LUCKY1's NCAAF '17 Campaign

Lucky1g · 10-21-17, 04:40 PM

Addition. This one kicks in 20 min

Unlv -3 (-120)

Lucky1g · 10-21-17, 05:35 PM

Kicks in 45

Ole Miss+6.5

Lucky1g · 10-23-17, 08:08 AM

Bad Saturday. 1-4 -3.4

season now
18-21 46% -4.1 units
top rated 1-0

Lucky1g · 10-27-17, 02:35 PM

Friday night play

SMU-10

Lucky1g · 10-28-17, 09:23 AM

Friday night loser -1.1

saturday:

Miami-20

Texas & Baylor UNDER 55

NC State & Notre Dame UNDER 59

*TheRisk* · 10-28-17, 11:00 AM

Best of luck today on your plays.

SEAHAWKHARRY · 10-28-17, 11:10 AM

Good Luck Lucky

Lucky1g · 10-28-17, 07:32 PM

Thanks guys. Keep grinding away till I get in good rhythm. Been doing far better in nfl so far college ball has been mostly frustration

Lucky1g · 10-28-17, 07:32 PM

2-1 +.9 today

Lucky1g · 10-28-17, 07:33 PM

Season now
20-23 46% -4.3 units
top rated 1-0

Lucky1g · 10-31-17, 05:40 PM

Bowling Green & Kent State UNDER 48

ram1502 · 11-01-17, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by Lucky1g

Season now
20-23 46% -4.3 units
top rated 1-0

Love your stuff lucky. Your thread is always a must read to make sure I dont have any plays against a top rated for you. Got a question for you...

If you use PR's, at what level of variance do you start to believe that somebody knows more than you do. I ask in relation to the Oregon St/Cal game. I have Cal -10 on neutral, Sagarin has them -17, and massey something like -14. I'm aware the beavs have been a different team somce the coaching change, but still. Normally if I have say 3 or 4 pts of variance, I'm looking to make a play, but this line seems fishy as hell. On top of that, we're now seeing 1.5 pts of reverse line movement with 77% on Cal. More of a general question, than a question about this game, but at what point does your spidey sense kick in? Thanks in advance for any response. GL this week.

Lucky1g · 11-03-17, 07:33 AM

Hey Ram i don’t have much of an opinion on that matchup but I will agree that when you see indicators like that, usually it’s best to lay off or even take a harder look at betting the other side, the one that doesn’t make sense...I’m a big contrarian minded bettor. I will very rarely play teams that are the favorite or publicly backed team...not saying they don’t win sometimes but I’ve always paid close attention to line moves and public betting % and public perception versus the oddsmakers line. Good to hear from you and all the best. I need to get it going in here. College ball has not been kind to me thus far...long way to go yet...cheers

Lucky1g · 11-03-17, 10:20 PM

TCU-7 (ev)

wake forest +14.5

Lucky1g · 11-04-17, 10:04 AM

3 more. Final.

Auburn & Texas A & M UNDER 52

Umass & Miss St OVER 56

Utah State+3.5

Lucky1g · 11-04-17, 09:49 PM

Nice day in here. Almost back to black. 4-1 +2.9

Lucky1g · 11-04-17, 09:50 PM

Season now
24-24 50% -1.4 units
top rated 1-0

SEAHAWKHARRY · 11-04-17, 09:53 PM

Great Day Lucky

Lucky1g · 11-05-17, 06:24 AM

Thanks buddy. Not only 4-1 in college football but smoked a beautiful monster 8 point buck from my tree stand . A great day indeed

Lucky1g · 11-11-17, 09:53 AM

Texas Tech & Baylor UNDER 70

Lucky1g · 11-11-17, 10:58 AM

***top rated*** Iowa & Wisconsin UNDER 45 (-120)

Lucky1g · 11-11-17, 11:02 AM

Was waiting on this total. Opened at 46 hit hard and sat at 43 all morning. 45 is such a key number With a total like this one. 6 tds and a FG for me even if it is slightly higher vig. Will be watching this total up until game time. Interested to see if it climbs back up to opening number(in which case I’d be pissed) I think if it moves to 45 it will get hit back down into the 43-44 range quickly

SEAHAWKHARRY · 11-11-17, 12:15 PM

Good luck today

Lucky1g · 11-11-17, 06:21 PM

Iowa TWO pick 6’s. I’ll be a lucky bettor to push now..unreal. Total defensive game. Felt like the right call for sure..tough one

adding

Miami+3.5

Letsgovols22 · 11-11-17, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by Lucky1g

Iowa TWO pick 6’s. I’ll be a lucky bettor to push now..unreal. Total defensive game. Felt like the right call for sure..tough one

adding

Miami+3.5

Capped correctly. It happens. Keep digging bro

Lucky1g · 11-12-17, 06:47 AM

Wisky game with 21 pts off in’t/fumble returned for touchdowns! Still bothered by watching that unfold. Take that away and this game finishes well under the posted total. Son of a...

2-1 yesterday -.4

Lucky1g · 11-12-17, 06:47 AM

Season now
26-25 -1.8units
top rated 1-1

Lucky1g · 11-13-17, 07:00 AM

Been a long grind in here this year. In good position late in the season to make a push. Still bent about wisky Iowa total not going my way. That was the play that was supposed to get me into plus territory finally...look like I’ll have to wait at least another week...be back with plays

mkracier · 11-15-17, 05:20 PM

Lucky - What do you think of the Northern Illinois/Western Michigan under tonight ? Supposed to be 19 MPH winds coming in both directions, public still loves the over, feels like a good opportunity to steal some value mid week? Maybe a top rated play ??

Lucky1g · 11-17-17, 10:48 PM

Just saw this now mk. Didn’t even look at the game. I’m intentionally staying away from weekday games. Here and there I may play but don’t even look at most matchups. Huge card with so many more games to dissect on a Saturday. Try to save the units I risk for Saturday games I really really like. That said, playing 50/50 ball is where it’s gotten me so far...tmrw is the day I crack even and get back in black

Lucky1g · 11-18-17, 11:08 AM

Noon:

UCSF & temple UNDER 57

Lucky1g · 11-18-17, 11:09 AM

Michigan & Wisconsin OVER 43

Minnasota & Northwestern UNDER 39.5

mkracier · 11-18-17, 01:22 PM

That second quarter in Northwestern Minnesota was laughable

Lucky1g · 11-19-17, 08:28 AM

Just can’t seem to turn the corner in here. 1-2 -1.2

27-27 50% -3.0units
top rated 1-1

Lucky1g · 11-23-17, 07:11 PM

Ole Miss & Miss State UNDER 64.5