Duke / louisville

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  • CappinTerp
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-26-09
    • 9650

    #1
    Duke / louisville
    ​I realize that 10 TD's is a lot of points,but for some reason,this total of 70.5 looks a tad low to me.Yes, the Cards can score,but they do run a lot and Blue Devils defense not that bad!.......................A SMALL PLAY!!......................DUKE / LOU. - UNDER 70.5..............1 UNIT...............................GL
  • DOM-Ganador
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-12
    • 4479

    #2
    Unders can look great in these big line games.....until they put up a 35 quarter...

    Don`t see why Ville would lay off the gas with a loss. So even in a blowout, Petrino might play to the end for
    "Committee".

    I am looking for any angle to bet small on this game because I will be watching it.
    Comment
    • sportsfan9698
      SBR MVP
      • 05-17-14
      • 1995

      #3
      Personally I was shocked to see the Ville favored by 34.5... I know they are good, but this is not your grandfathers Duke team. I don't know if that means there is value for the dog here - for sure Petrino will keep his offense floored the entire game. I'm just very surprised to see that number... I was expecting something closer to 24
      Comment
      • CappinTerp
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-26-09
        • 9650

        #4
        Originally posted by DOM-Ganador
        Unders can look great in these big line games.....until they put up a 35 quarter...

        Don`t see why Ville would lay off the gas with a loss. So even in a blowout, Petrino might play to the end for
        "Committee".

        I am looking for any angle to bet small on this game because I will be watching it.
        Originally posted by sportsfan9698
        Personally I was shocked to see the Ville favored by 34.5... I know they are good, but this is not your grandfathers Duke team. I don't know if that means there is value for the dog here - for sure Petrino will keep his offense floored the entire game. I'm just very surprised to see that number... I was expecting something closer to 24
        <br>
        <br> Yes Vill can score in bunches.....but their "D" nothing great....Duke will run the ball a little more than usual to eat some clock.....And I think Duke can do this......Don't forget with these high totals , just 1 drive of 6-7 min. and a team comes away with just 3 or zero points....puts the UNDER bettors in a very good position...............​Bottom line....anything can happen.....so for me , just a 1 unit bet......................Hope all have a profitable weekend!!!
        Comment
        • TPowell
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-21-08
          • 18842

          #5
          Originally posted by CappinTerp
          <br>
          <br> Yes Vill can score in bunches.....but their "D" nothing great....Duke will run the ball a little more than usual to eat some clock.....And I think Duke can do this......Don't forget with these high totals , just 1 drive of 6-7 min. and a team comes away with just 3 or zero points....puts the UNDER bettors in a very good position...............​Bottom line....anything can happen.....so for me , just a 1 unit bet......................Hope all have a profitable weekend!!!

          Louisville's D is nothing great?

          The same defense that COMPLETELY shut down FSU?
          Comment
          • CappinTerp
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-26-09
            • 9650

            #6
            Originally posted by TPowell
            Louisville's D is nothing great?

            The same defense that COMPLETELY shut down FSU?
            That was one game !! Ville gives up an avg.of 26.4 points per game, there are 70 teams better in the FBS, IN Defense points given up. Yes, real good teams...? Above them.....​Ball ST., U CONN,DUKE,WAKE ,TROY, S.CARO.....ECT.
            Comment
            • HeeluvaGuy
              SBR MVP
              • 02-15-14
              • 3449

              #7
              Originally posted by CappinTerp
              That was one game !! Ville gives up an avg.of 26.4 points per game, there are 70 teams better in the FBS, IN Defense points given up. Yes, real good teams...? Above them.....​Ball ST., U CONN,DUKE,WAKE ,TROY, S.CARO.....ECT.
              Yeah, but the Ville is holding opponents to just about 6 points less than their season averages (26.4 vs. 32.3) and over 110 fewer yards per game (326 vs. 449).

              That said, I have no action on this game and wish all players the best of luck!
              Comment
              • CappinTerp
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-26-09
                • 9650

                #8
                Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                Yeah, but the Ville is holding opponents to just about 6 points less than their season averages (26.4 vs. 32.3) and over 110 fewer yards per game (326 vs. 449).

                That said, I have no action on this game and wish all players the best of luck!
                Thanks for the extra info. ......It helps all...............................BOL
                Comment
                • oe473034
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-25-15
                  • 722

                  #9
                  Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                  Yeah, but the Ville is holding opponents to just about 6 points less than their season averages (26.4 vs. 32.3) and over 110 fewer yards per game (326 vs. 449).

                  That said, I have no action on this game and wish all players the best of luck!
                  You're reading too much into the game. Louisville vs Duke is an easy UNDER game.
                  My plays are:
                  Louisville vs Duke UNDER 69.5
                  Brigham Young vs Mississippi St. OVER 57 AND MSST +7
                  Comment
                  • NostraDanUS
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-02-09
                    • 665

                    #10
                    Louisville 46 to 20
                    Comment
                    • Husker36
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-02-08
                      • 3846

                      #11
                      I watched Duke match ND point for point..... that game was 38-35. I expect more points tonight.
                      Comment
                      • oe473034
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-25-15
                        • 722

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Husker36
                        I watched Duke match ND point for point..... that game was 38-35. I expect more points tonight.
                        This game will not go over.
                        Comment
                        • O
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-12
                          • 1980

                          #13
                          Originally posted by oe473034
                          This game will not go over.
                          Brilliant insight at HT......
                          Comment
                          • CappinTerp
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 9650

                            #14
                            How about going ​over 31 2nd half??...........That gives one a 22.5 middle!! ??
                            Comment
                            • oe473034
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-25-15
                              • 722

                              #15
                              Originally posted by O
                              Brilliant insight at HT......
                              I guess you're BLIND. So let me help you, take a look at Post #9.
                              Comment
                              • oe473034
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-25-15
                                • 722

                                #16
                                Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                How about going ​over 31 2nd half??...........That gives one a 22.5 middle!! ??
                                I would still go UNDER.
                                Comment
                                • O
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-21-12
                                  • 1980

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by oe473034
                                  I guess you're BLIND. So let me help you, take a look at Post #9.
                                  Touche... my apologies

                                  Why would anyone middle in this position?
                                  Comment
                                  • CappinTerp
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 9650

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by oe473034
                                    I would still go UNDER.
                                    Looks like it will,17-7 end of 3rd Q......But Ihave seen stranger things happen! (do not think it will happen here)......game goes into,4-5 OT's. With such a big cushion,IT would be stupid to middle...just pointing it out..........................Like they say: Bulls,Bears and Pigs.............just take the $ and run.
                                    Comment
                                    • oe473034
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-25-15
                                      • 722

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                      Looks like it will,17-7 end of 3rd Q......But Ihave seen stranger things happen! (do not think it will happen here)......game goes into,4-5 OT's. With such a big cushion,IT would be stupid to middle...just pointing it out..........................Like they say: Bulls,Bears and Pigs.............just take the $ and run.
                                      It still ended UNDER.
                                      Comment
                                      • TPowell
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-21-08
                                        • 18842

                                        #20
                                        That sucked, would have hit this game both ways if Radcliffe hangs on to the ball and puts Louisville up 17. Had Duke +35.5 pregame and took some back on Louisville -13.5 for 2H.
                                        Comment
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