your asking. I have been investing in sports since late 2001 and as a young buck loved the 2% per play( if I remember correctly started with a 25k bankroll) ,if it was + line I would go with a 0.85% wager ...lol I remember back in college hoops in 2002 I was coming off a superior week and just for giggles took a % of those winnings and did a 21 team parlay ALL same day games ATS and won!! the math on it was incredible it came out to over a $1200 win for every 50c bet.. AS far as sports go today I'm very very conservative and turtle wise in my decisions and so much smarter as to capping when looking at lines offcourse the do and donts. I can easily find 3000 or more mistakes a book makes per year on lines and that doesn't even factor in soccer. Below is an example of yearly expectations based off a starting 5k bankroll hitting about 53%-58%
-peter has a starting bank of $5,000
-peter invested/risked 1% of his overall bankroll per play
-peter found 3200 investments over the course of the year
(1%=$50)x(3200 investments)=$160,000 total laid or (32x his starting bankroll)
-peters expected salary $4800(3%)-$13000(8%) which is purposely conservatively low I find the avg #s to be more around 10%
-this example does not include 15% ceilings(re-calculate 1%) for minimized risk or a higher 1%($50) when your hot
-built in systems like a 3-2-1 ,7 day stretch, optimal betting ect ect are not either (employed strategy used to beat avg market expectancy using your normal bankroll risks)

GL