COL / COL ST Overreaction.

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  • Mike2332
    SBR Hustler
    • 07-20-17
    • 78

    #1
    COL / COL ST Overreaction.
    Colorado -3 -120 BT .5 PT




    I think the betting public really overreacted to the COLST ORGST game ....This line was COL -7.5 before the COL ST game .......What happened to ORGST does not make COL less dangerous.


    COL still beat COL ST 44-6 last season.......While the Buffalo's only have 3 starters coming back on "D" they do have 2 more guys with starting EXP including their star LB Derek McCartney.....Thy also have a couple JC guys..........This is not a bad defensive group of guys.


    ON offense COL returns 9 starters on a team that AVG 31 PTS per game......QB Steve Montez will have a breakout season IMO - he is a dual threat guy that can really throw it........


    No they ain't winning 10 again with this schedule........But I can damn sure see COLST hung over in this spot - going against a more talented team and losing by 3 or more.
  • Gamblinmann
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-13-17
    • 269

    #2
    Well I got em at +7 and +6.5. I disagree about Montez and I'm not buying the Buffs D. But, there would be no books if we all agreed and I love seeing a different take than mine. Have a great night!
    Comment
    • Ralphie Halves
      SBR MVP
      • 12-13-09
      • 4507

      #3
      I am buying Montez.

      Throw away the 44-7 loss last year. That was Nick Stevens before he got benched, figured it out, and came back a superhero. Colorado had 3 DBs from last year go to the NFL, and they aint walkin through that door.

      Not buying the idea of CSU being hungover. I don't buy into the motivation angle much anyway, but this is a huge rivalry game.

      All that being said, I have no play on the side, and I liked the total a lot until the line on that ran away from me. Just gonna pass, sit back, and enjoy what should be a really good game.
      Comment
      • Gamblinmann
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-13-17
        • 269

        #4
        Originally posted by Ralphie Halves
        I am buying Montez.

        Throw away the 44-7 loss last year. That was Nick Stevens before he got benched, figured it out, and came back a superhero. Colorado had 3 DBs from last year go to the NFL, and they aint walkin through that door.

        Not buying the idea of CSU being hungover. I don't buy into the motivation angle much anyway, but this is a huge rivalry game.

        All that being said, I have no play on the side, and I liked the total a lot until the line on that ran away from me. Just gonna pass, sit back, and enjoy what should be a really good game.
        It should be a good one, enjoy your night.
        Comment
        • Eddy Munny
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-13-13
          • 15768

          #5
          I bet the Over... both these defenses are going to have their hands full tonight.
          Comment
          • gojetsgomoxies
            SBR MVP
            • 09-04-12
            • 4222

            #6
            no huge opinion on the game... echoing much of what's been said. both teams have excellent QB's. colorado lost mega-talent in the defensive backfield. like they had upper-tier SEC secondary last year (obviously not an alabama secondary)\

            one thing i've very interested in is bigdaddy's theory that teams playing in 2nd game vs team playing in 1st game is potentially very +EV.. makes sense and easily testable with some work - which i may do
            Comment
            • Eddy Munny
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-13-13
              • 15768

              #7
              Originally posted by Eddy Munny
              I bet the Over... both these defenses are going to have their hands full tonight.
              Feel free to disregard the above.
              Comment
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