Louisville team total vs Duke

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  • saints1856
    SBR MVP
    • 11-12-10
    • 1189

    #1
    Louisville team total vs Duke
    So my buddy and I have been really focusing on team totals in CFB this year. If you look at the line and O/U, you can get to a pretty good idea of what the o/u on Team Totals will be.

    We think the team total for Louisville on Friday will be hung at 50-52 range. If so, I really like the Over.

    Louisville offense has been on fire this year, as nobody has had an answer for Lamar Jackson. They've scored at least 59 in every game, and two weeks ago in Clemson they had their toughest game of the year and scored 36. Off a bye week, I think Lou comes out at home and makes a statement.

    I see a 56-17 type game. How do yall see it playing out?
  • saints1856
    SBR MVP
    • 11-12-10
    • 1189

    #2
    My guy's site doesn't post Team Totals until the day of the game. Does anyone's site have that out already? Just curious
    Comment
    • KSmooth4U
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-01-13
      • 588

      #3
      Mines the same way... sometimes only hours before games... idk why its like that... ive taken Louisville and Texas Tech TT the last 3 games and am 6-0 so far
      Comment
      • HeeluvaGuy
        SBR MVP
        • 02-15-14
        • 3449

        #4
        Add half of the line to half of the game total to get the implied team total for the favorite. Subtract half of the line from half of the game total for the underdog's team total. Using that I get an implied team total of 53 for Louisville. While certainly doable (all 5 of their team totals have gone over), over 53 is a bit high for my liking. Good luck to you if you play it!
        Comment
        • KSmooth4U
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-01-13
          • 588

          #5
          Yeah... anything over 50 is risky... last week Texas Tech TT was 29... I should of put way more on it but didnt for some reason... it seems like you can find a very easy TT to hit every week... Looking at Ohio St's O/U and spread there TT should be under 28 this week... very tempting
          Comment
          • Louisvillekid1
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-17-07
            • 52143

            #6
            Sure wouldn't bet the under

            just remember you most likely won't be getting them for 60 minutes... hate betting a team that won't fight for your bet for 60 min
            Comment
            • Igor_1965
              SBR MVP
              • 04-18-15
              • 2632

              #7
              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
              Sure wouldn't bet the under

              just remember you most likely won't be getting them for 60 minutes... hate betting a team that won't fight for your bet for 60 min
              The idea behind betting -30 (or whatever) is that Louisville now need 'style points'. Doesn't that mean they will want to run it way, way, WAY up?
              Comment
              • TPowell
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-21-08
                • 18842

                #8
                Originally posted by Igor_1965
                The idea behind betting -30 (or whatever) is that Louisville now need 'style points'. Doesn't that mean they will want to run it way, way, WAY up?
                true but I wouldn't expect Lamar to play but MAYBE half of the 4th quarter if Louisville is up by 28+ points.
                Comment
                • saints1856
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-12-10
                  • 1189

                  #9
                  The 1st H Team Total Over may be a better play. Stay tuned fellas
                  Comment
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