are dominant teams covering like crazy?

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  • gojetsgomoxies
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-12
    • 4222

    #1
    are dominant teams covering like crazy?
    seems to me like they are but sports analytics suggest they aren't.

    i generally exclude huge spread "out of conference" games vs. FCS or very very poor FBS teams.

    did some really basic analysis and found top 6 teams this year are 33-21 (ala, mich, clem, wash, ohs, louis)

    last year, top 3 were 22-21 overall, albeit only 3 teams and includes conf championship and playoffs with tougher games and doesn't filter for high spreads.

    one big thing is fading alabama as good-sized favorite was gold before this season... but they are 8-2 ATS this year.

    anyone have thoughts/insights on dominant teams?

    thx in advance
  • xdodger19
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-20-12
    • 18012

    #2
    even western kentucky is winning by 32
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