Week 2 ML Favorite

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  • BigdaddyQH
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-13-09
    • 19530

    #1
    Week 2 ML Favorite
    This week was a bit difficult, but after much deliberation, I am going with this play:

    New Mexico -450 @ New Mexico State.

    Los Lobos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Las Cruces and 5-1 ATS in the first of back to back away games. Davie got this team to a bowl game for the first time since 2007 last season with 7 wins. They return both starting QB's and RB Gipson back from last years offense, and 10 starters from a much improved defense last year. State is in a difficult situation, losing it's standing in the Sun Belt Conference in 2017. They have a huge grudge, but that is aimed at the Sun Belt teams. Davie and the New Mexico defense go to 2-0 in their quest for a 2nd straight bowl game.

    Last week: 1-0
    YTD: 1-0. +100
  • xdodger19
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-20-12
    • 18012

    #2
    New Mexico st offense is worse than the defense, like 34-20
    Comment
    • tennesseety
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-17-13
      • 262

      #3
      I like this concept, Bigdaddy, but want to (try and) build some cash first. Did you finish perfect last year? I can tell you dive into the details with it. Is the math basically, lose two in the season and lose money (depending on the moneylines you lose), but lose one and make some? Sorry, I went to UT.

      Thanks
      Comment
      • Jaycee Harland
        SBR Hustler
        • 08-25-16
        • 57

        #4
        Thought it might have been L'ville. But the Lobos.....hmmm... the more I noodle it the better it looks. Davie is in the process of turning this program around. D is good, running game is good and the aggies are small and slow up front. I had the lobos last yr in this game, they had bad luck early on, got down then stormed back like wild monkeys and won the game going away.
        Another delicious pick, I will be scooping up a helping or two to garnish my already tasty parlays. BON APPETIT
        Comment
        • simon2012
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-03-11
          • 343

          #5
          -450...is this thread for real
          Comment
          • mjsuax13
            Moderator
            • 03-14-15
            • 25093

            #6
            How are we making money here?
            Comment
            • JayDr3am
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-06-14
              • 18260

              #7
              Originally posted by tennesseety
              I like this concept, Bigdaddy, but want to (try and) build some cash first. Did you finish perfect last year? I can tell you dive into the details with it. Is the math basically, lose two in the season and lose money (depending on the moneylines you lose), but lose one and make some? Sorry, I went to UT.

              Thanks
              if he loses more than 1 game, he will lose money.
              Comment
              • gojetsgomoxies
                SBR MVP
                • 09-04-12
                • 4222

                #8
                i'm confused.......... do you have more than one thread on this? cause i thought you had a big ML loser last week. i remember 3 picks that i saw ......

                maybe one's an ideas thread and the other an official picks thread?
                Comment
                • Shark
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-14-10
                  • 1789

                  #9
                  Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                  i'm confused.......... do you have more than one thread on this? cause i thought you had a big ML loser last week. i remember 3 picks that i saw ......

                  maybe one's an ideas thread and the other an official picks thread?
                  Yes
                  Comment
                  • Jaycee Harland
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 08-25-16
                    • 57

                    #10
                    Negative moxy.. last wk Indiana won. I consider QH's away ML fav as an ingredient in a full delicious meal. -450 is a mint sauce. If you only eat that your dining experience could be disasterous. Spread it on a nice rack of lamb, some mashed spuds and brussles sprouts. Throw in a baked dessert and dinner beverage and you have the complete satisfying meal.
                    My grill is packed with a nice meaty BYU, some Iowa, a litte Duke. Some imported Feyennord and Red Star to make it spicy, I think some hot New Mexico will pair up well with my menu.
                    Got my apron, tongs and the grill is heating up.....ENJOY!
                    Comment
                    • Igor_1965
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-18-15
                      • 2632

                      #11
                      He was just making fun of a guy playing a 5 team teaser. How is THIS better?
                      Comment
                      • nymets
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-29-14
                        • 933

                        #12
                        Good Luck today, looks like a winner.
                        Comment
                        • JayDr3am
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-06-14
                          • 18260

                          #13
                          Originally posted by nymets
                          Good Luck today, looks like a winner.
                          well no shit shirtlock.. i mean it better be a fukkin winner at -450. if he loses this he'll be down x3.5
                          Comment
                          • BigdaddyQH
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-13-09
                            • 19530

                            #14
                            Gentlemen, it takes money to make money. For the most part, none of you have the money necessary to do this. Last season was a perfect 13-0 for a +1300 profit. How many of you can say that you won 1300? Most likely, none of you. Maybe one. When you decide to stop playing with your nickle and dime offshore books and start playing with some real money, maybe you will understand. Until then, continue with your monopoly plays. Remember, I wager more on one game than many of you wager on an entire season. No knock on those playing what they can afford to play. That is the way to do it and survive. Just not in my league.
                            Comment
                            • JayDr3am
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-06-14
                              • 18260

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                              Gentlemen, it takes money to make money. For the most part, none of you have the money necessary to do this. Last season was a perfect 13-0 for a +1300 profit. How many of you can say that you won 1300? Most likely, none of you. Maybe one. When you decide to stop playing with your nickle and dime offshore books and start playing with some real money, maybe you will understand. Until then, continue with your monopoly plays. Remember, I wager more on one game than many of you wager on an entire season. No knock on those playing what they can afford to play. That is the way to do it and survive. Just not in my league.
                              Comment
                              • mjsuax13
                                Moderator
                                • 03-14-15
                                • 25093

                                #16
                                Amazing. What's your average play?
                                Comment
                                • nymets
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-29-14
                                  • 933

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by nymets
                                  Good Luck today, looks like a winner.
                                  Originally posted by JayDr3am

                                  well no shit shirtlock.. i mean it better be a fukkin winner at -450. if he loses this he'll be down x3.5
                                  Relax tough guy, there is a thing called upsets.
                                  Comment
                                  • JayDr3am
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-06-14
                                    • 18260

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by nymets
                                    Relax tough guy, there is a thing called upsets.
                                    haha im so relaxed.. im just saying that QH is basically saying he will FOR SURE go undefeated with these ML away favorite plays. cause he has to go undefeated in order to win money.. like i said every game he posts in these threads better be a fukkin winner or its a failure of a strategy. but i honestly believe he'll do it, its just not my style.
                                    Comment
                                    • nymets
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-29-14
                                      • 933

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by JayDr3am
                                      haha im so relaxed.. im just saying that QH is basically saying he will FOR SURE go undefeated with these ML away favorite plays. cause he has to go undefeated in order to win money.. like i said every game he posts in these threads better be a fukkin winner or its a failure of a strategy. but i honestly believe he'll do it, its just not my style.
                                      It's all good.
                                      Comment
                                      • SBRMAN23
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-07-11
                                        • 6905

                                        #20
                                        This shyt is tight like a butthole, lets hope they can pull it off and not leave any time left for these Bums
                                        Comment
                                        • SBRMAN23
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-07-11
                                          • 6905

                                          #21
                                          Ouch this one hurts, lots of upsets first few wks dogs are licking their chops literally...get it nxt time QH
                                          Comment
                                          • Tboonepickem
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-21-13
                                            • 1113

                                            #22
                                            Hahahahaha
                                            Comment
                                            • jtoler
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-17-13
                                              • 30967

                                              #23
                                              Dropped a couple pennies on State ML @ the half for the impossible.
                                              ONLINE
                                              09/10/2016
                                              08:48 PM
                                              [Ticket #: 274658819] STRAIGHT BET
                                              09/11/2016 @ 01:00 AM CFB [2382] 2H New Mexico State +205
                                              5.00 10.25
                                              Comment
                                              • JayDr3am
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-06-14
                                                • 18260

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Tboonepickem
                                                Hahahahaha
                                                hahahahahahahahahahaha
                                                Comment
                                                • maggiethebestdog
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-21-13
                                                  • 6700

                                                  #25
                                                  For someone who is the most arrogant person on the planet, you sure don't have the slightest clue what you are talking about. What a complete loser you are.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mjsuax13
                                                    Moderator
                                                    • 03-14-15
                                                    • 25093

                                                    #26
                                                    Hahahahaha. Classic. Guy was popping his chest out all day.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • maggiethebestdog
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-21-13
                                                      • 6700

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by mjsuax13
                                                      Hahahahaha. Classic. Guy was popping his chest out all day.
                                                      That is all he does. I guess this will shut him up for awhile.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thegoal60
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-20-15
                                                        • 195

                                                        #28
                                                        No it wont. He is the type that only criticizes everybody else and will act like it never happened. Always cuts on everyone else its good to see him slip up a little but he will keep doing the same ole Sheet anyways.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JayDr3am
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 05-06-14
                                                          • 18260

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by maggiethebestdog
                                                          For someone who is the most arrogant person on the planet, you sure don't have the slightest clue what you are talking about. What a complete loser you are.
                                                          hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mjsuax13
                                                            Moderator
                                                            • 03-14-15
                                                            • 25093

                                                            #30
                                                            2 major fades today.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jtoler
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-17-13
                                                              • 30967

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by maggiethebestdog
                                                              That is all he does. I guess this will shut him up for awhile.
                                                              Nah he'll say its only $435 of over 1k winnings since last year, will pick up next week with a sure thing. Besides Daddy's money is long, really just a drop in the bucket.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mjsuax13
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 03-14-15
                                                                • 25093

                                                                #32
                                                                It's tip money guys.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JayDr3am
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-06-14
                                                                  • 18260

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by jtoler
                                                                  Nah he'll say its only $435 of over 1k winnings since last year, will pick up next week with a sure thing. Besides Daddy's money is long, really just a drop in the bucket.
                                                                  1k winnings is not shit lol like who gets excited over just 1k winnings over an ENTIRE season? childs play.. cmon
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • maggiethebestdog
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-21-13
                                                                    • 6700

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by jtoler
                                                                    Nah he'll say its only $435 of over 1k winnings since last year, will pick up next week with a sure thing. Besides Daddy's money is long, really just a drop in the bucket.
                                                                    Don't forget he bets more money on each game than any of us bet the whole year. So that means this loss would be impossible to make up. Air betting can get pretty costly.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mjsuax13
                                                                      Moderator
                                                                      • 03-14-15
                                                                      • 25093

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Where is Little Daddy at?
                                                                      Comment
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